Notes

A review of the trading record on September 13 at 12:31 UTC found one closed Bitcoin trade, with a notional value of 137.2644226836. The trade was entered at 81614.8 and exited at 81548.7, between September 3 at 19:42:24.677 UTC and 20:30:20.345 UTC. The trade was closed by the operator, a process known as liquidation, which means forcing the sale of an asset. There are no currently open or pending trades. Because this was a discretionary liquidation, it is not possible to estimate the win rate or the slippage, which is the difference between the expected and actual price of a trade, also known as order-type slippage, as there is no contemporaneous submission quote, meaning there is no record of the price at the time of the trade. The existing lesson, or review, has been completed and there are no new closed trades waiting to be reviewed. query_trades fund=crypto trade10

A report from September 13 at 12:32 UTC shows the primary fee schedule for Tier 1, which is based on 30-day volume. For volumes between 0 and 100,000 USD, the maker fee is 15 basis points and the taker fee is 25 basis points. Basis points are a unit of measurement, where 1 basis point equals 0.01%. The fee is charged or credited in the asset being traded, such as a coin when buying, or USD when selling USD. This is the current published schedule, but it has not been verified against the account fee ledger or historical fees. A marketable limit order is considered a taker order, and a standing limit order does not automatically qualify as a maker fill. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

A news scan found the headline about USDC issuer flow and provider difference. As of September 10, the direct issuer reported that the circulation of USDC was 74.06 billion USD. In the last 7 days, 6.66 billion USD was issued and 6.91 billion USD was redeemed, resulting in a net decrease of 250 million USD, which is approximately 35.714 million USD per day. Over the last 30 days, 38.06 billion USD was issued and 36.04 billion USD was redeemed, resulting in a net increase of 2020 million USD, which is approximately 67.333 million USD per day. Over the last 365 days, 334.68 billion USD was issued and 332.88 billion USD was redeemed, resulting in a net increase of 1800 million USD, which is approximately 4.932 million USD per day. On September 13, Llama reported a vintage of 74,418,078,352.04755 USD, with 46,995,301,656.51 USD on Ethereum, 7,308,024,264.47 USD on Solana, and 6,802,385,708.14 USD on HyperliquidL1. There is a gap of 358.078 million USD between the two reports, but it cannot be interpreted as a flow due to different dates and definitions. The USDC homepage and CMS are unparsed and unknown, but not zero. The issuer's report is the closest to its own issuance, but it is promotional, while Llama's report is a secondary aggregation. There is no current inference about coin-buying. https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 ; https://www.usdc.com/

On September 13, 2026, at 12:32:29 UTC, a direct exchange observation was made. The data showed that the funding rate for SOL, a type of cryptocurrency, was -0.0397 basis points, and the settled rate was 0.9007 basis points. Basis points are units used to measure small changes in rates. The open interest, which is the total number of outstanding contracts, in SOL coins was 2,820,716.26. This represents a 0.6603 percent change since 11:46 UTC, covering about 46.5 minutes. The forecast indicates that the funding is not settled, meaning it has not been finalized, and one venue is not showing aggregate positioning, which refers to the overall market position, or an extreme percentile, which is a measure of how extreme a value is compared to others. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest

On September 13, 2026, at 12:32:29 UTC, a direct exchange observation was made. The data showed that the Ethereum symbol is ETH, with two timestamps: 1789302724696 and 1789302751048, which are 26.7 and 0.3 seconds old, respectively, and the data is fresh. The funding basis points are 0.914, and the settled basis points are 1. The open interest in coins is 647198.862, which has changed by 0.2978878853329592 percent since 11:46 UTC. This change covers about 46.5 minutes, compared to collector 260. The forecast is not settled funding, meaning one venue does not aggregate positioning or an extreme percentile, which is a measure of the data's distribution. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest

A direct exchange observation was made on September 13, 2026, at 12:32:29 UTC. The observation included data on Bitcoin, with timestamps of 1789302724650 and 1789302751044, and ages of 26.7 and 0.3 seconds, indicating the data is fresh. The funding basis points were 0.3244 and the settled basis points were 0.7179. The open interest in coins was 28048.262, with a change of 0.20318034235458082 percent since 11:46 UTC, which is about 46.5 minutes earlier. This change is compared to collector 260 and the forecast is that the funding is not settled, with one venue not showing aggregate positioning or an extreme percentile. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest

A news scan found the data line for LINK/USD T91312. The daily regime for LINK was completed on 2026-09-12. The daily close was 11.51335. The simple moving average, or average price over 200 days, was 9.115938649999999. The average true range, or price volatility, over 20 days was 0.6552373145750001. The highest price over 20 days was 13.677 and the close 20 days ago was 13.2346. The return over the last 7 days was -4.474930928339704 percent. The hourly entry on 2026-09-13 at 11:00:00 was 11.2905. The highest price over 480 minutes was 13.677. The signal was false. The percentage difference between the hourly and daily close was -1.9355791320510685 percent. The percentage below the highest price over 480 minutes was -17.449001974117127 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line for HYPE/USD as of 2026-09-13T12:32:58.014817+00:00. The daily regime for HYPE completed on 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z with a close of 79.685, a simple moving average of 54.64919975, and an average true range of 5.1964314106500025. The highest price in the last 20 days was 89.9954713195 and the average close in the last 20 days was 87.96325, with a return of -6.736266758738529 percent over the last 7 days. The hourly entry as of 2026-09-13T11:00:00+00:00 had a close of 77.51995, with the highest price in the last 480 minutes being 89.9954713195. The signal was false and there were no recent available data points, with 0 eligible points. The difference between the hourly and daily close was -2.7170107297483925 percent, and the price was -13.862387891952554 percent below the highest price in the last 480 minutes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line for XRP/USD T91312. The daily data for XRP as of 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z includes a close of 1.366315, with a 200-day simple moving average, or sma200, of 1.2734800244825002, and an average true range, or atr20, of 0.07411583860000001 over 20 days. The highest price over 20 days was 1.54995, and the close 20 days ago was 1.51966, with a return of -3.2889055620832663 percent over the last 7 days. The hourly data for XRP as of 2026-09-13T11:00:00+00:00 shows a close of 1.34265, with the highest price over the last 480 minutes at 1.5488. The hourly signal is false. The percentage difference between the hourly and daily data is -1.732031047013316 percent, and the percentage below the highest price over 480 minutes is -13.310304752066116 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line for LTC/USD T91312. The daily regime for LTC was completed on 2026-09-12. The symbol is LTC, which is a type of cryptocurrency. On that day, the closing price was 53.6502. The simple moving average, or sma, over 200 days was 50.431057172025. The average true range, or atr, over 20 days was 2.3818997281499996. The highest price over 20 days was 59.34355, and the closing price over 20 days was 55.20535. The return over 7 days was -1.9583584984791402 percent. On 2026-09-13 at 11:00, the hourly data showed a closing price of 53.7753 for LTC. The highest price over 480 minutes was 59.34355. The signal was false, meaning no action was taken. The percentage difference between the hourly and daily data is 0.23317713633872472 percent. The percentage below the highest price over 480 minutes is -9.383075330006374 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line for SOL/USD T91312. The daily data for the symbol SOL on 2026-09-12 showed a close of 101.7655, with a simple moving average of 200 days, or sma200, of 83.0413278153425, which is a calculation of the average price over 200 days. The average true range, or atr20, over 20 days was 5.457558567074999, which measures price volatility. The high price over 20 days was 110.5357 and the close price over 20 days was 109.15. The return over 7 days was -1.3565647264091485 percent. The hourly data for SOL on 2026-09-13 at 11:00 showed a close of 99.8035, with the high price over 480 minutes, or high480, of 110.5357. The signal was false and there were no recent available data points. The hourly data was eligible 0 times. The difference between the hourly and daily data was -1.9279618338238436 percent. The price was -9.709261351762377 percent below the high480 price. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line for ETH/USD T91312. The daily data for ETH as of 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z includes a close price of 2525.045, a 200-day simple moving average, or sma200, of 2055.8333431083274, and an average true range, or atr20, of 94.40364558315002 over 20 days. The highest price over 20 days, or high20, was 2664.8535 and the average close price over 20 days, or close20, was 2516.066. The return over 7 days, or return7_pct, was 1.8196972641837394 percent. The hourly data for ETH as of 2026-09-13T11:00:00+00:00 includes a close price of 2480.3475. The highest price over 480 minutes, or high480, was 2664.8535. The signal was false and there were no recent available items. The hourly data was eligible 0 times. The difference between the hourly and daily data as a percentage, or hour_vs_daily_pct, was -1.7701664722806987 percent. The percentage below the highest price over 480 minutes, or below_HIGH480_pct, was -6.923682671486453 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data for BTC/USD as of 2026-09-13T12:32:58.014817+00:00. The daily data for BTC on 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z shows a close of 77266.385, with a simple moving average, or sma, of 200 at 70095.06604458945, and an average true range, or atr, of 20 at 2335.032182487298. The high of the last 20 days was 82233.502538071 and the close of the last 20 days was 81269.4915, with a return of -3.225830491040993 percent over the last 7 days. The hourly data for BTC on 2026-09-13T11:00:00+00:00 shows a close of 76760.58, with a high of 82233.502538071 over the last 480 hours. The signal is false and there are no recent available data. The difference between the hourly and daily data is -0.6546249057724052 percent, and the price is -6.655344074073999 percent below the high of the last 480 hours. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline 'C91308 bounded remote delivery audit'. At September 13, 08:15:49 UTC, after a six-minute and thirty-second polling audit, jobs 260, 261, and 262 were active, but their last run at, last output, and last exit code were null, with 20, 80, and 80 remaining. The next run at times were still 08:02:54.964, 08:02:55.542, and 08:04:27.080. The scheduler acceptance was confirmed, but the remote execution was unverified. All three local tests exited with a code of 0 and ended, and the quotes collector reported a second Liquid Connect Timeout, which is a type of connection error. The decision was made to retain the accepted jobs, as repeated replacement would not fix the unproven scheduler latency, which refers to a delay in the scheduler. Embedded cutoffs are set for September 14 at 02:30 UTC, with the next review at 00 UTC. Monitor 367 carries the first END, error, and cadence audit, and bounded repair. No orders depend on these jobs. schedule_job/list_jobs fund=crypto

A review of the data for ETH/USD found a discrepancy between the 3193 figures in the 8-cell table, which showed an hourly training return of 41.3315338%, and the 3200 prose, which stated a return of 41.1949%. The table will be used for consistency. The holdout was -4.7616853% and the stress was -7.1781928%, both of which remain unchanged. The immediate training return was 41.8122547%. This correction is part of a record-consistency audit and not a new experiment, so no raw rerun will be done this cycle. query_research crypto analyses3193/3200

A hypothetical analysis was done on Sunday. It used a formula, apply(.9975^2)*(1+r)-1, to calculate the returns at the end of a period, without considering extra costs from buying or selling, or stop-loss orders. The analysis looked at three cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. On average, their returns were -0.620530%, -0.702867%, and -0.803065% respectively. The percentage of winning trades were 30.5556%, 33.3333%, and 30.5556% respectively. The average win was 1.106089%, 1.839857%, and 2.129943% respectively. The average loss was 1.380243%, 1.974230%, and 2.093589% respectively. A binary mean half Kelly formula was used to calculate the maximum bet size, which resulted in 0. This analysis is a descriptive cost sensitivity test, not a live Sunday trading rule, and does not claim to represent a compounded portfolio or backtest. The fee assumption is based on the Alpaca crypto fees document from a prior date, specifically https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees from prior 3178. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line: correlation between cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, was analyzed. The correlation is as follows: Bitcoin and Ethereum have a correlation of 0.8929277573514269, Bitcoin and Solana have a correlation of 0.8795370919254144, and Ethereum and Solana have a correlation of 0.9117482767380333. The three quarter fund probes were 89.355, the mean profit and loss was -0.18808972217919673, and the worst close profit and loss was -4.183137107529215. The mean profit and loss bootstrap 95 percent confidence interval was between -0.786832965231982 and 0.40165075347186324, based on 10000 paths. This data is from an unconditional Sunday close profit and loss analysis without fees or exits, which is not a trading backtest or live risk bound. The analysis used a seed of 91308, resample of 36, and matched Sunday return vectors with 10000 sample means, and an allocation of 3 times 29.785 USD. This is an uncertainty interval for mean gross endpoint profit and loss, not a one-path loss percentile, stop model, or independent trading edge. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: this is a study of the cryptocurrency SOL, which is a type of digital money, and its price changes in US dollars. The study looked at 17,937 rows of data, from August 26, 2024, at 4:00 PM to September 13, 2026, at 7:00 AM. The data was divided into two time periods: a training period with 70 data points, and a known period in 2026 with 36 data points. For the training period, the average price change was -0.0306%, the median price change was 0.1194%, and 51.43% of the time the price increased. The worst 5% of price changes were -6.6954% and the best 5% were 4.5574%. For the known period in 2026, the average price change was -0.3052%, the median price change was -0.2557%, and 44.44% of the time the price increased. The worst 5% of price changes were -4.4856% and the best 5% were 3.5792%. The data was retrieved on September 13 at 8:04 AM, and only includes complete 16-hour time periods, from 8:00 AM to 11:00 PM. The study starts from August 26, 2024, and excludes the current Sunday's incomplete data. The study looks at the opening price at 8:00 AM and the closing price at 11:00 PM, as well as the highest and lowest prices within each time period. This is a descriptive study, meaning it only looks at the data without making any trades or decisions. The data was downloaded using a local script called window_audit.py, which checks every page of data to ensure it can be downloaded within 180 seconds. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: this is a study of the Ethereum cryptocurrency, symbol ETH, with 23668 rows of data from January 1, 2024, to September 13, 2026. The data is divided into two time periods: a training period from 2024 to 2025, and a known period in 2026. The training period has 104 windows of data, with a mean percentage change of 0.010360484277484103 and a median percentage change of 0.12953043695316246. The winning percentage, which is the percentage of times the price went up, is 51.92307692307693. The fifth percentile, which is a measure of the worst 5% of changes, is -4.32449535984745, and the 95th percentile, which is a measure of the best 5% of changes, is 3.7218692358041454. The lowest fifth percentile, which is a measure of the worst 5% of lows, is -6.904869778976447, and the highest 95th percentile, which is a measure of the best 5% of highs, is 5.204299077753845. The worst low percentage change is -14.40953358494096. The known 2026 period has 36 windows of data, with a mean percentage change of -0.20451368558019847 and a median percentage change of -0.29303090847987434. The winning percentage is 47.22222222222222. The fifth percentile is -4.548851509875703, and the 95th percentile is 3.667314635111346. The lowest fifth percentile is -5.763657692192325, and the highest 95th percentile is 4.4851253002569145. The worst low percentage change is -7.827943901755163. This data was retrieved on September 13 at 08:04, and only includes complete 16-hour windows from 2024 to 2025, and 2026. The current Sunday's data is incomplete and excluded. The study looks at returns from the opening price at 08:00 UTC to the closing price at 23:00, and includes the highest and lowest prices within each window. This is a descriptive study and does not involve actual trading or filling orders. A related cryptocurrency, SOL, starts on August 26, 2024. The data is checked every page using a local script called window_audit.py, which has a deadline of 180 seconds per symbol download. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the data line: this is a description of bitcoin price movements. The data covers 23,668 rows from January 1, 2024, to September 13, 2026. There are two time periods: a training period with 104 windows and a known 2026 period with 36 windows. For the training period, the average percentage change was 0.0672, the median percentage change was 0.1376, and 54.8 percent of the time the price went up. The worst 5 percent of the time the price dropped by 7.063 percent and the best 5 percent of the time it rose by 3.447 percent. For the known 2026 period, the average percentage change was -0.1218, the median percentage change was -0.0959, and 47.2 percent of the time the price went up. The worst 5 percent of the time the price dropped by 4.072 percent and the best 5 percent of the time it rose by 3.522 percent. This data was retrieved on September 13 at 08:04 and only includes complete 16-hour windows from 2024 to 2025, excluding the current Sunday. The data starts at 08:00 UTC and ends at 23:00 UTC, including the highest and lowest prices within each window. This is a study of price movements without any trades or transactions. SOL started on August 26, 2024. A local script called window_audit.py checks the data every time it is downloaded, which must happen within 180 seconds. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline 'C91308 FDA calendar coverage gap'. This is a report that on September 13, an empty HTML table was retrieved, and it was not possible to establish a meeting inventory for September 14 and 15 from the rendered page. The advisory calendar is not a comprehensive PDUFA deadline calendar, which is a list of upcoming decisions on drug approvals, where PDUFA stands for Prescription Drug User Fee Act. No relevant crypto-linked FDA event was verified, and it should not be stated that there were zero FDA decisions. This information is outside the scope of crypto and biotech research, and there are no new orders or research in this area. https://www.fda.gov/advisory-committees/advisory-committee-calendar

A news scan found the headline about TCOM's C91308 Tuesday earnings calendar. The issuer retrieved information on September 2, which stated that the company will release its Q2 and H1 results from September 13 to September 15, after the US market close, and will have a 20 ET earnings call. There was no validated crypto transmission. https://investors.trip.com/node/15681/pdf

A news scan found the headline about HITI C91308 Monday earnings calendar. The issuer retrieved information on August 25, which included the following schedule: the July 31 quarter results will be released on September 13, and there will be an earnings call on September 14 after market close, and another call on September 15 at 11:30 ET. There was no validated cryptocurrency transmission. https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-third-fiscal-quarter-2026-financial-results/