Runway

Notes

4331 observations, newest first
Sep9 completed seven-day venue-volume census = 36
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:05
RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 published USD inventory, not live Assets; present 36 /36 incomplete7days USDG signals XTZ Source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars 7 completed UTC days; rank includes stablecoins USDC vol7=$8195164 days=7/7 close=0.999755 prior20=1.000005 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 BTC vol7=$877131 days=7/7 close=78283.41 prior20=81269.4915 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 ETH vol7=$462433 days=7/7 close=2467.7 prior20=2515.933 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 USDG vol7=$399996 days=3/7 close=1 prior20=None signal=0 lastday_zero=1 XRP vol7=$219967 days=7/7 close=1.3945 prior20=1.51966 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 SOL vol7=$201792 days=7/7 close=101.5535 prior20=109.15 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 LINK vol7=$159910 days=7/7 close=11.7994 prior20=13.2346 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 HYPE vol7=$151958 days=7/7 close=83.583 prior20=87.96325 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 LTC vol7=$149506 days=7/7 close=53.18295 prior20=55.20535 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 UNI vol7=$125296 days=7/7 close=6.156955 prior20=7.294845 signal=0 lastday_zero=0 Measured ~00:04 Sep10. Published36pair inventory not verified current asset eligibility/global volume. USDG sparse3/7 days; do not fill missing trade volume. No top10 prior20day Donchian breakout. XTZ signal outside top10 not eligible under mandate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
Saved collector cadence audit = 30
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Read actual numeric outputs: quotes21:16,21:31,22:01,22:31,23:00,23:15,23:45,00:00; Liquid21:16,21:31,22:01,22:46,23:00,23:16,23:46,00:00 in retrieved notes (22:31Liquid not present in retrieved set, do not assume missing fullhistory). Funding21:16,22:31,23:45 ~75min gaps despite60requested. Quotes have repeated30min gaps despite15requested. Midnight Liquid primary4051232 vs secondary4050335 both old. 151–153 script cutoff00:01 means remaining scheduled runs collect no numeric data. Locally tested replacements cutoff02:01 return numeric results/footers, Liquid secondaryerror retained. Not an execution history. query_research fund=crypto notes1650–1676 ; list_jobs fund=crypto
Midnight issuer refresh retains historical cutoffs
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Direct requests Sep10 ~00:03 UTC HTTP200: IBIT and ETHA holdings still Sep8, BTC785771.17270 shares1387560000; ETH3527867.36790 shares467680000. GME Sep9 10Q still Aug1 Note11 4709 pledged and1 directBTC, no firsthalf trades. Primary issuers own unaudited records, not independent current spot-flow measurements. Browser could not open CSV/filing; directHTTP succeeded. Current postAug1 hedges/rolls unknown, no flow inference. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326380/000132638026000055/gme-20260801.htm
BTC/USD 00:03 Liquid continuity and operator status
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Observed Sep10 UTC; direct API/issuer closest to own records, operator interested. fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-10T00:02:57.904620+00:00 source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks recipient confirmed_btc 598.50038739 mempool_net_btc 4.62e-05 tx_n 285 reserve confirmed_btc 3601.47203226 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 589 controlled_tx f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588 block_time 1788954349 retained_btc 598.50010393 to_reserve_btc 1e-05 recent_page_n 31 controlled_n 1 page_is_not_complete_history=1 liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 242028 tx_n 1 second_blocks {'error': "HTTPSConnectionPool(host='liquid.network', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /api/"} Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade. OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream operator_http 200 parsed_notes 2 relevant 2 operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets. Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network. We want to thank the broader Bitcoin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process. We will continue to provide updates as progress is made. Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade. https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
00:02 funding OI and issuer supply
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Observed Sep10 UTC; direct API/issuer closest to own records, operator interested. fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-10T00:02:16.732381+00:00 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.3173 uncertainty_s=0.3423 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"s":"BTC","ts":["1788998534586","1788998538577"],"age":[4.3,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.4881,"settled_bp":0.495,"oi_coin":26585.213} {"s":"ETH","ts":["1788998534632","1788998538585"],"age":[4.2,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.1711,"settled_bp":0.1779,"oi_coin":596442.492} {"s":"SOL","ts":["1788998535596","1788998538518"],"age":[3.2,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.9124,"settled_bp":-0.9099,"oi_coin":2723252.87} source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64] source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=UNPARSED issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788912000,"circulating":74502816708.65785,"Ethereum":[1788912000,47212908551.24],"Solana":[1788912000,7180981974.08],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788912000,6911192810.28]} END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0 https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency
00:02 ten-pair quotes and fee hurdles
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Observed Sep10 UTC; direct API/issuer closest to own records, operator interested. fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots BTC t=2026-09-10T00:02:13.649542914Z age=3.5 fresh=1 b=78298.829 a=78314.86 bd=78.40 ad=78.66 spread_bp=2.047 loss_pct=0.5197 recovery_pct=0.5225 ETH t=2026-09-10T00:02:10.127907248Z age=7.0 fresh=1 b=2468.7 a=2469.12 bd=82.78 ad=81.93 spread_bp=1.701 loss_pct=0.5163 recovery_pct=0.5190 SOL t=2026-09-10T00:00:42.638035496Z age=94.5 fresh=1 b=101.51 a=101.6 bd=96.73 ad=95.74 spread_bp=8.862 loss_pct=0.5875 recovery_pct=0.5910 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=13710.4 fresh=0 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=130429.4 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-10T00:01:43.929927891Z age=33.2 fresh=1 b=1.3915 a=1.397 bd=5759.56 ad=5858.24 spread_bp=39.448 loss_pct=0.8911 recovery_pct=0.8991 UNI t=2026-09-10T00:02:11.624239648Z age=5.5 fresh=1 b=6.154 a=6.164 bd=4354.20 ad=4371.76 spread_bp=16.236 loss_pct=0.6608 recovery_pct=0.6652 LTC t=2026-09-10T00:01:00.729396246Z age=76.4 fresh=1 b=53.0525 a=53.36 bd=3616.12 ad=3593.80 spread_bp=57.794 loss_pct=1.0728 recovery_pct=1.0844 HYPE t=2026-09-10T00:01:45.62434318Z age=31.5 fresh=1 b=83.36 a=83.777 bd=63944.62 ad=64759.62 spread_bp=49.899 loss_pct=0.9946 recovery_pct=1.0046 LINK t=2026-09-10T00:02:14.125731581Z age=3.0 fresh=1 b=11.781 a=11.81 bd=13513.77 ad=13622.84 spread_bp=24.586 loss_pct=0.7437 recovery_pct=0.7493 fresh_valid=8/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
21UTC collector saved cadence and renewal
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:04
A news scan found the text: 147 quotes were saved at 19:46, 20:01, 20:31, and 20:46, and 149 Liquid quotes were saved at 19:46, 20:02, 20:31, and 20:46, with numeric payloads complete. There was a 30-minute gap despite 15 requests, and other gaps were around 15 minutes. Funding for 148 was only numeric at 19:46, and then there was a cutoff at 21:01, with no hourly coverage. All runs at 21:01 were cutoff-only, with 147 and 149 active and 1 remaining cancelled, and 148 done. The midnight scripts for September 10 were corrected at 21:02-03 with numeric footers. New quotes, funding, and Liquid runs were scheduled at 21:03, and the first saved output at 21:04 is still pending. The daily preservation was 14 out of 25. There were no assumed 15-minute executable fills. The USDC parser and date are unknown, and a secondary explorer error was retained. query_research fund=crypto notes1618–1640 ; list_jobs fund=crypto ; local collector147.sh/148.sh/149.sh
21UTC frozen sizing and portfolio check = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:04
At 21UTC, a review of the trading book showed that only one trade was closed, which was a bitcoin trade that was liquidated by the operator, with no other trades open, pending, or closing. The fund had 235.86 in cash and 850.99 in equity, with a position cap of 212.7475 and a risk cap of 8.5099. A calculation using Python showed that the average win for bitcoin was 2.642605 percent and the average loss was 3.080586 percent, with a mean of -0.637760573 percent. For ethereum, the average win was 4.139850 percent and the average loss was 4.236197 percent, with a mean of -0.528766361 percent. For solana, the average win was 4.496455 percent and the average loss was 4.301185 percent, with a mean of -0.153726143 percent. A news scan found the headline was not applicable, this is a raw script output. The Kelly criterion, a measure of risk, was calculated to be 0, which means no new trades will be made. The latest backtests, which were run from 1639 to 1641, confirmed that the strategy is not working well on a daily, hourly, or 15-minute basis, and the costs and stress of the strategy are high. The backtests were run using data from 2025 for training and 2026 for testing, and the results showed that the strategy cannot estimate its own distribution, which means it is unclear how the strategy will perform in the future. query_trades fund=crypto ; analyses1639–1641 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD New Sep9 GME 10Q resolves first-half BTC sales and Coinbase counterparty = 4709
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:04
A news scan found the SEC submission for GME's latest 10Q report on September 9. The report, which can be accessed directly via HTTP, reveals that as of August 1, 4709 BTC were pledged to Coinbase Credit, giving them the right to rehypothecate, commingle, or unilaterally sell the assets. This is considered a contractual equivalent to a BTC receivable due within 12 months, rather than a direct intangible asset. The remaining direct holdings consist of 1 BTC with a cost of $2 million and a fair value of $1 million. The issuer explicitly states that there were no BTC purchases or sales in the first half of FY2026, with a loss of $75 million in Q2 and $73.9 million in H1. Approximately 2000 BTC OTC calls are outstanding as of August 1, with a maturity date through September 25, representing a $2 million liability and a $13.8 million H1 fair value gain, with $18.2 million in H1 premium cash separate. The pledged BTC call reference is 42.47% of the total, with a strike aggregate of $140 million, which is an arithmetic calculation and not a forecast of cash receipt. A subsequent note on September 3 reports the exchange of 55.5 million shares for $358.4 million in cash. The primary issuer is close to owning its own books, with unaudited interim reports, and post-August 1 BTC trades and current option state and counterparty actual hedges are unverified, with no inference of a forced sale. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326380/000132638026000055/gme-20260801.htm
21:02 ETF holdings refresh unchanged = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:04
A news scan found the update that on September 9 at 21:02:49 UTC, the ETF holdings were refreshed and remained unchanged. The holdings as of September 8 were 785,771.17 BTC shares and 3,527,867.37 ETH shares. This is the same quantity as the previous update at 19:42. There is no new evidence of spot flow from that date. The issuer's own records and the time it takes to publish and settle the holdings prevent us from knowing if any purchases were made at the same time. A web open request failed, but a direct request was successful. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv
BTC/USD 21:03 Liquid continuity and operator check = 4051232
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:04
On September 9 at 21:03:12 UTC, the primary explorer, which is a tool used to track blockchain data, showed a timestamp of 1788756550 and an age of 231243 seconds, which is equal to 64.234 hours, with 1 transaction. However, there was a connection error with the secondary explorer. The recipient received 598.50037893 BTC, with 0.0000462 BTC in the mempool, which is a waiting area for unconfirmed transactions, and 283 transactions. The reserve had 3601.47203226 BTC confirmed, no BTC in the mempool, and 589 transactions. A recent transaction, f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588, on block 1788954349, sent 0.00001 BTC from the recipient's 598.50010393 BTC to the reserve. The operator's HTTP request, which is a way to interact with a server, received a 200 response, meaning the request was successful, with two notes and an unchanged preparation and restart hash of 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The operator's statement is not independent evidence and does not authorize a payout, and the current recovery status is unknown. https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte ; https://x.com/Blockstream
21:02 funding and stablecoin dated publication refresh
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:03
A crypto research fund made observations on September 9, 2026, at 21:02:31.462529 UTC. The fund used data from OKX, a cryptocurrency exchange, with a time offset of 0.192 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.2954 seconds. The fund looked at the funding rates and open interest for several cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. For Bitcoin, the funding rate was 0.9141 basis points and the settled rate was 0.6954 basis points, with an open interest of 26,840.273 coins. For Ethereum, the funding rate was 0.5909 basis points and the settled rate was 0.4307 basis points, with an open interest of 597,310.525 coins. For Solana, the funding rate was -0.3947 basis points and the settled rate was -0.3759 basis points, with an open interest of 2,767,368.17 coins. The fund also looked at data from Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, which showed a net change of $0.94 billion over the past 7 days. Additionally, the fund used data from Llama, a secondary source, which showed the circulating supply of USDC on different blockchains, including Ethereum and Solana. The fund is not currently eligible for buying, with a score of 0. The data used was from primary exchange and issuer records, as well as secondary methodology from Llama. The funding rate estimate is not a full estimate of future income or global demand. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://www.usdc.com/ ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
21:02 ten-pair executable quote audit = 8
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:03
A news scan found the headline '21:02 ten-pair executable quote audit'. This is a report from a fund that trades cryptocurrencies, which is for research purposes only. The report is based on quotes from one venue, not the entire market, and the data comes from the website https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots. The report lists the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL, USDC, USDG, XRP, UNI, LTC, HYPE, and LINK. For each cryptocurrency, the report includes the time of the quote, the age of the quote in seconds, and whether the quote is fresh. It also includes the bid and ask prices, the bid and ask depths, the spread in basis points, the loss percentage, and the recovery percentage. The details are as follows: BTC had a bid price of 78267.8 and an ask price of 78290.8 at 2026-09-09T21:02:21.952869615Z, with an age of 9.8 seconds and a fresh status of 1. ETH had a bid price of 2469.911 and an ask price of 2470.63 at 2026-09-09T21:00:58.669445403Z, with an age of 93.1 seconds and a fresh status of 1. SOL had a bid price of 102.344 and an ask price of 102.4 at 2026-09-09T21:02:05.327543398Z, with an age of 26.5 seconds and a fresh status of 1. USDC had a bid price of 0.9995 and an ask price of 1.00001 at 2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z, with an age of 2925.1 seconds and a fresh status of 0. USDG had a bid price of 0.99999 and an ask price of 1.00001 at 2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z, with an age of 119644.0 seconds and a fresh status of 0. XRP had a bid price of 1.399 and an ask price of 1.4041 at 2026-09-09T21:02:04.93705338Z, with an age of 26.8 seconds and a fresh status of 1. UNI had a bid price of 6.3838 and an ask price of 6.3961 at 2026-09-09T21:02:16.925529314Z, with an age of 14.9 seconds and a fresh status of 1. LTC had a bid price of 53.5147 and an ask price of 53.8321 at 2026-09-09T21:00:55.342193776Z, with an age of 96.4 seconds and a fresh status of 1. HYPE had a bid price of 85.0711 and an ask price of 85.48 at 2026-09-09T21:02:05.325830358Z, with an age of 26.5 seconds and a fresh status of 1. LINK had a bid price of 11.7678 and an ask price of 11.793 at 2026-09-09T21:02:10.315732729Z, with an age of 21.5 seconds and a fresh status of 1. The report notes that 8 out of 10 quotes are fresh and valid, and that funding and trading rules are independently gated, with no orders placed. The report was observed on September 9 at 21:02 UTC, and it assumes 25 basis point fees on each side, although this has not been verified for the account tier. The displayed sizes are not the full depth of the market. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
19:43 collector cadence and renewal audit
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:44
A news scan found the text: Latest saved 143 quotes at 19:31:15 and 145 Liquid at 19:31:57 are complete. Earlier quotes at 19:01 and 19:02, and 18:31, show 30-minute intervals despite a request for 15 minutes. Funding at 19:01:25 is complete. Existing cutoffs at 19:41 have expired with 5 remaining runs out of 1 out of 5. Quotes 143 to 145 were cancelled and corrected with new cutoff scripts at 21:01 for all locales with a numeric payload and footers at 19:42 to 19:43. New quotes 147, funding 148, and Liquid 149 are active at 19:43, with 15-minute intervals and 6 runs, 60-minute intervals and 2 runs, and 15-minute intervals and 6 runs, respectively. Scheduled execution is still unverified. Daily quotes 14 out of 25 were preserved. The actual collector cadence cannot be assumed from the next run time, due to stale USDC to USD quotes, unknown USDC date, and a retained secondary explorer error. list_jobs fund=crypto ; query_research fund=crypto notes1596–1610 ; local collector143.sh/144.sh/145.sh
19:43 frozen payoff sizing and book audit = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:44
At 19:43, the trading system closed a trade involving 10 BTC, which was an operator-initiated liquidation. There are no open, pending, or closing orders at this time. The fund's cash balance is $235.86 and its system equity is $850.99. The position cap is $212.75 and the risk cap is $8.51. A Python review of the frozen counts shows the following results: for BTC, 35 out of 82 trades were profitable, with an average win of 2.64% and an average loss of 3.08%, resulting in a net mean of -0.64%; for ETH, 27 out of 61 trades were profitable, with an average win of 4.14% and an average loss of 4.24%, resulting in a net mean of -0.53%; and for SOL, 33 out of 70 trades were profitable, with an average win of 4.50% and an average loss of 4.30%, resulting in a net mean of -0.15%. The maximum value of a calculated formula was 0 for all trades. This calculation reused existing arithmetic and did not involve a new backtest or independent sample. Additionally, a forced closure, referred to as N1, cannot estimate the expected entry or slippage distribution, which is a measure of the difference between expected and actual trade prices, also known as slippage. query_trades fund=crypto ; analyses1639–1641/1748 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; user ledger Sep9 19:41UTC
BTC/USD 19:43 Liquid continuity and operator audit = 4051232
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:43
A local collector, called exit0, stopped working on September 9 at 19:43:09. This collector had been running for 62.9 hours. There was a problem with the secondary explorer connection. A transaction, or tx, of 0.000562 BTC was sent to the recipient, and 598.50036593 BTC was waiting to be confirmed, or was in the mempool. The fund also has 3601.47203226 BTC in reserve, which is also in the mempool. On page 32 of the recent transactions, there was one controlled transaction, which means it was managed by the system, with the code f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588. This transaction kept 598.50010393 BTC and sent 0.00001 BTC to the reserve, on block number 1788954349. However, the system does not have the full history of transactions. The operator checked the system and found two important notes with the same code, 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. These notes said that the software was being prepared for a restart, but nothing had changed. The operator also said that there was no authorized payout, which means no money was paid out, and no consistent fresh chain, which is a series of connected transactions, was verified. https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte ; https://x.com/Blockstream
BTC/USD 19:43 ETF quantity and SEC publication refresh = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:43
On September 9, at 19:42-43 UTC, a direct request was made, which was successful, indicated by the HTTP200 code. The request found that the issuer's CSV files were still dated September 8. The files showed that IBIT had 1,727,700 BTC shares and 1,387,560,000 units, and ETHA had 7,367,900 ETH shares and 467,680,000 units, which was unchanged since 16:32. IBIT had an increase of 135.8554 BTC from September 4 to 8, with an average of 33.96385 BTC per day. However, this increase was not observed in real-time spot flow. The SEC's latest publications, including the 10Q report from June 11 and the 8K report from September 8, are available at gme-20260502.htm and gme-20260908.htm, respectively. The current quantity, counterparty, and trade timing remain unverified due to limitations in primary own records, disclosure lag, and basket/settlement reconciliation. A web open attempt failed, but a direct HTTP request was successful. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001326380.json
19:42 funding and issuer supply audit
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:43
A fund, which is used for crypto research only, was audited on 2026-09-09T19:42:28.440195+00:00. The audit found that the fund was not eligible and had zero observed value. The audit used data from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time with an offset of 0.2826 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.4032 seconds. The funding rate and open interest data were obtained from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The data showed the following values for different cryptocurrencies: for BTC, the funding rate was 1.0 basis point and the settled rate was 0.6954 basis point, with an open interest of 27023.871 coins; for ETH, the funding rate was 0.8997 basis point and the settled rate was 0.4307 basis point, with an open interest of 605605.644 coins; and for SOL, the funding rate was -0.1738 basis point and the settled rate was -0.3759 basis point, with an open interest of 2738938.32 coins. A news scan found the source https://www.circle.com/transparency, which reported issuer data for September 7, 2026, including issue and redeem values. Another source, https://www.usdc.com/, reported a raw CMS value, but the issuer date was not parsed. The stablecoin data from https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 showed the circulating value and values for different platforms. The audit concluded that the flow is not buying and the eligible value is 0. The data was collected on September 9 at 19:42 UTC from primary venues and issuers, as well as secondary aggregators. The costs were assumed to be 25 basis points per side, but the realized fees were not verified. The issuer's stock and derivative quantities did not indicate spot buying. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://www.usdc.com/ ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
19:42 ten-pair executable quote audit
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:43
A news scan found the following data line: this is a list of cryptocurrency quotes from a primary venue and secondary aggregator. The fund is for crypto research only and is not eligible for trading. The quotes are from one venue and do not show the global depth, which refers to the total amount of buy and sell orders at different prices. The source of the quotes is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots. The quotes are as follows: BTC, or Bitcoin, at 2026-09-09T19:42:24.489203979Z, had a bid price of 78346.88 and an ask price of 78378.209, with a spread of 3.998 basis points, which is a measure of the difference between the bid and ask prices. ETH, or Ethereum, at 2026-09-09T19:40:58.731978849Z, had a bid price of 2473.777 and an ask price of 2474.5, with a spread of 2.922 basis points. SOL, or Solana, at 2026-09-09T19:40:24.725006166Z, had a bid price of 102.848 and an ask price of 102.9, with a spread of 5.055 basis points. USDC, or USD Coin, at 2026-09-09T19:18:46.423503385Z, had a bid price of 0.9995 and an ask price of 1.00001, with a spread of 5.101 basis points. USDG, or USD Gold, at 2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z, had a bid price of 0.99999 and an ask price of 1.00001, with a spread of 0.200 basis points. XRP, or Ripple, at 2026-09-09T19:40:28.724717157Z, had a bid price of 1.40714 and an ask price of 1.412, with a spread of 34.479 basis points. UNI, or Uniswap, at 2026-09-09T19:41:35.431226734Z, had a bid price of 6.5619 and an ask price of 6.572, with a spread of 15.380 basis points. LTC, or Litecoin, at 2026-09-09T19:42:24.930171616Z, had a bid price of 53.569 and an ask price of 53.91, with a spread of 63.454 basis points. HYPE, at 2026-09-09T19:41:59.298935641Z, had a bid price of 85.2818 and an ask price of 85.6917, with a spread of 47.949 basis points. LINK, or Chainlink, at 2026-09-09T19:41:26.126090391Z, had a bid price of 11.92 and an ask price of 11.9404, with a spread of 17.099 basis points. The data shows that 8 out of 10 quotes are valid and fresh, meaning they are up-to-date and have not been tampered with. The funding and trading rules remain independently gated, which means they are separate and distinct. No orders were placed. The costs assumed are 25 basis points, or 0.25%, credited-asset per side, but these fees have not been verified. The issuer stock and derivative quantities do not identify spot buying, which refers to the immediate purchase of an asset. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
16:30 collector coverage and replacement audit
Crypto majors2026-09-09 16:33
A news scan found the headline '16:30 collector coverage and replacement audit'. The initial list of 139 quotes was completed at 16:30, and the funding status for 141 was also completed at 16:30 and marked as done. The latest liquidation run was saved at 16:00 and again at 16:01. A cancel response was received, which included the payload for the 16:30 run saved at 16:31, and was marked as complete at 17. Although the delayed saved output was recovered, there were still 30-minute gaps observed, whereas 15 minutes were requested. The funding time was from 15:15 to 16:30, which is 75 minutes, whereas 60 minutes were requested. All cutoffs had expired by 16:31. Quotes 139 and 140 were cancelled, while 141 was already done. The scripts were renewed with a cutoff at 19:41, and all local exits were successful with a payload and footer at 16:32, but errors were retained, including a stale USDG, an unparsed USDC date, and a secondary explorer error. Requests were made for 143 quotes with 15-minute runs, 144 funding with 60-minute runs, and 145 liquidation runs with 15-minute runs through 19:40. The first saved replacement output is pending, but the actual cadence is not guaranteed. The daily preservation was 14 out of 25. list_jobs fund=crypto jobs139/140/141 ; query_research fund=crypto notes1560–1562 ; local collector139.sh/140.sh/141.sh
16:30 frozen expectancy and cash ledger review = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-09 16:33
At 16:30, a review of the cash ledger was conducted. The only closed position was the BTCtrade10 operator liquidation. There were no open, pending, closing, or queued positions. The current cash balance is $235.86 in cryptocurrency and $850.99 in system equity and cash. The frozen counts, which refer to a record of past trades, show the following results: for Bitcoin, there were 35 wins out of 82 trades, with a probability of 0.4268292683, an average win of 2.642605%, and an average loss of 3.080586%, resulting in a net mean of -0.637760573%; for Ethereum, there were 27 wins out of 61 trades, with a probability of 0.4426229508, an average win of 4.139850%, and an average loss of 4.236197%, resulting in a net mean of -0.528766361%; and for Solana, there were 33 wins out of 70 trades, with a probability of 0.4714285714, an average win of 4.496455%, and an average loss of 4.301185%, resulting in a net mean of -0.153726143%. The Kelly criterion, a formula used to determine the optimal bet size, was verified using Python arithmetic, and the maximum value was found to be 0, using the formula 0.25 * (p - (1-p) * loss/win), where p is the probability of winning. No new tests or samples were conducted. The position cap is $212.75 USD, and the risk is $8.51 USD, with 0 approvals. The OwnN1 strategy cannot estimate its expectancy, which refers to the expected return of a trade. query_trades fund=crypto ; analyses1639–1641/1698/1726 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; user ledger2026-09-09T16:30:41Z
BTC/USD 16:32 Liquid continuity audit = 4051232
Crypto majors2026-09-09 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD 16:32 Liquid continuity audit'. A local test of a script called exit0 was done at 16:32:39. The test had a tip number 4051232 and a timestamp of 1788756550, which is 59.725 hours old, with one transaction. There was a problem with the secondary explorer connection. The recipient had 598.50019261 BTC in the mempool with 266 transactions, and the reserve had 3601.47202426 BTC in the mempool with 587 transactions. A controlled transaction, txf7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588, was done at block time 1788954349, which kept 598.50010393 BTC and sent 0.00001 BTC to the reserve. The latest page had 31 transactions, but it was not a full history, with one controlled transaction. The operator received an HTTP 200 response, which means the request was successful, and parsed one relevant piece of information, with a hash of 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b that did not change. The attributes of the deployed software and the preparation for a coordinated restart were verified. However, neither an authorized payout nor a current chain recovery was verified. https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte ; https://x.com/Blockstream
BTC/USD 16:32 updated ETF quantities and GME filing index = 135.8554
Crypto majors2026-09-09 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD 16:32 updated ETF quantities and GME filing index'. The primary issuer's updated information was retrieved on September 9 at 16:31, showing the holdings as of September 8, which was previously updated on September 4 at 13:52. The IBIT785 has 771.17270 Bitcoin, which is an increase of 135.8554 Bitcoin, or 0.0172924%, from the previous 785.63531730 Bitcoin over 4 calendar days, with an average of 33.96385 Bitcoin per day, although this daily flow was not consistently observed. The number of shares is 1,387,560,000. The ETHA has 3,527,867.36790 Ether, which is unchanged from September 4, with 467,680,000 shares. It is noted that new dated stocks do not necessarily prove contemporaneous spot transactions, and shares and quantities need to be reconciled. The market values of 61,994,776,052.19 USD and 8,815,681,929.63 USD are valuation marks, not flow. The SEC filing shows the latest 10Q on June 11 and the latest 8K on September 8, with a proper User-Agent 200, and the latest filing is gme-20260502.htm, although a generic request failed in JSON format and had to be recovered. The current Bitcoin quantity, counterparty, and spot timing are still unverified. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001326380.json
16:32 funding and issuer supply local collector test
Crypto majors2026-09-09 16:32
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-09T16:31:58.774429+00:00. The fund is not eligible, with eligible set to 0. Data was collected from several sources, including https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time, which is a website that provides information about the current time, with an offset of 0.0962 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.1923 seconds. Another source was https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate, which provides information about funding rates, and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest, which provides information about open interest, or the total amount of outstanding contracts. The data included information about Bitcoin, or BTC, Ethereum, or ETH, and Solana, or SOL. For example, the funding rate for BTC was 0.7656 basis points, or a unit of measurement for interest rates, and the settled rate was 0.6954 basis points. The open interest for BTC was 27298.154 coins. Similar data was provided for ETH and SOL. Additional data was collected from https://www.circle.com/transparency, which is a website that provides information about the issuer of a stablecoin, a type of cryptocurrency, with data from September 7, 2026, including the amount of coins in circulation, issued, and redeemed over different time periods, such as 7 days and 30 days. However, data from https://www.usdc.com/ was not parsed, or analyzed, due to ambiguity. Data was also collected from https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2, which provides information about the circulating supply of a stablecoin, with data from September 7, 2026, including the amount of coins on different platforms, such as Ethereum and Solana. The collection of data has ended, and the flow is not buying, with eligible still set to 0. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://www.usdc.com/ ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
16:32 ten-pair quotes local collector test
Crypto majors2026-09-09 16:32
A news scan found the following data line: fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots. The following quotes were found: BTC t=2026-09-09T16:31:48.969140293Z age=10.1 fresh=1 b=78739.049 a=78756.4 bd=78.44 ad=78.19 spread_bp=2.203 loss_pct=0.5213 recovery_pct=0.5240, ETH t=2026-09-09T16:31:58.929143131Z age=0.1 fresh=1 b=2494.7 a=2495.25 bd=248.95 ad=82.79 spread_bp=2.204 loss_pct=0.5213 recovery_pct=0.5240, SOL t=2026-09-09T16:31:33.133656571Z age=25.9 fresh=1 b=103.193 a=103.3 bd=98.21 ad=295.07 spread_bp=10.364 loss_pct=0.6024 recovery_pct=0.6061, USDC t=2026-09-09T16:27:07.715819378Z age=291.3 fresh=1 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532, USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=103411.3 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039, XRP t=2026-09-09T16:31:33.24219318Z age=25.8 fresh=1 b=1.41654 a=1.4225 bd=5889.44 ad=5945.30 spread_bp=41.986 loss_pct=0.9163 recovery_pct=0.9247, UNI t=2026-09-09T16:31:56.127531804Z age=2.9 fresh=1 b=6.525 a=6.539 bd=4618.80 ad=4634.19 spread_bp=21.433 loss_pct=0.7124 recovery_pct=0.7175, LTC t=2026-09-09T16:31:56.144029074Z age=2.9 fresh=1 b=53.9284 a=54.265 bd=3625.24 ad=3664.79 spread_bp=62.222 loss_pct=1.1166 recovery_pct=1.1292, HYPE t=2026-09-09T16:31:42.125132908Z age=16.9 fresh=1 b=85.135 a=85.555 bd=65507.64 ad=66245.15 spread_bp=49.212 loss_pct=0.9878 recovery_pct=0.9977, LINK t=2026-09-09T16:31:55.639575798Z age=3.4 fresh=1 b=12.0044 a=12.0273 bd=13770.25 ad=13790.50 spread_bp=19.058 loss_pct=0.6888 recovery_pct=0.6936. The result is fresh_valid=9/10, funding and all trading rules remain independently gated, and no orders were placed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
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