Runway

Notes

3327 observations, newest first
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0719908406015726
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT261016C00665000", "expiry": "2026-10-16", "type": "C", "K": 665.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.07, "bs": 34, "as": 240, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.545825969Z", "iv": 0.2979, "delta": 0.0028, "T": 0.1150684931506849, "sessions": 29, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.1888358951175872, "fair_session": 0.1889109767236503, "stress": 9.159398427378666e-06, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.1169109767236503, "net_stress": -0.0719908406015726, "spread_pct": 85.71428571428572}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0219973633652349
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT261016C00675000", "expiry": "2026-10-16", "type": "C", "K": 675.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.02, "bs": 21, "as": 5, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.574218263Z", "iv": 0.2862, "delta": 0.0011, "T": 0.1150684931506849, "sessions": 29, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.1290728554299969, "fair_session": 0.1291282089106387, "stress": 2.636634765083493e-06, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.1071282089106386, "net_stress": -0.0219973633652349, "spread_pct": 50.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0219798187087017
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260909C00535000", "expiry": "2026-09-09", "type": "C", "K": 535.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.02, "bs": 25, "as": 55, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.773125941Z", "iv": 0.2441, "delta": 0.0038, "T": 0.0136986301369863, "sessions": 2, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.4081331961128853, "fair_session": 0.0764019676482448, "stress": 2.01812912982869e-05, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0544019676482448, "net_stress": -0.0219798187087017, "spread_pct": 50.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0819204172943629
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260911C00547500", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "C", "K": 547.5, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.08, "bs": 192, "as": 59, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.808451864Z", "iv": 0.2904, "delta": 0.0074, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.2839259719824483, "fair_session": 0.1553234712219495, "stress": 7.958270563702616e-05, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0733234712219495, "net_stress": -0.0819204172943629, "spread_pct": 87.50000000000001}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0719258863299248
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260909C00532500", "expiry": "2026-09-09", "type": "C", "K": 532.5, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.07, "bs": 44, "as": 65, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.948164196Z", "iv": 0.256, "delta": 0.009, "T": 0.0136986301369863, "sessions": 2, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.5352335710753913, "fair_session": 0.1162930509193653, "stress": 7.411367007516267e-05, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0442930509193653, "net_stress": -0.0719258863299248, "spread_pct": 85.71428571428572}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0419950861776238
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260911P00450000", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "P", "K": 450.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.04, "bs": 20, "as": 2, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.949631541Z", "iv": 0.3106, "delta": -0.004, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.1146987785238824, "fair_session": 0.055772270607266, "stress": 4.913822376115609e-06, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.013772270607266, "net_stress": -0.0419950861776238, "spread_pct": 75.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0519929789150873
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260918C00585000", "expiry": "2026-09-18", "type": "C", "K": 585.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.05, "bs": 95, "as": 125, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.944725541Z", "iv": 0.3047, "delta": 0.0035, "T": 0.0383561643835616, "sessions": 9, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.1340108031856806, "fair_session": 0.1004513647781193, "stress": 7.021084912678301e-06, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0484513647781193, "net_stress": -0.0519929789150873, "spread_pct": 80.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0518551458852814
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260909P00470000", "expiry": "2026-09-09", "type": "P", "K": 470.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.05, "bs": 30, "as": 62, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.816148649Z", "iv": 0.2399, "delta": -0.0072, "T": 0.0136986301369863, "sessions": 2, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.5577780627351068, "fair_session": 0.133342162707887, "stress": 0.0001448541147185, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.081342162707887, "net_stress": -0.0518551458852814, "spread_pct": 80.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0519980106549506
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260918C00590000", "expiry": "2026-09-18", "type": "C", "K": 590.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.03, "ask": 0.05, "bs": 88, "as": 1, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.147626352Z", "iv": 0.3289, "delta": 0.0042, "T": 0.0383561643835616, "sessions": 9, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.0926382347799377, "fair_session": 0.067847139167164, "stress": 1.989345049381141e-06, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.015847139167164, "net_stress": -0.0519980106549506, "spread_pct": 40.00000000000001}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0719675709021666
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260911C00550000", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "C", "K": 550.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.07, "bs": 38, "as": 130, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.740819804Z", "iv": 0.2989, "delta": 0.0065, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.2217896596676141, "fair_session": 0.1164017924493636, "stress": 3.2429097833402455e-05, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0444017924493636, "net_stress": -0.0719675709021666, "spread_pct": 85.71428571428572}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
MSFT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0619601462643436
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MSFT", "occ": "MSFT260925C00600000", "expiry": "2026-09-25", "type": "C", "K": 600.0, "S": 499.545, "bid": 0.03, "ask": 0.06, "bs": 166, "as": 132, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.809502543Z", "iv": 0.2914, "delta": 0.0043, "T": 0.0575342465753424, "sessions": 14, "forecast": 0.3470294011220605, "stress_vol": 0.182375757384245, "fair_calendar": 0.2395565388859566, "fair_session": 0.2105363452087028, "stress": 3.985373565634255e-05, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.1485363452087028, "net_stress": -0.0619601462643436, "spread_pct": 50.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MSFT?feed=indicative
AMZN Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0718431399401183
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "AMZN", "occ": "AMZN260911C00285000", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "C", "K": 285.0, "S": 258.405, "bid": 0.04, "ask": 0.07, "bs": 44, "as": 115, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.86141098Z", "iv": 0.3434, "delta": 0.0139, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.3631325056703985, "stress_vol": 0.2092471496103369, "fair_calendar": 0.1384152682122117, "fair_session": 0.0744073832106222, "stress": 0.0001568600598816, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0024073832106222, "net_stress": -0.0718431399401183, "spread_pct": 42.85714285714286}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/AMZN?feed=indicative
RIVN Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0205385020386396
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "RIVN", "occ": "RIVN260911P00014000", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "P", "K": 14.0, "S": 15.745, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.02, "bs": 20, "as": 14, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.042834006Z", "iv": 0.5064, "delta": -0.0362, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.5998971318775743, "stress_vol": 0.3775639564805818, "fair_calendar": 0.0429255107988215, "fair_session": 0.0284457778038783, "stress": 0.0014614979613603, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0064457778038783, "net_stress": -0.0205385020386396, "spread_pct": 50.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/RIVN?feed=indicative
RIVN Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0209710573179973
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "RIVN", "occ": "RIVN260918P00013000", "expiry": "2026-09-18", "type": "P", "K": 13.0, "S": 15.745, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.02, "bs": 70, "as": 70, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.290537584Z", "iv": 0.5241, "delta": -0.0247, "T": 0.0383561643835616, "sessions": 9, "forecast": 0.5998971318775743, "stress_vol": 0.3775639564805818, "fair_calendar": 0.0351490541671148, "fair_session": 0.0294317415345567, "stress": 0.0010289426820026, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0074317415345567, "net_stress": -0.0209710573179973, "spread_pct": 50.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/RIVN?feed=indicative
RIVN Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0604324103639944
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "RIVN", "occ": "RIVN260911P00014500", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "P", "K": 14.5, "S": 15.745, "bid": 0.05, "ask": 0.07, "bs": 94, "as": 94, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.0427337Z", "iv": 0.5271, "delta": -0.1132, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.5998971318775743, "stress_vol": 0.3775639564805818, "fair_calendar": 0.1043308392051218, "fair_session": 0.07856541429584, "stress": 0.0115675896360055, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.00656541429584, "net_stress": -0.0604324103639944, "spread_pct": 28.571428571428577}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/RIVN?feed=indicative
SNAP Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0392215414034123
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "SNAP", "occ": "SNAP260918P00005000", "expiry": "2026-09-18", "type": "P", "K": 5.0, "S": 5.48, "bid": 0.07, "ask": 0.08, "bs": 8, "as": 108, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.961096635Z", "iv": 0.6158, "delta": -0.1998, "T": 0.0383561643835616, "sessions": 9, "forecast": 0.6545699775371281, "stress_vol": 0.504449174610631, "fair_calendar": 0.0913883982634886, "fair_session": 0.0844012452036697, "stress": 0.0427784585965876, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0024012452036697, "net_stress": -0.0392215414034123, "spread_pct": 12.499999999999996}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SNAP?feed=indicative
SNAP Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0479735490228436
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "SNAP", "occ": "SNAP261016C00007000", "expiry": "2026-10-16", "type": "C", "K": 7.0, "S": 5.48, "bid": 0.07, "ask": 0.08, "bs": 55, "as": 114, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.713831053Z", "iv": 0.6157, "delta": 0.142, "T": 0.1150684931506849, "sessions": 29, "forecast": 0.6545699775371281, "stress_vol": 0.504449174610631, "fair_calendar": 0.0971990177180771, "fair_session": 0.0972136862487, "stress": 0.0340264509771564, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0152136862487, "net_stress": -0.0479735490228436, "spread_pct": 12.499999999999996}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SNAP?feed=indicative
SNAP Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0471506581449564
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "SNAP", "occ": "SNAP261009P00004500", "expiry": "2026-10-09", "type": "P", "K": 4.5, "S": 5.48, "bid": 0.02, "ask": 0.08, "bs": 251, "as": 103, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.972679349Z", "iv": 0.5563, "delta": -0.1047, "T": 0.0958904109589041, "sessions": 24, "forecast": 0.6545699775371281, "stress_vol": 0.504449174610631, "fair_calendar": 0.0848757345896948, "fair_session": 0.084067395177081, "stress": 0.0348493418550435, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.002067395177081, "net_stress": -0.0471506581449564, "spread_pct": 75.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SNAP?feed=indicative
SNAP Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0097748551627874
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "SNAP", "occ": "SNAP261002P00004500", "expiry": "2026-10-02", "type": "P", "K": 4.5, "S": 5.48, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.03, "bs": 126, "as": 116, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.956559832Z", "iv": 0.4901, "delta": -0.0604, "T": 0.0767123287671232, "sessions": 19, "forecast": 0.6545699775371281, "stress_vol": 0.504449174610631, "fair_calendar": 0.0610688259125892, "fair_session": 0.0594411034674828, "stress": 0.0222251448372125, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0274411034674828, "net_stress": -0.0097748551627874, "spread_pct": 66.66666666666666}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SNAP?feed=indicative
NOK Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0346492182026438
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "NOK", "occ": "NOK260911P00009500", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "P", "K": 9.5, "S": 10.04, "bid": 0.05, "ask": 0.06, "bs": 787, "as": 5, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.128532672Z", "iv": 0.4767, "delta": -0.1642, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.5538602343805831, "stress_vol": 0.3789623984315547, "fair_calendar": 0.1014767578102442, "fair_session": 0.0816653607818564, "stress": 0.0273507817973561, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0196653607818564, "net_stress": -0.0346492182026438, "spread_pct": 16.66666666666666}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/NOK?feed=indicative
RIOT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0367744286035792
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "RIOT", "occ": "RIOT260918C00031000", "expiry": "2026-09-18", "type": "C", "K": 31.0, "S": 21.8, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.04, "bs": 55, "as": 32, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.732134834Z", "iv": null, "delta": null, "T": 0.0383561643835616, "sessions": 9, "forecast": 0.9451476119066582, "stress_vol": 0.7204274641838668, "fair_calendar": 0.0538422524763573, "fair_session": 0.0433268788071348, "stress": 0.0052255713964207, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0013268788071348, "net_stress": -0.0367744286035792, "spread_pct": 75.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/RIOT?feed=indicative
RIOT Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0309451531008568
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "RIOT", "occ": "RIOT260911P00019000", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "P", "K": 19.0, "S": 21.8, "bid": 0.07, "ask": 0.08, "bs": 33, "as": 78, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.394646513Z", "iv": 0.7405, "delta": -0.0779, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.9451476119066582, "stress_vol": 0.7204274641838668, "fair_calendar": 0.198853256053499, "fair_session": 0.1473376110158093, "stress": 0.0510548468991431, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0653376110158093, "net_stress": -0.0309451531008568, "spread_pct": 12.499999999999996}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/RIOT?feed=indicative
MARA Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.011702055003623
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MARA", "occ": "MARA260918P00008500", "expiry": "2026-09-18", "type": "P", "K": 8.5, "S": 11.3, "bid": 0.01, "ask": 0.02, "bs": 479, "as": 151, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.920467564Z", "iv": 0.7873, "delta": -0.0227, "T": 0.0383561643835616, "sessions": 9, "forecast": 0.967679009821838, "stress_vol": 0.7422022478478021, "fair_calendar": 0.0529273956489749, "fair_session": 0.0450656726667695, "stress": 0.0102979449963769, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0230656726667695, "net_stress": -0.011702055003623, "spread_pct": 50.0}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MARA?feed=indicative
MARA Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0593257245256175
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MARA", "occ": "MARA261002C00017000", "expiry": "2026-10-02", "type": "C", "K": 17.0, "S": 11.3, "bid": 0.06, "ask": 0.08, "bs": 447, "as": 278, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.883297892Z", "iv": 0.9041, "delta": 0.0635, "T": 0.0767123287671232, "sessions": 19, "forecast": 0.967679009821838, "stress_vol": 0.7422022478478021, "fair_calendar": 0.1049860668339507, "fair_session": 0.1009580047304828, "stress": 0.0226742754743824, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0189580047304828, "net_stress": -0.0593257245256175, "spread_pct": 25.000000000000004}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MARA?feed=indicative
MARA Base-positive contract fails adverse scenario = -0.0295476823810889
Options mispricing2026-09-06 02:16
{"symbol": "MARA", "occ": "MARA260911C00013500", "expiry": "2026-09-11", "type": "C", "K": 13.5, "S": 11.3, "bid": 0.03, "ask": 0.04, "bs": 895, "as": 790, "quote_time": "2026-09-04T19:59:59.624695504Z", "iv": 0.8817, "delta": 0.0654, "T": 0.0191780821917808, "sessions": 4, "forecast": 0.967679009821838, "stress_vol": 0.7422022478478021, "fair_calendar": 0.0718055560378732, "fair_session": 0.0489007374259878, "stress": 0.012452317618911, "affordable": true, "net_base": 0.0069007374259878, "net_stress": -0.0295476823810889, "spread_pct": 25.000000000000004}; researchonly; spread/fee/currentfeed/optionholdoutgatesnotestablished. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/MARA?feed=indicative
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