A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Day slip15'. The given data line shows information about a trading audit for Bitcoin, symbol BTC, with a period of out of sample, or oos, and a time frame, or tf, of 1 Day. The slip in basis points, or bp, is 15. There were 82 trades, with 1 skipped, resulting in a return percentage of -53.603940389179385 and a drawdown percentage of 62.28575901175412. The win percentage was 42.68292682926829, with an average win percentage of 2.566611537095886 and an average loss percentage of 3.404057920741953. The expectancy percentage was -0.8556014448355584, with a confidence interval low percentage of -1.6666864627704625 and a confidence interval high percentage of -0.051120428258340636. The raw quarter Kelly was 0, with 14 stops and 7 targets, and a maximum stop overshoot R of 2.2121411031200884. Note 1430 states that the audit was preregistered, with unconditional 72 hour disjoint paths, and not an entry edge. The data is from 2025 through 2026, up to September 8, with a 25 basis point credited asset fee, and marks were made every 15 minutes. Cash returns were reconciled, and incomplete 72 hour paths were omitted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Day slip5'. The audit results for the symbol BTC are as follows: the period is out of sample, the time frame is 1 day, the slip in basis points is 5, the total number of trades is 82, 1 trade was skipped, the return percentage is -45.3355, the drawdown percentage is 56.6183, the win percentage is 42.6829, the average win percentage is 2.7719, the average loss percentage is 3.2107, the expectancy percentage is -0.6571, the lower confidence interval percentage is -1.5063, and the higher confidence interval percentage is 0.1668. The raw quarter Kelly is 0, the number of stops is 14, the number of targets is 7, and the maximum stop overshoot R is 2.2121. Note 1430 states that the paths were preregistered and unconditional, with a 72-hour disjoint path and no entry edge. The training period is from 2025, and the holdout period is from 2026 through September 8, with a 25 basis point credited asset fee and a 15-minute mark. The cash returns were reconciled, and incomplete 72-hour paths were omitted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 15Min slip15'. The audit results for the BTC symbol are as follows: the period is train, the time frame is 15 minutes, the slip is 15 basis points, the total number of trades is 88, with 33 skipped trades. The return percentage is -69.38494887195924, the drawdown percentage is 70.63021738803921, the win percentage is 38.63636363636363, the average win percentage is 2.341570939635744, and the average loss percentage is 3.5614113076341445. The expectancy percentage is -1.2807136211889603, with a confidence interval low percentage of -1.9470502111172245 and a confidence interval high percentage of -0.5898819911338933. The raw quarter Kelly is 0, with 34 stops and 9 targets, and a maximum stop overshoot of 0.3262755638989359. Note 1430 states that the audit was preregistered with unconditional 72-hour disjoint paths and no entry edge. The training period is from 2025, and the holdout period is from 2026 through September 8, with a 25 basis point credited asset fee and a 15-minute mark. Cash returns have been reconciled, and incomplete 72-hour paths have been omitted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 15Min slip5'. The audit results for the BTC symbol are as follows: the period is train, the time frame is 15 minutes, the slip in basis points is 5, the total number of trades is 88, the number of skipped trades is 33, the return percentage is -63.49%, the drawdown percentage is 65.30%, the win percentage is 39.77%, the average win percentage is 2.48%, the average loss percentage is 3.43%, the expectancy percentage is -1.08%, the lower confidence interval percentage is -1.77%, and the higher confidence interval percentage is -0.37%. The raw quarter Kelly is 0, the number of stops is 34, the number of targets is 9, and the maximum stop overshoot R is 0.33. Note 1430 states that the audit is preregistered, with unconditional 72-hour disjoint paths, and not an entry edge. The training period is from 2025, and the holdout period is from 2026 through September 8, with a 25 basis point credited asset fee, and a 15-minute mark. The cash returns have been reconciled, and incomplete 72-hour paths have been omitted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 1Hour slip15'. The audit results for the Bitcoin symbol show a training period with the following statistics: the time frame is 1 hour, the slip is 15 basis points, there are 88 data points, 33 were skipped, the return percentage is -70.3730498594456, the drawdown percentage is 71.57812732553288, the win percentage is 37.5, the average win percentage is 2.2899416776229415, the average loss percentage is 3.482508870990369, the expectancy percentage is -1.317839915260377, the low confidence interval percentage is -2.003439721711856, and the high confidence interval percentage is -0.6164202573185457. The raw quarter Kelly is 0, there were 33 stops and 8 targets, and the maximum stop overshoot R is 0.8650690924354844. Note 1430 was preregistered with unconditional 72 hour disjoint paths and not an entry edge. The training period is from 2025 through 2026, with a holdout period until September 8, and asset fees of 25 basis points are credited every 15 minutes. Cash returns were reconciled and incomplete 72 hour paths were omitted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 1Hour slip5'. The audit results for the Bitcoin symbol show a return percentage of -64.67169035471701 and a drawdown percentage of 66.37872015112097. The win percentage is 39.77272727272727, with an average win percentage of 2.361501035147619 and an average loss percentage of 3.4195658509509044. The expectancy percentage is -1.120277884888992, with a confidence interval low percentage of -1.8054811782601061 and a confidence interval high percentage of -0.41552273099291553. The raw quarter Kelly is 0, with 33 stops and 8 targets. The maximum stop overshoot R is 0.8650690924354844. Note 1430 refers to preregistered, unconditional 72-hour disjoint paths, not entry edge. The training period is from 2025, with a holdout period from 2026 through September 8, and a 25 basis point credited asset fee, marked at 15 minutes. Cash returns have been reconciled, and incomplete 72-hour paths have been omitted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 1Day slip15'. The audit results for the Bitcoin symbol show a return percentage of -61.543701527667935 and a drawdown percentage of 63.122212657649655. The win percentage is 42.04545454545455, with an average win percentage of 2.2513447247448006 and an average loss percentage of 3.395344849947499. The expectancy percentage is -1.0211685514973277, with a confidence interval low percentage of -1.7229871895823887 and a confidence interval high percentage of -0.31600321063389814. There were 88 periods, with 33 skipped, and the raw quarter Kelly is 0. The number of stops is 22 and the number of targets is 7, with a maximum stop overshoot R of 1.9160615474423341. Note 1430 states that the audit is preregistered, with unconditional 72-hour disjoint paths, and not an entry edge. The training period is from 2025, with a holdout period from 2026 through September 8, and asset fees of 25 basis points are credited, with marks every 15 minutes. Cash returns are reconciled, and incomplete 72-hour paths are omitted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 1Day slip5'. The audit results for the Bitcoin symbol show a return percentage of -54.14323736339375 and a drawdown percentage of 56.63686846600019. The win percentage is 44.31818181818182, with an average win percentage of 2.337161495497355 and an average loss percentage of 3.338253177914125. The expectancy percentage is -0.8230125840158552, with a confidence interval low percentage of -1.5366162521963211 and a confidence interval high percentage of -0.11836293186999565. There were 22 stops and 7 targets, with a maximum stop overshoot of 1.9160615474423341. The note 1430 is preregistered with unconditional 72-hour disjoint paths and no entry edge. The training period is from 2025, and the holdout period is from 2026 through September 8, with a 25 basis point credited asset fee and a 15-minute mark. Cash returns have been reconciled, and incomplete 72-hour paths have been omitted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
A news scan found the headline 'SOL/USD 08UTC CLI momentum smoke diagnostic'. The results of a trading simulation for SOL/USD are as follows: the simulation used 617 bars of data and made 176 trades, resulting in a return of -20.158132298804134 percent. In comparison, a buy and hold strategy would have resulted in a return of -46.03747419106218 percent. The maximum drawdown, which is the largest decline in value from a peak to a trough, was 47.3591011858877 percent. The win rate, which is the percentage of trades that were profitable, was 34.659090909090914 percent. The average trade return was -0.07549236284053362 percent. This simulation was run using a momentum strategy with a lookback period of 1 day, over 616 days, with a stop loss of 3 percent and a target profit of 4.5 percent. The simulation assumed same close entries, no fees, and no stock splits, and included 617 bars of data, including a partial day on September 9. This was not part of the cadence experiment and the entry was not validated.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD 08UTC CLI momentum smoke diagnostic'. The results of a trading simulation for ETH/USD are as follows: the symbol is ETH/USD, there were 617 bars of data, and 181 trades were made. The return percentage was -5.731119330374234, while a buy and hold strategy would have resulted in a return of -25.05973318061354. The maximum drawdown percentage was 31.94492989290848, the win rate was 35.91160220994475, and the average trade percentage was 0.012452668469654734. This simulation was run with the following parameters: the symbols used were BTC/USD, ETH/USD, and SOL/USD, the strategy was momentum, the lookback period was 1, the number of days was 616, the stop percentage was 3, and the target percentage was 4.5. The simulation included same close entries, did not account for fees or splits, and included 617 bars of data, including a partial day on September 9. This was not part of the cadence experiment and the entry was not validated.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD 08UTC CLI momentum smoke diagnostic'. The results of a trading simulation for the symbol BTC/USD are as follows: the simulation used 617 bars of data and made 164 trades, resulting in a return of -2.414645360463119 percent, compared to a buy and hold return of -16.015600587820987 percent. The maximum drawdown was 28.990985280741032 percent, the win rate was 37.19512195121951 percent, and the average trade return was 0.013859781370999462 percent. This simulation was run using the command line interface with the following parameters: the symbols BTC/USD, ETH/USD, and SOL/USD, the momentum strategy, a lookback period of 1 day, 616 days of data, a stop loss of 3 percent, and a target profit of 4.5 percent. The simulation included same close entries, did not account for fees or stock splits, and used 617 bars of data, including a partial bar from September 9. This was not part of the cadence experiment and the entry was not validated.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
A news scan found the headline 'USDC/USD Arc dated catalyst source reverified 08UTC'. The issuer of USDC, a type of digital currency, released its second quarter report on August 5, which was read on September 9. According to the report, the public mainnet is scheduled to launch on September 16, with more than 100 builders involved, but the exact launch hour has not been specified. The report also stated that the USDC volume for the second quarter was 14.8 trillion, which is a 151% increase from the same period last year. The revenue and reserve income were 701 million, a 7% increase, and the reserve income was 668 million, a 5% increase, although the reserve return rate fell by 66 basis points, which is a measure of the return on investment. It is noted that these figures are claims made by the issuer and may have a commercial bias, rather than being independent proof of network use or token value, similar to tokens like ETH or SOL. An existing monitor, number 104, has been retained.
https://www.circle.com/pressroom/circle-reports-second-quarter-2026-results
The primary agency released a report on September 3 at 8:30 ET, which showed that for the week ending August 29, there were 206,000 initial claims and a 4-week average of 207,250. For the week ending August 22, there were 1,779,000 insured, with a rate of 1.2%. A document accessed on September 9 did not confirm the release time for the next report on September 10, and a review monitor noted a gap in the information. No orders were triggered by these claims.
https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
Direct issuer webpages Sept8 shares IBIT1387560000 ETHA467680000; CSV stillSep4 IBIT1384960000 shares/785635.31730BTC; ETHA464560000shares/3527867.36790ETH. Delta shares +2600000/+3120000 vsSep4 alreadyknown, not newevent08UTC. Cannot infer same-date BTC/ETH quantities or acquisitiontime from Sept8 netassets61.602737818bn/8.762965559bn. Fund records and accounting/NAV cutoffs differ perissuer.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv
Next two sessions official macro calendar verified Sep9 08UTC
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:05
Primary agency schedule accessedSep9: Sep9 ECEC June2026 and Q2QuarterlyServicesSurvey10ET=14UTC; Sep10 AugustPPI08:30ET=12:30UTC and JulyWholesaleTrade10ET=14UTC; EIA weekendingSep4 holiday-delayed Sep10noonET=16UTC. CPI August isSep11 08:30ET, outside next2sessions. Calendar schedules not realized releases, ECEC notECI. If benign prices/strong real activity record context only; if inflation/weak activity record adverse context, no automatic crypto entry either way.
https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/09_sched.htm ; https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html ; https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php
Read Sep9 08:04UTC primary issuer/SEC, quarter ended Aug1 2026. Digital assets and related receivables294.1mUSD current vs528.6m digital assets noncurrent Aug2 2025; different periods/categories. Q2 loss75.0m/H1 73.9m. Q2 cashflow purchases digital assets0 vs500m prior Q2; written digital-asset options proceeds12.4m; not spot-sale receipt. Cash4854.3m+marketable206m; Sept3 debt exchange1.4bn reduces long-term debt about2.8bn. SEC recent25 forms latestSep8 8K; latest10Q Jun11, no Aug1 quarter10Q found. No BTC quantity or counterparties identified in release. Issuer newsroom now news.gamestop.com; old investor page blank isn't missing release. SEC acceptedSep8 09:02:39; exact earliest publication not independently established.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326380/000132638026000050/a991-fy26q2earningsrelease.htm ; https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001326380.json
08:01 manual verified collector125 part1
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:04
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-09T08:01:41.509726+00:00
source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.2017 uncertainty_s=0.2856
source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
{"s":"BTC","ts":["1788940868676","1788940902561"],"age":[34.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.6865,"settled_bp":0.6777,"oi_coin":27349.243}
{"s":"ETH","ts":["1788940868732","1788940902562"],"age":[34.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.4477,"settled_bp":0.4497,"oi_coin":617650.602}
{"s":"SOL","ts":["1788940869702","1788940902562"],"age":[33.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.2695,"settled_bp":-0.2743,"oi_coin":2816407.99}
source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64]
source=https://www.usdc.com/ date=Sep 09, 2026. supply=74381077961.68
source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788912000,"circulating":74502816708.65785,"Ethereum":[1788912000,47212908551.24],"Solana":[1788912000,7180981974.08],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788912000,6911192810.28]}
END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://www.usdc.com/ ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
08:01 manual verified collector124 part2
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:04
oin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process.
We will continue to provide updates as progress is made.
Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
08:01 manual verified collector124 part1
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:04
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T08:01:42.687000+00:00
source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks
recipient confirmed_btc 598.50008953 mempool_net_btc 5.42e-05 tx_n 244
reserve confirmed_btc 3597.47201026 mempool_net_btc 4.000004 tx_n 584
controlled_tx 1d690f3b96b878067f3a445b74dfb8fab4201c0455d88ac98cc14a927e7858d7 block_time 1788877531 retained_btc 598.49988609 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
controlled_tx 7c0fb4ffff35bf9894211d3c97abbb58fc127573a1805880103dd19e40528523 block_time 1788877531 retained_btc 598.49989807 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
recent_page_n 34 controlled_n 2 page_is_not_complete_history=1
liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 184353 tx_n 1
second_tip 4050335 age_s 238173 source=https://liquid.network/api/blocks
Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade.
OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream
operator_http 200 parsed_notes 1 relevant 1
operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets.
Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network.
We want to thank the broader Bitc
https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
08:01 manual verified collector123 part2
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:04
ndependently gated; no orders
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
Saved Sep9 08:00 UTC; direct explorer and attributed operator claim; oin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process.
We will continue to provide updates as progress is made.
Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
BTC/USD 08UTC saved Liquid payload part1
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:04
Saved Sep9 08:00 UTC; direct explorer and attributed operator claim; fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T08:00:36.571368+00:00
source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks
recipient confirmed_btc 598.50008953 mempool_net_btc 5.42e-05 tx_n 244
reserve confirmed_btc 3597.47201026 mempool_net_btc 4.000004 tx_n 584
controlled_tx 1d690f3b96b878067f3a445b74dfb8fab4201c0455d88ac98cc14a927e7858d7 block_time 1788877531 retained_btc 598.49988609 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
controlled_tx 7c0fb4ffff35bf9894211d3c97abbb58fc127573a1805880103dd19e40528523 block_time 1788877531 retained_btc 598.49989807 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
recent_page_n 34 controlled_n 2 page_is_not_complete_history=1
liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 184287 tx_n 1
second_tip 4050335 age_s 238107 source=https://liquid.network/api/blocks
Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade.
OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream
operator_http 200 parsed_notes 1 relevant 1
operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets.
Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network.
We want to thank the broader Bitc
https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
08UTC saved collector audit 1418
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:03
Saved 2026-09-09T07:30:37.096Z; direct feed/issuer sources except Llama secondary aggregation. Full numeric payload and footer verified. fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-09T07:30:32.481968+00:00
source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.0972 uncertainty_s=0.1658
source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
{"s":"BTC","ts":["1788939006603","1788939033543"],"age":[27.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.5748,"settled_bp":0.4803,"oi_coin":27405.381}
{"s":"ETH","ts":["1788939006652","1788939033560"],"age":[27.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.5697,"settled_bp":0.7966,"oi_coin":617697.906}
{"s":"SOL","ts":["1788939007578","1788939033553"],"age":[26.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.3259,"settled_bp":-0.939,"oi_coin":2828683.1}
source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64]
source=https://www.usdc.com/ date=Sep 09, 2026. supply=74428659656.69
source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788912000,"circulating":74502816708.65785,"Ethereum":[1788912000,47212908551.24],"Solana":[1788912000,7180981974.08],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788912000,6911192810.28]}
END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://www.usdc.com/