Notes

The symbol is ETH, which is a type of cryptocurrency. The data was collected from the website https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars and was last observed on 2026-09-12 at 08:07:50. There are 6101 data points, with 1 hour of data missing. The last price recorded was 2523.0075. The hourly standard deviation percentage, which measures how much prices typically fluctuate in an hour, is 0.6221158993634649. The standard deviation percentage is different on weekends, at 0.49082659132016093, and on weekdays, at 0.6672324391926564. The lowest 1% of hourly returns were -1.918972256926843, and the highest 1% were 1.8883034505551732. The daily standard deviation percentage, which measures how much prices typically fluctuate in a day, is 3.3234743374597366. Funding data was collected from the website https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history, with 100 data points from August 10, 2026, to September 12, 2026. The latest realized funding rate was 0.46307586520300004, which is the percentage of the price that is paid as a fee. This rate is ranked 36.36363636363637th percentile compared to the previous 99 rates. The sum of the funding rates over the period was 62.30729841974101. All data from January 1 to September 12 at 07 UTC has been reindexed, with no forward filling of missing data, resulting in one missing hour per asset. The funding data is based on 100 realized 8-hour settlements from August 10 to September 12, with the latest rate ranked against the previous 99 rates. This is a small sample from a single venue and may not represent extreme universal values. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history

The symbol is BTC and the data comes from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars. The data was observed on 2026-09-12 at 08:07:50.086322+00:00. There are 6101 data points with 1 missing hour. The last price is 77260.8. The hourly standard deviation percentage is 0.4684780011183059, the weekend standard deviation percentage is 0.3318302816351641, and the weekday standard deviation percentage is 0.5128330291503168. The first percentile of hourly return is -1.323930456619371 and the 99th percentile is 1.3898782940221732. The daily standard deviation percentage is 2.4343548751829758. Funding data comes from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history with 100 data points from 2026-08-10 08:00:00+00:00 to 2026-09-12 08:00:00+00:00. The latest realized funding rate is 0.85537509116 basis points, the prior median is 0.6465002350419999 basis points, the 5th percentile is 0.004731845864200009 basis points, and the 95th percentile is 1 basis point. The latest funding rate is at the 69.6969696969697 percentile. The sum of funding rates over the period is 62.64095495056999 basis points. All data from January 1 to September 12 at 07 UTC has been reindexed with no forward filling, resulting in one missing hour per asset. The funding data includes 100 8-hour settlements from August 10 to September 12, with the latest rate ranked against 99 prior rates. This is a small sample from one venue and may not represent extreme universal values. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history

On August 5, the original Team Arc was retrieved on September 12 and it retains the public mainnet date of September 16. Currently, it is on a private mainnet with over 100 ecosystem and institutional builders. The fee payments will start with USDC, and the permissioned validator set and features are subject to change. The count is based on the issuer's claim, not independently measured paying users, and the activation hour is not specified here. Existing 104 out of 307 remain, with no incremental demand inference for ETH or SOL. https://www.arc.io/blog/arc-mainnet-goes-live-on-september-16-2026

A news scan found the following agency event calendar for the next two sessions, verified on September 12 from original agency sources. The calendar for September 14 and September 15 is blank according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Census website lists no releases for these dates, although this does not rule out worldwide events. On September 14, the Federal Reserve has scheduled events at 13:00 Eastern Time, which is 17:00 Coordinated Universal Time, and at 16:15 Eastern Time, which is 20:15 Coordinated Universal Time, for the H10 and H15 reports. On September 15, the Federal Reserve has scheduled events at 17:00 Coordinated Universal Time and at 20:15 Coordinated Universal Time for the H15 report. A Federal Open Market Committee meeting is scheduled for September 15 and 16, with a decision to be announced on September 16 at 14:00 Eastern Time, which is 18:00 Coordinated Universal Time, followed by a press conference at 18:30 Coordinated Universal Time, and there will be no decision on Tuesday. On September 16, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release import and export prices at 08:30 Eastern Time, which is 12:30 Coordinated Universal Time. The times for these events are scheduled, but the outcomes are unknown, where Coordinated Universal Time, or UTC, is a time standard, and Eastern Time, or ET, is a time zone. https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/09_sched.htm ; https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html ; https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2026-september.htm

The issuer page for IBIT C91208 was retrieved on September 12. As of September 11, there were 1,386,800,000 shares outstanding, with a net asset value of 43.71 and total net assets of 60,620,411,881 USD. The basket value was 22.65 in bitcoin and 1,748,497.60 in USD, with a benchmark value of 77209.21 USD. The closing price on September 10 was 43.68, with a volume of 31,196,491. Note that the closing price and volume are for September 10, not September 11. There is no prior data on shares, so no net creations or redemptions can be determined. The issuer's product page is the primary source, but it may not reflect the exact holdings, as it is also influenced by the sponsor's interests, and the holdings book may differ from the net asset value accounting. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf

A news scan found the following data: Collected on September 12 at 08:03 UTC directly from venue, issuer, and explorer application programming interfaces, or APIs, which are sets of rules that allow different applications to communicate with each other. Llama is a secondary aggregator, which means it collects and organizes data from other sources. This is a full dated panel, meaning it includes data from a specific point in time. The quotes are point-in-time and not guarantees of future performance. The fund is for crypto research only and is not eligible for investment. The data was observed on September 12, 2026, at 08:03:24.778604 UTC. The source of the data is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time, which has an offset of 0.1825 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.1799 seconds. Another source of the data is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The data includes the following information for Bitcoin, or BTC: the symbol is BTC, the timestamps are 1789200132618 and 1789200205855, the ages are 73.4 and 0.2 seconds, the data is fresh, the funding rate is 0.8469 basis points, or bp, the settled rate is 0.8554 bp, and the open interest is 27451.11 coins. For Ethereum, or ETH: the symbol is ETH, the timestamps are 1789200132667 and 1789200205938, the ages are 73.5 and 0.2 seconds, the data is fresh, the funding rate is 0.4548 bp, the settled rate is 0.4631 bp, and the open interest is 633924.129 coins. For Solana, or SOL: the symbol is SOL, the timestamps are 1789200133594 and 1789200205926, the ages are 72.6 and 0.2 seconds, the data is fresh, the funding rate is 0.871 bp, the settled rate is 0.872 bp, and the open interest is 2784353.63 coins. Another source of the data is https://www.circle.com/transparency, which has an issuer date of September 10, 2026, and the following data: bn, which stands for billion, circ is 74.06, issue7 is 6.66, redeem7 is 6.91, issue30 is 38.06, redeem30 is 36.04, issue365 is 334.68, and redeem365 is 332.88. The source https://www.usdc.com/ has a raw cms value that is unparsed, an issuer date that is unparsed, and a locale or template ambiguity that prevents the data from being understood. The source https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 has the following data: the timestamp is 1789171200, the circulating value is 74462450366.86803, the Ethereum value is 46937295105.4, the Solana value is 7264902091.29, and the Hyperliquid L1 value is 6807735438.36. The collection of crypto data has ended, and the definitions and cutoffs differ. The flow is not buying, and the eligible value is 0. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2

A data collection from September 12 at 08:03 UTC is presented below, gathered directly from official sources and a secondary aggregator called Llama. The data is a snapshot in time and does not guarantee future prices. The source of this data includes https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund in question is for crypto research only and was observed on 2026-09-12T08:03:26.184471+00:00. The following cryptocurrencies were tracked: BTC with a buy price of 77248.716 and a sell price of 77263.364, ETH with a buy price of 2523.19 and a sell price of 2524.1, SOL with a buy price of 101.59 and a sell price of 101.7, USDC with a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, USDG with a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, XRP with a buy price of 1.365 and a sell price of 1.37004, UNI with a buy price of 6.33009 and a sell price of 6.3401, LTC with a buy price of 53.866 and a sell price of 54.179, HYPE with a buy price of 78.8034 and a sell price of 79.205, and LINK with a buy price of 11.5482 and a sell price of 11.573. The age of each quote and its depth in USD are also provided, along with a hurdle percentage, which refers to a minimum percentage change required. A news scan found the headline is not applicable here, instead, the data shows 7 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient and reserve balances for BTC are 598.50057179 and 3601.47207156 respectively. Recent page 57 was controlled with 0 full history. The tip is 4053856 with an age of 16 seconds. Operator notes include a message claiming a bitcoin theft from the Liquid Network, with a hash of 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca. The fund attempted 7 out of 7 panels and had 0 eligible, with balances not being sales or recovery. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream

A news scan found the following data. This is a collection of signals from a crypto research fund, gathered on September 12 at 08:03 UTC from various APIs. The data is a point-in-time measurement and does not guarantee future performance. The fund is currently not eligible for investment. The data includes the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL, LTC, XRP, HYPE, LINK, and UNI. For each cryptocurrency, the data includes the current price, the highest price in the last 480 minutes, and whether a signal to buy or sell was generated. A signal is a trigger to buy or sell, based on certain conditions. For example, for BTC, the current price is 77260.8, the highest price in the last 480 minutes is 82233.502538071, and no signal was generated. For ETH, the current price is 2523.0075, the highest price in the last 480 minutes is 2664.8535, and no signal was generated. There is also an event watch for ETH, which is a monitor for certain price movements, specifically a pullback event, which is when the price drops after a rise. The event watch is not armed, meaning it is not currently triggering any actions. The eligible flag is set to 0, meaning the fund is not currently eligible for investment. The data ends with a note that these are observations only and no orders have been placed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A data collection was made on September 12 at 08:03 UTC from various sources. This collection is for research only and includes 36 signals for USDG and ETH. The data comes from a website and includes information about different cryptocurrencies, such as their volume over 7 days, closing prices, and signals. The data is as follows: USDC had a volume of $10,367,949 over 7 days, with a closing price of 0.999755; USDG had a volume of $1,899,981 over 2 days, with a closing price of 1; BTC had a volume of $677,156 over 7 days, with a closing price of 77,212.832; ETH had a volume of $459,605 over 7 days, with a closing price of 2,516.066 and a signal of 1; LTC had a volume of $254,429 over 7 days, with a closing price of 53.27; XRP had a volume of $199,205 over 7 days, with a closing price of 1.35664; SOL had a volume of $192,379 over 7 days, with a closing price of 102.4335; HYPE had a volume of $150,543 over 7 days, with a closing price of 79.4395; LINK had a volume of $146,046 over 7 days, with a closing price of 11.5477; UNI had a volume of $107,781 over 7 days, with a closing price of 6.0076. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: the last run was on 2026-09-12T06:16:02.675Z and the next run is on 2026-09-12T06:31:02.675Z, with 19 seconds remaining. The fund is crypto research-only, with 0 eligible and 0 observed as of 2026-09-12T06:16:07.038624+00:00, from the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars. The data includes the following information for each cryptocurrency: BTC had a price of 77199.993 at 2026-09-12T05:00:00+00:00, with a high of 82233.502538071, and is not eligible. ETH had a price of 2511.935 at 2026-09-12T05:00:00+00:00, with a high of 2664.8535, and is not eligible. There was an ETH pullback event watch, which is a type of market event, with a breakout on 2026-09-11T14:00:00+00:00 and a pullback available on 2026-09-11T22:00:00+00:00, with a trigger of 2518.687664708425 and a close of 2515.682. Other cryptocurrencies reported include SOL with a price of 101.6, LTC with a price of 53.82085, XRP with a price of 1.36405, HYPE with a price of 78.61, LINK with a price of 11.5088, and UNI with a price of 6.22845, all with no signal and not eligible. The report ends with a note that it is an entry watch with observations only, and no orders were placed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline related to a remote job. The last run was on 2026-09-12T06:16:02.675Z and the next run is on 2026-09-12T07:16:02.675Z, with 4 remaining. The fund is for crypto research only and 0 are eligible. The observation was made on 2026-09-12T06:16:06.837767+00:00. The source of the information is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time, with an offset of 0.0631 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.1011 seconds. Another source is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The data includes information about Bitcoin, or BTC, with a timestamp, or ts, of 1789193713603 and 1789193767469, and an age of 54.0 and 0.1 seconds, with funding rate of 0.8101 and settled rate of 0.3247, and open interest of 27390.807 coins. Similar data is available for Ethereum, or ETH, and Solana, or SOL. A news scan found the headline from https://www.circle.com/transparency with issuer date of September 10, 2026, and data about issue and redeem amounts. Another source is https://www.usdc.com/ but the raw cms value and issuer date are unparsed. The stablecoin data from https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 shows a circulating value of 74462450366.86803 and breakdown by blockchain. The crypto collection has ended, with definitions and cutoffs differing, and the flow is not buying, with 0 eligible. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2

A news scan found the data line: {"lastRun":"2026-09-12T06:16:02.675Z","nextRun":"2026-09-12T06:31:02.675Z","remaining":19}. The fund is for crypto research only, with 0 eligible and 2026-09-12T06:16:47.038753+00:00 observed. The sources are https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The data includes: BTC with a bid of 77190.4 and an ask of 77220.552, age of 40, ok of 1, depth USD of 76.5/76.6, and hurdle percentage of 0.541; ETH with a bid of 2510.07 and an ask of 2510.6, age of 60, ok of 1, depth USD of 83.3/84.0, and hurdle percentage of 0.523; SOL with a bid of 101.5 and an ask of 101.536, age of 157, ok of 1, depth USD of 95.6/95.5, and hurdle percentage of 0.538; USDC with a bid of 0.9995 and an ask of 1.00001, age of 729, ok of 0, depth USD of 9995000.0/10000100.0, and hurdle percentage of 0.553; USDG with a bid of 0.99999 and an ask of 1.00001, age of 181485, ok of 0, depth USD of 9999900.0/10000100.0, and hurdle percentage of 0.504; XRP with a bid of 1.359 and an ask of 1.36507, age of 574, ok of 0, depth USD of 5687.8/5691.0, and hurdle percentage of 0.951; UNI with a bid of 6.20857 and an ask of 6.22119, age of 42, ok of 1, depth USD of 4379.5/4345.3, and hurdle percentage of 0.706; LTC with a bid of 53.53 and an ask of 53.88, age of 139, ok of 1, depth USD of 3630.4/3678.4, and hurdle percentage of 1.159; HYPE with a bid of 78.42 and an ask of 78.8285, age of 177, ok of 1, depth USD of 60868.0/61375.9, and hurdle percentage of 1.025; and LINK with a bid of 11.5016 and an ask of 11.5225, age of 40, ok of 1, depth USD of 13225.7/13232.8, and hurdle percentage of 0.685. There are 7 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient BTC is 598.50057179, with a mempool net of 0.00014715 and a transaction number of 315. The reserve BTC is 3601.47207156, with a mempool net of 0.0 and a transaction number of 597. The recent page is 57, controlled is 0, and not full history is 1. The tip is 4053748, with an age in seconds of 97 and a timestamp of 1789193710. There is an error message: {'error': 'ConnectTimeout'}. The operator notes are 3, and the operator hash is 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca. A message claims: To those responsible for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network: Blockstream will not pay a ransom. The fund has 7 out of 7 panels attempted, with 0 eligible, and balances are not sales or recovery. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream

A data scan found the following information: the last run was on 2026-09-12T03:01:08.900Z and the next run is on 2026-09-13T03:01:08.900Z, with 22 remaining. This is for research only, looking at eligible assets that are not live, specifically 36 out of 36 incomplete 7-day USDG signals for Ethereum, or ETH, which is a type of cryptocurrency. The data comes from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars, which shows 7 completed days in UTC time, and includes stablecoins, which are a type of cryptocurrency that is designed to be stable. The data shows the following: USDC had a 7-day volume of $10,367,949, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 0.999755, and a prior 20-day average of 1.000005, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. USDG had a 7-day volume of $1,899,981, with 2 out of 7 days completed, a close of 1, and no prior 20-day average, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. BTC had a 7-day volume of $677,156, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 77,212.832, and a prior 20-day average of 81,269.4915, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. ETH had a 7-day volume of $459,605, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 2,516.066, and a prior 20-day average of 2,515.445, with a signal of 1 and the last day not being zero. LTC had a 7-day volume of $254,429, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 53.27, and a prior 20-day average of 55.20535, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. XRP had a 7-day volume of $199,205, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 1.35664, and a prior 20-day average of 1.51966, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. SOL had a 7-day volume of $192,379, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 102.4335, and a prior 20-day average of 109.15, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. HYPE had a 7-day volume of $150,543, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 79.4395, and a prior 20-day average of 87.96325, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. LINK had a 7-day volume of $146,046, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 11.5477, and a prior 20-day average of 13.2346, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. UNI had a 7-day volume of $107,781, with 7 out of 7 days completed, a close of 6.0076, and a prior 20-day average of 7.294845, with a signal of 0 and the last day not being zero. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline about SOL/USD C91206 hourly comparator fractional-return halfKelly. The system uses a formula called halfKelly, which is a way to size trades, to make decisions about buying and selling SOL, a type of cryptocurrency. The system looks at the hourly changes in SOL/USD, which is the price of SOL in US dollars, over 8 periods. It found that the probability of winning is 0.5, or 50%, the average win is 9.7409270625%, and the average loss is 6.61463454%. The system calculated a value called raw_halfKelly_fraction, which is 1.2130074682550123. This value helps the system decide how much to invest. The system also looked at something called capped_notional, which is the maximum amount of money that can be invested, and found it to be 153.18. There is also a quarter_fund_ceiling, which is 38.295, and an actual_size, which is 0. The system used something called a two-point mean payoff approximation, which is a simple way to estimate the average outcome of a trade, but this method does not take into account all possible risks. The system also noted that it cannot use the Kelly formula, which is a way to optimize trade size, in a situation where the manager is pulling back, or reducing, the amount of money invested. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data line: SOL/USD C91206 daily comparator fractional-return halfKelly. The data shows the symbol is SOL, the time frame is daily, and the number of observations is 7. The win probability is 0.42857142857142855, the mean win percentage is 7.507977063333334, and the mean loss percentage is 7.471832152499999. The raw half Kelly fraction, which is a measure of optimal bet size, is -0.9375623540945859. The capped notional, or maximum amount invested, is 0, and the quarter fund ceiling, or maximum amount allocated to this investment, is 38.295. The actual size of the investment is 0. This data is based on a training model that uses closed trade fractions from a frozen 20 high and 10 low comparator, with fees of 25 basis points and a slip of 10 basis points. The formula used to calculate the fraction is f = 0.5 * (p / mean loss - (1 - p) / mean win). The cap is set at a minimum of 153.18 fund, 212.7475 venue, and a maximum of 0 times 850.99. The quarter fund ceiling of 38.295 is for illustration purposes only and is not an order. The model uses a two-point mean payoff approximation, which may not be accurate due to the small sample size and unbounded tail risk, and does not include an uncertainty adjustment. Additionally, the Kelly criterion, which is a formula for bet size, cannot be transferred to a managed pullback. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line: ETH/USD C91206 hourly comparator fractional-return halfKelly. The data shows the following information: the symbol is ETH, the time frame is hourly, and the number of observations is 14. The win probability is 0.42857142857142855, the mean win percentage is 22.08310485333333, and the mean loss percentage is 11.770742695. The raw half Kelly fraction is 0.526680497585162. The capped notional is 153.18, and the quarter fund ceiling is 38.295. The actual size is 0. This data is from a training closed trade fractions model using a frozen 20 high and 10 low comparator, with fees of 25 basis points and a slip of 10 basis points. The formula used is f equals 0.5 times the probability divided by the mean loss, minus 1 minus the probability, divided by the mean win. The cap is set to the minimum of 153.18 of the fund, 212.7475 of the venue, and the maximum of 0 times 850.99. The quarter fund ceiling of 38.295 is for illustration purposes only and is not an order. The model uses a two-point mean payoff approximation, with a small number of observations, unbounded tail risk, and no uncertainty adjustment, which means it cannot transfer the Kelly criterion to a managed pullback. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: the symbol is ETH, the time frame is daily, and the number of observations is 12. The win probability is 0.4166666666666667, the mean win percentage is 14.580065347999998, and the mean loss percentage is 12.532606384285714. The raw half Kelly fraction is -0.3381178214971712. The capped notional is 0, the quarter fund ceiling is 38.295, and the actual size is 0. This data is from a training closed trade fractions model using a frozen 20 high and 10 low comparator, with fees of 25 basis points and a slip of 10 basis points. The formula used is f equals 0.5 times the probability divided by the mean loss, minus 1 minus the probability, divided by the mean win. The cap is set at the minimum of 153.18 times the fund, 212.7475 times the venue, and the maximum of 0 times 850.99. The quarter fund ceiling of 38.295 is for illustration purposes only and is not an order. The model uses a two-point mean payoff approximation, with a small number of observations, unbounded tail risk, and no uncertainty adjustment, which means it cannot be used to transfer the Kelly criterion to a managed pullback. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline about a BTC/USD C91206 hourly comparator fractional-return halfKelly. The system uses a formula called the Kelly criterion, which is a way to decide how much to bet. The system looked at 13 hourly periods of the price of Bitcoin, or BTC, and found that the probability of winning, or making money, was 0.3076923076923077, or about 30.8 percent. The average amount of money made when the system won was 25.656397485 percent, and the average amount of money lost when the system lost was 6.437934371111111 percent. The system calculated a number called the raw half Kelly fraction, which was 1.0404907651405366. The system also looked at something called the capped notional, which was 153.18, and the quarter fund ceiling, which was 38.295. The actual size of the trade was 0. The system used a formula that included fees of 25 basis points, or 0.25 percent, and slip of 10 basis points, or 0.1 percent. The formula was f equals 0.5 times the probability of winning divided by the average loss, minus 1 minus the probability of winning, divided by the average win. The system also looked at a two-point mean payoff approximation, which is a way to estimate the average amount of money that will be made. The system noted that it was using a small number of data points, which is called small N, and that there was a risk of very large losses, which is called unbounded tail risk. The system also noted that it could not adjust for uncertainty, and that it could not use the Kelly criterion to manage pullbacks, which are times when the price of Bitcoin goes down. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline about a BTC/USD daily comparator with a fractional return and half Kelly calculation. The system uses a formula, where f equals 0.5 times the probability of a win divided by the mean loss percentage, minus 1 minus the probability of a win, divided by the mean win percentage. The mean win percentage is 31.267138916666664 percent and the mean loss percentage is 6.995176647142857 percent. The win probability is 0.3. The raw half Kelly fraction is 1.0249486196263706. The capped notional is 153.18 and the quarter fund ceiling is 38.295. The actual size is 0. This is based on a two-point mean payoff approximation with a small number of data points, unbounded tail risk, and no uncertainty adjustment. The system cannot transfer the Kelly calculation to a managed pullback. The training closed trade fractions are from a frozen 20 high and 10 low comparator, with fees of 25 basis points and a slip of 10 basis points. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line: {"s":"SOL","period":"holdout","n":252,"correlation":0.8789011688485111,"beta":1.2056070462218178,"daily_intercept_pct":0.00007645548671838688,"beta_block_ci":[1.1179515608264896,1.328143983580368],"intercept_block_ci_pct":["-0.21705187849695462,0.19717917432477083"],"vol_ann_pct":63.79144539093395}. This is a result of a statistical analysis, specifically a regression, which is a way to understand how two things are related. In this case, the relationship between SOL and USD is being examined, using a method called ordinary least squares, or OLS, which is a way to find the best fit line between two sets of data, and also considering the return of BTC, which is a type of cryptocurrency. The analysis used a training period from 2024 to 2025 and a holdout period from 2026 through September 11, and it used a technique called bootstrap, which is a way to test the strength of the relationship, with a seed of 912064, and a block size of 10 observations. The analysis dropped any pairs of dates that were missing and allowed blocks to occasionally span missing calendar intervals. The result shows a correlation of 0.8789011688485111 and a beta of 1.2056070462218178, which are measures of how closely the two things are related, and how much one changes when the other changes. The daily intercept percentage is 0.00007645548671838688, and the beta block confidence interval is between 1.1179515608264896 and 1.328143983580368, and the intercept block confidence interval percentage is between -0.21705187849695462 and 0.19717917432477083. The annualized volatility percentage is 63.79144539093395. This association is not a forecast, and it is based on a different history of SOL. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line: {"s":"ETH","period":"holdout","n":252,"correlation":0.9110852317288572,"beta":1.2521373444368602,"daily_intercept_pct":0.01198513418787977,"beta_block_ci":[1.1600940411479406,1.380073197559559],"intercept_block_ci_pct":["-0.12565340196189015,0.1090941625505178"],"vol_ann_pct":63.91306844861512}. This is a data output showing the results of a statistical analysis of ETH/USD, which is a cryptocurrency pair, with a holdout period, meaning a set of data held back from training, of 252 observations, a correlation of 0.9110852317288572, and a beta of 1.2521373444368602, which measures the volatility of the asset. The daily intercept percentage is 0.01198513418787977, and the beta block confidence interval is between 1.1600940411479406 and 1.380073197559559. The intercept block confidence interval percentage is between -0.12565340196189015 and 0.1090941625505178, and the annualized volatility percentage is 63.91306844861512. This analysis is based on a training period from 2024 to 2025 and a holdout period through September 11, 2026, using an ordinary least squares regression, which is a statistical method, with a constant and BTC return, where BTC is another cryptocurrency. The analysis used a moving block bootstrap, which is a statistical technique, with a seed of 912064, and dropped pairwise missing dates, with blocks occasionally spanning missing calendar intervals. The association found is not a forecast, and the analysis notes that the history of SOL, another cryptocurrency, is different. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line: {"s":"SOL","period":"train","n":486,"correlation":0.7691732874102494,"beta":1.4526197250401063,"daily_intercept_pct":-0.10174348970539512,"beta_block_ci":[1.2840362232981715,1.620509028244366],"intercept_block_ci_pct":["-0.3047627245240672",0.12191980496014182],"vol_ann_pct":81.26546461877842}. This is a data output, specifically a JSON object, describing a statistical analysis of the SOL/USD currency pair from 2024-25, trained through 2026 up to September 11, using a method called ordinary least squares, or OLS, which is a way to find the best fit line, and including the return of BTC, which is a type of cryptocurrency. The analysis used a technique called bootstrap, which involves randomly sampling the data, with a seed value of 912064, and a block size of 10 observations. The data was cleaned by dropping any pair of observations with missing dates, and the blocks of data occasionally span missing calendar intervals. The results show a correlation, which measures how closely two things are related, of 0.7691732874102494, and a beta, which measures how much something moves compared to something else, of 1.4526197250401063. The daily intercept percentage, which is a measure of the expected return, is -0.10174348970539512. The results also include confidence intervals, which are ranges of values that are likely to contain the true value, for the beta and intercept percentage. The annualized volatility, which is a measure of how much something moves up and down, is 81.26546461877842 percent. The analysis is not a forecast, but rather a description of the association between SOL and BTC, and the results are based on a specific history of SOL. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: a regression analysis of ETH/USD from 2024-25 to 2026 through September 11, with a holdout period, showed a correlation of 0.7907202337897897 and a beta of 1.15627872781518. The daily intercept percentage was -0.053321941615383235. A bootstrap analysis, which is a statistical method to estimate the variability of a parameter, with a seed of 912064 and a 10-observation moving block, was used. The results showed a volatility of 70.39613278689511 percent per year. The analysis used a method called ordinary least squares, or OLS, which is a way to find the best fit line for a set of data, with a constant and the return of BTC. The analysis dropped any pair of observations with missing dates and occasionally spanned missing calendar intervals. The association found in the analysis does not forecast future results, and the history of SOL is different. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line was retrieved. The data line shows a retrospective analysis of an Ethereum trading path called old_pullback. This analysis started on September 11, 2026, at 22:00:00 UTC, with an entry price of 2516.639125. The stop loss was set at 2327.78978 and the target price was 3143.83652. The analysis looked at 32 bars of data, with no missing data, and the last bar was on September 12, 2026, at 05:45:00 UTC. The low price during this time was 2506.24 and the high price was 2523.0025, with a last close price of 2511.935. There were no touches of the stop loss or target price. The gross return percentage was -0.1869209197802757 and the liquidation return percentage was -0.7846771209536807, with an R value of -0.024909405960609508. The data also shows that there were no actual trades or new validation events, and no actual fills or quotes were received. A fee of 25 basis points was credited for each side, with a 10 basis point slip for exit liquidation proxy. The data was retrieved on September 12 at 06:06 UTC, using existing frozen hypothetical entry and levels from C91204. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD C91206 retrospective ETH path old_breakout'. The details of this event are as follows: the entry time was 2026-09-11T14:00:00Z, with an entry price of 2632.27965, a stop loss at 2456.25266262, and a target price of 3223.79684108. This event lasted for 64 bars, with no missing data, and the last bar was on 2026-09-12 05:45:00+00:00. The low price was 2506.24, the high price was 2664.8535, and the last close was 2511.935. There were no stop touches, target touches, or twoR touches. The gross return percentage was -4.571879359398611, and the liquidation return percentage was -5.143375113310755. The R value was -0.6836715880401051, and the number of closed bars was 0. Actual bars were retrieved on Sep 12 at 06:06 UTC, with existing frozen hypothetical entry and levels from C91204, but this was not an actual trade or new validation event. A fee of 25 basis points was credited to each side, with a 10 basis point slip for exit liquidation proxy. There were no actual fills or quotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars