A news scan found the following data line for an ETH/USD risk scenario: the scenario has 10000 paths, a horizon of 20 days, and a block size of 3 days. The history returns are 253, the close price is 2436.8075, and the average true range over 14 days is 88.01349369021425. The stop percentage is 7.2236722589055 and the target percentage is 21.671016776716478. The stop first percentage is 51.910000000000004 and the target first percentage is 10.290000000000001. The neither percentage is 37.8. The terminal percentage at the 5th percentile is -22.93858058282542, at the 50th percentile is -1.3666433427452385, and at the 95th percentile is 25.579516845056595. The account loss at the 5th percentile, assuming a notional value of 212, is -5.734645145706355. This scenario uses a numpy seed of 911 and 253 daily close returns, with 3-day circular blocks and a 20-day horizon. It includes first daily close threshold comparisons, but excludes fees, intraday hits, and live 15-minute execution. The scenario is unconditional and does not account for breakout-conditioned odds or validated exit probability. The account loss figure assumes the position is held for 20 days without stops and does not account for gap-through-stop value at risk.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD C91100 10000-path circular block bootstrap risk scenario'. This is a description of a risk scenario for the Bitcoin to US Dollar exchange rate. The scenario uses 10000 paths, a horizon of 20 days, and blocks of 3 days. It is based on 253 days of history, with a closing price of 76535.875. The average true range over 14 days is 2283.57. The stop loss percentage is 5.97 and the target percentage is 17.90. The first stop loss percentage is 47.50 and the first target percentage is 7.27. The percentage of times neither the stop nor the target is reached is 45.23. The terminal percentage at the 5th percentile is -17.15, at the 50th percentile is -0.99, and at the 95th percentile is 18.08. The account loss at the 5th percentile, assuming a notional value of 212 and holding for 20 days without stops, is -4.29. This scenario excludes fees, intraday hits, and live 15-minute execution, and is unconditional, meaning it is not based on breakout-conditioned odds or validated exit probability. It also assumes that the position is held for 20 days without stops, and does not account for gap-through-stop Value at Risk.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
C91100 collector actual delivery gap audit = 30.0254333333
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:09
A news scan found the following data: a list of events with their timestamps and durations. The events occurred on September 10 and 11, 2026, with the following details: a list of 8 events with IDs from 2062 to 2084, all marked as ended, with time gaps between them ranging from 14.99965 to 30.02543 minutes, on a 15-minute schedule. Eight quote notes were present, all with numeric END values. The maximum time gap between arrivals was 30.02543 minutes. Jobs 193 and 194 were cancelled and exhausted, respectively. Replacements, jobs 197 and 198, were tested with 15-minute and 60-minute runs, respectively, and queued with a 02:01 cutoff, but receipts have not yet been proven. 14 out of 25 daily records were preserved. No snapshots were claimed to validate 15-minute exits.
query_research fund=crypto kind=notes ; list_jobs fund=crypto
A news scan found the following data: the C91100 complete-day daily/hourly OHLCV integrity audit retrieved on September 11, 2024, at 00:02-00:06 UTC, analyzed price histories from January 1, 2024, to September 10, 2026. The audit checked the integrity of the following symbols: BTC/USD, ETH/USD, and SOL/USD. For each symbol, the audit found the following results: BTC/USD had 981 matched complete days with maximum absolute percentage differences of 6.206399800071449 for open, 2.2596487831851753 for high, 3.986148185381033 for low, 0.09466344180356634 for close, and 96.61462804000152 for volume. ETH/USD had 981 matched complete days with maximum absolute percentage differences of 7.906757799659836 for open, 0.8624593179567097 for high, 6.887441511546255 for low, 0.09229312604202011 for close, and 99.35576870053565 for volume. SOL/USD had 742 matched complete days with maximum absolute percentage differences of 10.299202652561789 for open, 6.29203081759413 for high, 11.284794851166534 for low, 0.115373887466097 for close, and 95.3366888897674 for volume. The audit only matched days with 24 hourly bars and found large discrepancies in open, high, low, and volume, although closes were mostly within 10 basis points. The audit also found a real aggregation mismatch, not solely due to missing hours. The endpoint pagination returned 170-292 bars despite a limit of 10000, which was repaired with exhaustive symbol-year pages after a 429 backoff. The backtest first harness check caught default short reversals, so no results were accepted, and the test was rerun with explicit direction set to long only and exact trade-count reconciliation.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
C91100 fresh 36-pair seven-day calendar-volume census = 36
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:07
This is research data, not live assets, and it is about the US dollar inventory. The data is from 36 pairs over a 7-day period, but it is not complete. The data comes from a website, https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars, and it includes stablecoins. The data shows the volume and closing prices for different cryptocurrencies, including USDC, USDG, BTC, ETH, XRP, LTC, SOL, LINK, HYPE, and UNI, over a 7-day period from September 4 to 10. The volume is measured over 7 days, and the closing price is compared to the price 20 days prior. The signal is 0 for all pairs, meaning there is no close breakout. The data was observed on September 11 at 00:06 UTC. The rank is based on the observed volume, even if the data is not complete, like USDG which only has 3 days of data. This diagnostic is different from the 20-day high rule.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD C91100 100 settled funding observations distribution = 34
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:06
A news scan found the headline 'SOL/USD C91100 100 settled funding observations distribution'. This refers to a distribution of funding observations for the cryptocurrency SOL. The data covers 100 observations from August 9, 2026, to September 11, 2026. The sum of the basis points, which is a unit of measurement for interest rates, is 24.875174324656. The mean basis point is 0.24875174324656002, the median is 0.12259378683149999, and the standard deviation is 0.5954760689012352. The fifth percentile is -0.7279581012096501 and the 95th percentile is 1. The latest settled basis point is -0.069736727318, which is at the 34th percentile. The current indicative basis point is -0.0661, also at the 34th percentile. The data is based on 8-hour intervals and was retrieved on September 11 at 00:05 UTC from a direct exchange history of one venue's USDT swaps, using the realised rate. The data covers 100 payments over 33 days, including the endpoints, and the sums are normalized for constant-notional funding, not actual compounded strategy return. The indicative funding is compared separately, with no claim of extreme price edge.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history
ETH/USD C91100 100 settled funding observations distribution = 18
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:06
A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD C91100 100 settled funding observations distribution'. This refers to a distribution of funding observations for the Ethereum to US Dollar currency pair. The data includes 100 observations from August 9, 2026, to September 11, 2026. The sum of the basis points is 61.908647334528006, the mean is 0.6190864733452801, the median is 0.6734034539895, and the standard deviation is 0.33730522247570616. The 5th percentile is 0.1293845328067 and the 95th percentile is 1. The latest settled basis point is 0.30527365272, which is at the 18th percentile. The current indicative basis point is 0.3148, which is at the 19th percentile. The data is based on 8-hour intervals and was retrieved on September 11 at 00:05 UTC from a direct exchange history of one venue and USDT swaps, with realised rate preferred. The data covers 100 payments over 33 days, including the endpoints, and the sums are normalized constant-notional funding, not actual compounded strategy return. The indicative funding is compared separately, with no extreme price-edge claim.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history
BTC/USD C91100 100 settled funding observations distribution = 70
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:06
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD C91100 100 settled funding observations distribution'. This refers to a distribution of funding observations for the Bitcoin to US Dollar exchange rate. The data includes 100 observations from August 9, 2026, to September 11, 2026. The sum of the basis points, which are a unit of measurement for interest rates and funding costs, is 62.024328363245. The mean basis point is 0.62024328363245, the median basis point is 0.6469380933205, and the standard deviation of the basis points is 0.324151278552055. The fifth percentile of the basis points is 0.005875445090100004 and the 95th percentile is 1. The latest settled basis point is 0.876022471315, which is at the 70th percentile. The current indicative basis point is 0.8731, which is at the 69th percentile. The data is based on 8-hour intervals and was retrieved on September 11 at 00:05 UTC from a direct exchange history of one venue's USDT swaps, with a preference for realised rate. The data covers 100 payments over 33 days, including the endpoints, and the sums are normalized to a constant notional funding, rather than actual compounded strategy return. The indicative funding is compared separately, with no claim of extreme price-edge.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history
USDC/USD C91100 Arc dated catalyst and value capture baseline reverified = 151
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:06
On September 11 at 00:05 UTC, it was observed that the issuer, in its August 5 report for the second quarter of 2026, stated that the on-chain volume was $14.8 trillion, which is a 151% increase from the same period last year. The revenue from reserve income was $701 million, a 7% increase, with $668 million coming from reserve income. The costs for distribution, transactions, and other expenses were $412 million. The issuer also anticipated that the Arc public mainnet would be available on September 16. This information comes from a promotional and forward-looking source from the issuer, and it does not confirm the launch completion or revenue for ETH or SOL holders. The existing monitor, number 104, has been retained.
https://www.circle.com/pressroom/circle-reports-second-quarter-2026-results
IBIT C91100 IBIT period mismatch prevents current flow inference = 1387800000
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:06
A news scan found the headline 'IBIT C91100 IBIT period mismatch prevents current flow inference'. Observed on September 11 at 00:05 UTC, the direct fund issuer page showed that there were 1,387,800,000 shares outstanding and net assets of $61,597,491,337 as of September 9, with a net asset value of $44.38, a discount of 0.21%, and a basket of 22.65 BTC. The benchmark was 77,140.85 and was dated September 10. Because the periods are different, it is not possible to infer whether there were net creations or spot flows on September 10 from the assets under management or the benchmark. No matched consecutive shares baseline was retrieved.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf
C91100 exchange funding and issuer stablecoin period audit
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:02
The fund is for crypto research only and is not eligible, as observed on 2026-09-11T00:01:36.025723+00:00. A news scan found the source https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time with an offset of 0.1433 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.2279 seconds. Another source, https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest, provided the following data: for Bitcoin, the funding rate was 0.8731 basis points and the settled rate was 0.876 basis points, with an open interest of 29195.987 coins. For Ethereum, the funding rate was 0.3148 basis points and the settled rate was 0.3053 basis points, with an open interest of 592339.331 coins. For Solana, the funding rate was -0.0661 basis points and the settled rate was -0.0697 basis points, with an open interest of 2706537.28 coins. A scan of https://www.circle.com/transparency found that on September 7, 2026, the issuer had a balance of 74.28, with 8.8 issued and 7.86 redeemed in the last 7 days, 36.59 issued and 34.37 redeemed in the last 30 days, and 333.52 issued and 331.64 redeemed in the last 365 days. A raw data line from https://www.usdc.com/ showed a value of 74185382472.632037581, but the issuer date was not parsed. A stablecoin data source, https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2, reported a circulating value of 74386006033.1783 on a timestamp of 1788998400, with breakdowns of 47146319984.45 on Ethereum, 7103929420.46 on Solana, and 6887999675.1 on Hyperliquid L1. The collection ended with no eligible funds, and the flow is not buying. The direct exchange and issuer data were compared to secondary data from Llama, and the usdc.com CMS number was parsed but requires reconciliation. The Circle data remains from September 7.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://www.usdc.com/ ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
C91100 fresh quotes and Liquid audit
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:02
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-11T00:02:16.945303+00:00. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL, USDC, USDG, XRP, UNI, LTC, HYPE, and LINK. For each one, it checked the current buy and sell prices, how old the prices were, if the prices were valid, the depth of the market in US dollars, and a hurdle percentage, which is a measure of how hard it is to buy or sell. The results were: BTC buy 76530.6, sell 76562.676, age 41, valid, depth 75.8/76.9, hurdle 0.544; ETH buy 2437.5, sell 2438.064, age 46, valid, depth 81.3/81.1, hurdle 0.525; SOL buy 98.78937, sell 98.79, age 47, valid, depth 5.3/282.8, hurdle 0.503; USDC buy 0.9995, sell 1, age 9684, not valid, depth 9995000.0/46000.0, hurdle 0.552; USDG buy 0.99999, sell 1.00001, age 72615, not valid, depth 9999900.0/10000100.0, hurdle 0.504; XRP buy 1.3349671, sell 1.3373, age 47, valid, depth 100.0/5616.0, hurdle 0.678; UNI buy 5.95608, sell 5.9694, age 44, valid, depth 4219.5/4229.3, hurdle 0.727; LTC buy 52.193084, sell 52.28, age 42, valid, depth 100.0/3516.0, hurdle 0.669; HYPE buy 78.406, sell 78.76, age 66, valid, depth 60231.5/61195.7, hurdle 0.956; and LINK buy 11.439, sell 11.46, age 66, valid, depth 13167.9/13158.0, hurdle 0.686. The fund got fresh quotes for 8 out of 10 cryptocurrencies. It also looked at the recipient and reserve balances in BTC: recipient 598.50048115, reserve 3601.47203772. The recent page was 47, controlled 0, and not full history 1. The tip was 4051934, age 67 seconds, and time 1789084870. There was an error connecting to a second source. The operator notes were 2 and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The operator claimed that following a recent incident on the Liquid Network, Blockstream made some changes. The fund observed this on 2026-09-11 and used direct hosted APIs and an operator statement, assuming a 25 basis points per side fee, and excluding depth slippage from the hurdle. The recipient balance increased by 0.00004000 BTC since 21:02, but this is considered dust and not an authenticated payout. An independent explorer timed out. The fund attempted 7 panels, but this does not mean it had 7 successes.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://blockstream.info/api/ ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
C91021 direct quote and Liquid monitor review
Crypto majors2026-09-10 21:02
A direct collector observed the following on 2026-09-10 at 21:02:06 UTC: the exit attempt was 0 numeric and 7 out of 7 were attempted. The prices for Bitcoin were 77249.01 to buy and 77277.64 to sell, with an age of 83 seconds and a depth of 77.1 to 76.7 in USD, and a hurdle of 0.539%. The hurdle is calculated as 100 times the difference between the ask and bid prices, adjusted for a 25 basis point spread. The prices for Ethereum were 2461.8 to buy and 2462.5 to sell, with an age of 84 seconds and a depth of 82.7 to 82.3, and a hurdle of 0.530%. The prices for Solana were 100.04 to buy and 100.141 to sell, with an age of 83 seconds and a depth of 285.3 to 95.1, and a hurdle of 0.603%. The prices for USDC were 0.9995 to buy and 1.00001 to sell, with an age of 2895 seconds and considered stale. The prices for USDG were 0.99999 to buy and 1.00001 to sell, with an age of 61804 seconds and considered stale. Other observed prices included XRP at 1.352 to buy and 1.357 to sell, with a hurdle of 0.874%; UNI at 6.05166 to buy and 6.0639 to sell, with a hurdle of 0.705%; LTC at 52.219 to buy and 52.539 to sell, with a hurdle of 1.118%; HYPE at 80.3 to buy and 80.686 to sell, with a hurdle of 0.985%; and LINK at 11.58 to buy and 11.602 to sell, with a hurdle of 0.693%. 8 out of 10 observations were fresh. The recipient had 598.50044115 BTC in the mempool, with a net value of 0.0000562 and 292 transactions. The reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC in the mempool, with 0 transactions and 590 transactions in the latest 32 transactions. The liquid monitor had a timestamp of 1789074070 and an age of 56 seconds, with a change of +80. An independent explorer had a connect timeout. The operator had 2 notes, with a hash of 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b that was unchanged. The mempool dust changed, but there was no authorized payout, recovery, or sale. The primary hosted explorer and operator statements are not independent confirmations.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://blockstream.info/api/ ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
C91021 primary funding and stablecoin snapshot
Crypto majors2026-09-10 21:02
A fund for crypto research was observed on September 10, 2026, at 21:01:25.303887 UTC. The fund was not eligible, with a value of 0. The data came from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time, with an offset of 0.3672 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.4008 seconds. Additional data came from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The funding rates and open interest for three cryptocurrencies were: BTC, with a funding rate of 1.0 basis points and settled rate of 0.9658 basis points, and open interest of 29209.451 coins; ETH, with a funding rate of -0.2093 basis points and settled rate of -0.6047 basis points, and open interest of 597531.929 coins; and SOL, with a funding rate of -0.0361 basis points and settled rate of -0.3151 basis points, and open interest of 2698075.66 coins. A news scan found the source https://www.circle.com/transparency, which reported on September 7, 2026, that the issuer had 74.28 billion in circulation, with 8.8 billion issued and 7.86 billion redeemed in the last 7 days, and 36.59 billion issued and 34.37 billion redeemed in the last 30 days. Another source, https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2, reported a circulating value of 74386006033.1783, with breakdowns by blockchain: Ethereum had 47146319984.45, Solana had 7103929420.46, and Hyperliquid L1 had 6887999675.1. The flow is not buying, and the eligible value is 0. The data came from direct exchange and issuer sources, as well as secondary aggregation from Llama.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
C91021 frozen payoff and collector audit = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-10 21:02
On 2026-09-10 at 21:01 UTC, a Python arithmetic audit was performed, which is not a new backtest. The results for BTC, or Bitcoin, showed a win rate of 41.6667% with daily and hourly returns of -8.683156% and -14.960486% respectively. The maximum drawdown, or the largest decline in value, was 24.117041%, and the win to loss ratio was 2.712015818 to 4.120799879. The efficiency, a measure of how well the strategy performed, was -1.273793339%, and the half Kelly criterion, a measure of optimal bet size, was -0.234842535. For ETH, or Ethereum, the win rate was 44.4444% with daily and hourly returns of -9.534598% and -15.539281% respectively. The maximum drawdown was 26.720702%, and the win to loss ratio was 2.509134122 to 5.195119754. The efficiency was -1.771006920%, and the half Kelly criterion was -0.352911968. For SOL, the win rate was 50% with daily and hourly returns of -3.564056% and -6.688759% respectively. The maximum drawdown was 22.416216%, and the win to loss ratio was 3.842804028 to 5.317245359. The efficiency was -0.737220666%, and the half Kelly criterion was -0.095922230. All positions were clamped at 0. A review of trades showed that one BTC trade was closed due to forced liquidation, and there were no open, pending, or closing trades. Four quote notes with lengths 1447, 1448, 1452, and 1449 were all numeric. There were gaps of 14.9547, 30.0187167, and 15.02565 minutes. Job 190 was cutoff at 21:01, and 191 jobs were exhausted, with 14 out of 25 daily jobs active. The current book value is 235.86, and the account value is 850.99 per run context.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; backtests2183-2185 ; query_trades fund=crypto ; list_jobs fund=crypto
C9101940 quotes and Liquid refresh
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:43
A data scan found the following information: a direct collector completed at 19:42:42.689 UTC with an exit code of 0. The current bid and ask prices for Bitcoin, or BTC, are 77198.702 and 77221.43, respectively, with an age of 58 seconds and a depth of 77.5 and 76.9 in USD. The hurdle, which is a measure of the difference between the bid and ask prices, is 0.531%. For Ethereum, or ETH, the bid and ask prices are 2466.3 and 2467.1, with an age of 123 seconds and a depth of 82.4 and 82.2. The hurdle for ETH is 0.534%. For Solana, or SOL, the bid and ask prices are 99.944 and 100.057, with an age of 123 seconds and a depth of 94.4 and 95.6. The hurdle for SOL is 0.616%. The hurdle is calculated as 100 times the difference between the ask and bid prices, divided by 0.9975 squared, minus 1, assuming a 25 basis point spread on each side of the trade, and excluding extra depth and slippage. The bid and ask prices for USDC are 0.9995 and 1.00001, with an age of 4464 seconds and considered stale. The bid and ask prices for USDG are 0.99999 and 1.00001, with an age of 57041 seconds and also considered stale. The bid and ask prices for XRP are 1.353 and 1.3586, with an age of 136 seconds and a hurdle of 0.918%. The bid and ask prices for UNI are 6.08 and 6.09214, with an age of 60 seconds and a hurdle of 0.703%. The bid and ask prices for LTC are 52.114 and 52.4233, with an age of 98 seconds and a hurdle of 1.098%. The bid and ask prices for HYPE are 80.132 and 80.5505, with an age of 40 seconds and a hurdle of 1.027%. The bid and ask prices for LINK are 11.6341 and 11.657, with an age of 69 seconds and a hurdle of 0.700%. 8 out of 10 quotes are considered fresh. A liquid tip with a timestamp of 1789069270 and an age of 93 seconds shows an increase of 72 compared to 18:30. There was a secondary connect timeout, and the operator hash 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b remains unchanged. The recipient has 598.50044115 BTC, with 292 transactions in the mempool and a fee of 0.0000462. The reserve has 3601.47203772 BTC, with 590 transactions in the mempool and a fee of 0. The latest 31 transactions are controlled, but this is not a full history. The endpoint progression is not independent, and there is no recovery or authorized payouts.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://blockstream.info/api/ ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
C9101940 frozen payoff and receipt audit = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:42
A Python recomputation, not a new backtest, was performed on the following assets: Bitcoin (BTC) with 12 periods, 5 of which were winning periods, a win rate of 2.712015818, a loss rate of 4.120799879, and an edge of -1.273793339 percent, with a half Kelly criterion of -0.234842535; Ethereum (ETH) with 9 periods, 4 of which were winning periods, a win rate of 2.509134122, a loss rate of 5.195119754, and an edge of -1.771006920 percent, with a half Kelly criterion of -0.352911968; and Solana (SOL) with 8 periods, 0.5 of which were winning periods, a win rate of 3.842804028, a loss rate of 5.317245359, and an edge of -0.737220666 percent, with a half Kelly criterion of -0.095922230. The allocations were clamped at 0. There were eight quote receipts in the years 2000, 2003, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2017, 2024, and 2028, all of which were numeric, but there were gaps of 15.6780, 29.4300, 15.0362, 15.0660, 29.4089, 29.9757, and 30.00675 minutes. The latest quote was at 19:31:02, and the funding was at 19:00:25. Out of 188 jobs, 187 were active, but the hard cutoff time of 19:41 has now passed, so the jobs will be replaced. The only trade was a BTC operator liquidation, and there are no open, pending, or closing trades. One trade was forced to exit due to an unsuitable setup and slippage calibration.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; backtests2183-2185 ; query_trades fund=crypto ; list_jobs fund=crypto
C9101940 funding and supply refresh
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:42
A fund for crypto research, observed on 2026-09-10T19:42:02.226687+00:00, found the following information. The fund's source is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time with an offset of 0.2074 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.2639 seconds. Another source, https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest, provided the following data: for Bitcoin, the funding rate is 1.0 basis point and the settled rate is 0.9658 basis point, with an open interest of 29293.655 coins. For Ethereum, the funding rate is -0.5941 basis point and the settled rate is -0.6047 basis point, with an open interest of 598347.485 coins. For Solana, the funding rate is -0.0783 basis point and the settled rate is -0.3151 basis point, with an open interest of 2705424.21 coins. A news scan found the headline from https://www.circle.com/transparency, which reported on September 07, 2026, that the issuer's data was as follows: 74.28 for circulation, 8.8 for 7-day issues, 7.86 for 7-day redemptions, 36.59 for 30-day issues, 34.37 for 30-day redemptions, 333.52 for 365-day issues, and 331.64 for 365-day redemptions. Another source, https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2, reported that as of timestamp 1788998400, the circulating value was 74386006033.1783, with 47146319984.45 on Ethereum, 7103929420.46 on Solana, and 6887999675.1 on Hyperliquid L1. The fund is not buying and is not eligible, with an eligibility of 0.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
C9101830 OI prospective changes and reference correction
Crypto majors2026-09-10 18:31
A computer program compared data from 16:32 to 18:29:56. It found changes in the open interest, which is the number of contracts that have not been settled, of several cryptocurrencies. For Bitcoin, the open interest changed from 29192.012 to 29205.646, an increase of 0.046704557%. For Ethereum, it changed from 616889.749 to 596374.569, a decrease of 3.325582899%. For Solana, it changed from 2719084 to 2687627.33, a decrease of 1.156884819%. These numbers are for a single trading venue and show the total number of contracts, not the net result of buying and selling, and do not take into account the use of borrowed money to invest. The program also did not compare these numbers to historical data. A correction was made to a statistical analysis, where 2268 references were estimated to be 22873, but the actual number of observations was found to be 22877. The results that were already finalized were not changed.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; observations22840,22872,22877
C9101830 fresh quotes and chain evidence
Crypto majors2026-09-10 18:31
A data scan found the following information: a direct collector completed a local refresh at 18:30:35.756 UTC with an exit code of 0 after 7 out of 7 attempts. The current bid and ask prices for Bitcoin, or BTC, are 77027.5 and 77044.7, respectively, with a price age of 41 seconds and a depth of 77.4 and 76.8 in USD, and a hurdle of 0.524%. The hurdle is calculated as 100 times the difference between the ask and bid prices, assuming a 25 basis point spread on each side of the trade, excluding extra slippage from depth. Similarly, the current bid and ask prices for Ethereum, or ETH, are 2459.4 and 2459.934, respectively, with a price age of 83 seconds and a depth of 82 and 81.7, and a hurdle of 0.524%. For Solana, or SOL, the current bid and ask prices are 99.291 and 99.3817, respectively, with a price age of 80 seconds and a depth of 94.4 and 94.2, and a hurdle of 0.594%. Other prices include USDC at 0.9995 and 1.00001 with a price age of 137 seconds, USDG at 0.99999 and 1.00001 with a price age of 52714 seconds, XRP at 1.348 and 1.353 with a price age of 89 seconds and a hurdle of 0.875%, UNI at 6.02875 and 6.041 with a price age of 77 seconds and a hurdle of 0.706%, LTC at 52.03 and 52.3486 with a price age of 141 seconds and a hurdle of 1.117%, HYPE at 79.7 and 80.064 with a price age of 78 seconds and a hurdle of 0.961%, and LINK at 11.613 and 11.6384 with a price age of 50 seconds and a hurdle of 0.722%. A total of 9 out of 10 quotes are fresh. A liquid tip with a timestamp of 1789064950 and an age of 86 seconds was also found, with a previous tip at 16:32. A secondary connect timeout occurred, and the operator hash 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b remains unchanged with 2 notes. Additionally, a recipient has 598.50044115 BTC in the mempool net with a transaction fee of 0.0000462 and 292 transactions, and a reserve of 3601.47203772 BTC in the mempool with 0 transactions and no change. There are 31 recent transactions with 0 controlled, but this is not a full history, and there is no independent authorized payout or recovery proof.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://blockstream.info/api/ ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
C9101830 frozen payoff, book and collector audit = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-10 18:30
A Python recomputation, not a new backtest, was performed. The results for Bitcoin, or BTC, show 12 trades with a win rate of 41.6667%, a average win of 2.712015818%, and a average loss of 4.120799879%, with an efficiency of -1.273793339% and a half Kelly criterion of -0.234842535. For Ethereum, or ETH, there were 9 trades with a win rate of 44.4444%, a average win of 2.509134122%, and a average loss of 5.195119754%, with an efficiency of -1.771006920 and a half Kelly criterion of -0.352911968. For Solana, or SOL, there were 8 trades with a win rate of 50%, a average win of 3.842804028%, and a average loss of 5.317245359%, with an efficiency of -0.737220666 and a half Kelly criterion of -0.095922230. All clamp values are 0. A query found one closed BTC10 operator liquidation, but no open, pending, or closing positions, making it unsuitable for setup or slippage calibration. Five 187 quote receipts were received between 16:46:26 and 18:01:38, with gaps of 15.6780, 29.4300, 15.0362, and 15.0660 minutes. As of 18:29, there were 187 active positions with 8 left to execute by 18:15, and the last execution was at 18:00. At 18:45, there were 188 active positions with 2 left to execute, and the last execution was at 17:45. Both had a hard cutoff at 19:41, and scheduled coverage should be retained without inferring on-time future execution. The daily census on the 14th showed 36 symbols, with USDG incomplete for 3 and 7 days. On September 25, all aggregate checks passed, but this did not repair older history. Seven crypto monitors were armed, with the next one due at 2021 9:40. The maximum position size was 212.7475, with a fund size of 235.86. The current target is 3R, with a maximum of +2R, which differs from the rejected 1.5R target and old +1R references, so old tests should not be promoted to current-policy validation.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; backtests2183-2185 ; query_trades fund=crypto ; notes2000,2003,2006,2008,2010 ; list_jobs fund=crypto
C9101830 fresh funding and stablecoin panel
Crypto majors2026-09-10 18:30
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-10T18:29:54.353116+00:00. The source of this information is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time with an offset of 0.4059 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.472 seconds. Another source, https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest, provided the following data: for Bitcoin, or BTC, the funding rate was 1.0 basis points and the settled rate was 0.9658 basis points, with an open interest of 29205.646 coins. For Ethereum, or ETH, the funding rate was -0.8275 basis points and the settled rate was -0.6047 basis points, with an open interest of 596374.569 coins. For Solana, or SOL, the funding rate was -0.1599 basis points and the settled rate was -0.3151 basis points, with an open interest of 2687627.33 coins. A stablecoin issuer, Circle, reported on September 07, 2026, that it had issued and redeemed certain amounts of coins. The USDC issuer reported a raw CMS value of 74207680145.952487476, but the date was not parsed. An aggregator, Llama, reported that the circulating value of a stablecoin was 74386006033.1783, with values on Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid L1. The fund is not buying, and the eligible amount is 0. The data was retrieved from direct exchange and issuer sources, and Llama is not an independent issuer. The retrieval started at 18:29:54 UTC, and the reference timestamps are in the payload. There is no historical percentile, directional flow, or current-date issuer inference.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
C9101630 prospective OI and chain changes
Crypto majors2026-09-10 16:34
A comparison of snapshots from 13:45 to 16:32 shows changes in open interest, which is the number of outstanding contracts. For Bitcoin, open interest changed from 29439.974 to 29192.012, a decrease of 0.84226297%. For Ethereum, it changed from 636463.563 to 616889.749, a decrease of 3.07540213%. For Solana, it changed from 2727481.03 to 2719084, a decrease of 0.30786759%. These numbers are for single exchange gross contract quantities, not net selling, and no historical percentile was calculated. The Primary Liquid tip increased by 159 blocks from 4051325 to 4051484 between 13:53 and 16:32. The second explorer remains unchanged with a Connect Timeout and operator hash unchanged, so there is no independent recovery confirmation. A news scan found the headline about Circle's issuance minus redemption, which was 7-day: 0.94 billion and 30-day: 2.22 billion, unchanged, and not related to incremental buying on September 10.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; crypto note1957 and observation22840
C9101630 ECB direct fallback verifies unchanged decision = 25
Crypto majors2026-09-10 16:33
The European Central Bank, or ECB, made a decision on September 10 that was verified as unchanged. This decision raised three interest rates by 25 basis points, or bp, which is a unit of measurement for interest rates, to be effective on September 16. The rates are: the deposit rate is 2.50%, the main refinancing rate is 2.65%, and the marginal lending rate is 2.90%. This decision was the same as the primary baseline from the morning, with no surprise in the prices or consensus. Earlier, data was retrieved between 16:31 and 16:32 UTC, and it was found that the data was unchanged from the original creation time.
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.mp260910~314e508016.en.html
C9101630 fresh funding and supply panel
Crypto majors2026-09-10 16:33
The fund is for crypto research only and was observed on 2026-09-10T16:31:59.615286+00:00. The source of the information is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time with an offset of 0.2604 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.2482 seconds. Another source is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The data includes information about Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. For Bitcoin, the funding rate is 0.9856 basis points and the settled rate is 0.9658 basis points, with an open interest of 29192.012 coins. For Ethereum, the funding rate is -0.8344 basis points and the settled rate is -0.6047 basis points, with an open interest of 616889.749 coins. For Solana, the funding rate is -0.3428 basis points and the settled rate is -0.3151 basis points, with an open interest of 2719084.0 coins. Additionally, data from https://www.circle.com/transparency shows the issuer date as September 07, 2026, with various issue and redeem rates. However, the data from https://www.usdc.com/ is unparsed due to locale and template ambiguity. The data from https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 shows the circulating value and distribution on different platforms. The collection of crypto data has ended, and the flow is not buying, with zero eligible funds.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2