ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_raw_signal_hourly_20_50_train_1 = 74.35061595285136
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_raw_signal_hourly_20_50_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"raw_signal_hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":74.35061595285136,"drawdown_pct":40.03780107403322,"n":6,"win_rate":66.66666666666666,"avg_win_pct":24.45307233724794,"avg_loss_pct":13.556362085956414,"mean_pct":11.783260862846486,"quarter_kelly":0.12046810212982657,"closed":6,"ledger_error_pp":1.4210854715202004e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_hourly_30_60_train_1 = 55.3941473979745
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_hourly_30_60_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"hourly","fast":30,"slow":60,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":55.3941473979745,"drawdown_pct":35.108397368383606,"n":5,"win_rate":60,"avg_win_pct":22.69797475438946,"avg_loss_pct":6.820888259181112,"mean_pct":10.890429548961231,"quarter_kelly":0.11994935304586127,"closed":5,"ledger_error_pp":2.1316282072803006e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_hourly_10_40_train_1 = 148.81271148830305
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_hourly_10_40_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"hourly","fast":10,"slow":40,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":148.81271148830305,"drawdown_pct":33.67299632320814,"n":11,"win_rate":36.36363636363637,"avg_win_pct":39.19882643442552,"avg_loss_pct":5.503942010169759,"mean_pct":10.751610151501252,"quarter_kelly":0.06857099516414912,"closed":11,"ledger_error_pp":0}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_hourly_20_50_holdout_2 = -14.94374057915982
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_hourly_20_50_holdout_2","symbol":"ETH","source":"hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":2,"return_pct":-14.94374057915982,"drawdown_pct":40.11781152856305,"n":3,"win_rate":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":31.656859626238205,"avg_loss_pct":18.95108854447779,"mean_pct":-2.081772487572459,"quarter_kelly":0,"closed":3,"ledger_error_pp":5.329070518200751e-15}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_hourly_20_50_holdout_1 = -13.138652032340486
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_hourly_20_50_holdout_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":-13.138652032340486,"drawdown_pct":39.69716098781223,"n":3,"win_rate":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":32.581701062548284,"avg_loss_pct":18.38174949222719,"mean_pct":-1.3939326406353647,"quarter_kelly":0,"closed":3,"ledger_error_pp":5.329070518200751e-15}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_hourly_20_50_train_1 = 120.2419847750352
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_hourly_20_50_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":120.2419847750352,"drawdown_pct":25.981940201893327,"n":5,"win_rate":80,"avg_win_pct":24.45307233724793,"avg_loss_pct":5.7202705069921835,"mean_pct":18.41840376839991,"quarter_kelly":0.18830357505163303,"closed":5,"ledger_error_pp":0}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_rebuilt_daily_30_60_train_1 = 55.3941473979745
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_rebuilt_daily_30_60_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"rebuilt_daily","fast":30,"slow":60,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":55.3941473979745,"drawdown_pct":34.35298837143069,"n":5,"win_rate":60,"avg_win_pct":22.69797475438946,"avg_loss_pct":6.820888259181112,"mean_pct":10.890429548961231,"quarter_kelly":0.11994935304586127,"closed":5,"ledger_error_pp":2.1316282072803006e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_rebuilt_daily_10_40_train_1 = 148.81271148830305
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_rebuilt_daily_10_40_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"rebuilt_daily","fast":10,"slow":40,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":148.81271148830305,"drawdown_pct":33.66655581890282,"n":11,"win_rate":36.36363636363637,"avg_win_pct":39.19882643442552,"avg_loss_pct":5.503942010169759,"mean_pct":10.751610151501252,"quarter_kelly":0.06857099516414912,"closed":11,"ledger_error_pp":0}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_rebuilt_daily_20_50_holdout_2 = -14.94374057915982
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_rebuilt_daily_20_50_holdout_2","symbol":"ETH","source":"rebuilt_daily","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":2,"return_pct":-14.94374057915982,"drawdown_pct":38.90224256213146,"n":3,"win_rate":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":31.656859626238205,"avg_loss_pct":18.95108854447779,"mean_pct":-2.081772487572459,"quarter_kelly":0,"closed":3,"ledger_error_pp":5.329070518200751e-15}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_rebuilt_daily_20_50_holdout_1 = -13.138652032340486
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_rebuilt_daily_20_50_holdout_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"rebuilt_daily","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":-13.138652032340486,"drawdown_pct":38.295620015196604,"n":3,"win_rate":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":32.581701062548284,"avg_loss_pct":18.38174949222719,"mean_pct":-1.3939326406353647,"quarter_kelly":0,"closed":3,"ledger_error_pp":5.329070518200751e-15}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_rebuilt_daily_20_50_train_1 = 120.2419847750352
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_rebuilt_daily_20_50_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"rebuilt_daily","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":120.2419847750352,"drawdown_pct":24.130736224416705,"n":5,"win_rate":80,"avg_win_pct":24.45307233724793,"avg_loss_pct":5.7202705069921835,"mean_pct":18.41840376839991,"quarter_kelly":0.18830357505163303,"closed":5,"ledger_error_pp":0}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_raw_daily_30_60_train_1 = 34.064305663054
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_raw_daily_30_60_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"raw_daily","fast":30,"slow":60,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":34.064305663054,"drawdown_pct":43.41543300907132,"n":5,"win_rate":60,"avg_win_pct":22.697974754389485,"avg_loss_pct":13.289118243432704,"mean_pct":8.303137555260607,"quarter_kelly":0.09145240539197105,"closed":5,"ledger_error_pp":7.105427357601002e-15}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_raw_daily_10_40_train_1 = 130.0802457644211
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_raw_daily_10_40_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"raw_daily","fast":10,"slow":40,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":130.0802457644211,"drawdown_pct":38.541544810095665,"n":11,"win_rate":36.36363636363637,"avg_win_pct":39.19882643442551,"avg_loss_pct":6.540095983644299,"mean_pct":10.092239441108362,"quarter_kelly":0.06436569891952856,"closed":11,"ledger_error_pp":5.684341886080802e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_raw_daily_20_50_holdout_2 = -9.031875904835287
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_raw_daily_20_50_holdout_2","symbol":"ETH","source":"raw_daily","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":2,"return_pct":-9.031875904835287,"drawdown_pct":38.44346807971243,"n":3,"win_rate":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":31.656859626238194,"avg_loss_pct":15.772467244570947,"mean_pct":0.03730837903209901,"quarter_kelly":0.0002946310805350266,"closed":3,"ledger_error_pp":1.2434497875801753e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_raw_daily_20_50_holdout_1 = -7.101324055413278
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_raw_daily_20_50_holdout_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"raw_daily","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":-7.101324055413278,"drawdown_pct":38.01105588670518,"n":3,"win_rate":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":32.581701062548284,"avg_loss_pct":15.180799536625258,"mean_pct":0.7400339964325893,"quarter_kelly":0.0056782946584949395,"closed":3,"ledger_error_pp":1.509903313490213e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Fixed SMA measurement control ETH_raw_daily_20_50_train_1 = 74.35061595285136
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"ETH_raw_daily_20_50_train_1","symbol":"ETH","source":"raw_daily","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":74.35061595285136,"drawdown_pct":39.218271953777005,"n":6,"win_rate":66.66666666666666,"avg_win_pct":24.45307233724794,"avg_loss_pct":13.556362085956414,"mean_pct":11.783260862846486,"quarter_kelly":0.12046810212982657,"closed":6,"ledger_error_pp":1.4210854715202004e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_raw_signal_hourly_30_60_train_1 = 21.24916913852545
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_raw_signal_hourly_30_60_train_1","symbol":"BTC","source":"raw_signal_hourly","fast":30,"slow":60,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":21.24916913852545,"drawdown_pct":30.62613661467106,"n":7,"win_rate":42.857142857142854,"avg_win_pct":20.840593857527153,"avg_loss_pct":8.130807492508971,"mean_pct":4.2855073717922245,"quarter_kelly":0.05140817244807537,"closed":7,"ledger_error_pp":1.0658141036401503e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_raw_signal_hourly_10_40_train_1 = 49.75759260681784
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_raw_signal_hourly_10_40_train_1","symbol":"BTC","source":"raw_signal_hourly","fast":10,"slow":40,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":49.75759260681784,"drawdown_pct":42.59896678087116,"n":10,"win_rate":40,"avg_win_pct":28.288704229037066,"avg_loss_pct":8.91049809493098,"mean_pct":5.9691828346562374,"quarter_kelly":0.052752352903187624,"closed":10,"ledger_error_pp":1.4210854715202004e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_raw_signal_hourly_20_50_holdout_2 = -7.710771479675859
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_raw_signal_hourly_20_50_holdout_2","symbol":"BTC","source":"raw_signal_hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":2,"return_pct":-7.710771479675859,"drawdown_pct":31.64956134822685,"n":5,"win_rate":20,"avg_win_pct":20.51203515376095,"avg_loss_pct":6.317822926445121,"mean_pct":-0.9518513104039067,"quarter_kelly":0,"closed":5,"ledger_error_pp":1.1546319456101628e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_raw_signal_hourly_20_50_holdout_1 = -4.423418958113871
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_raw_signal_hourly_20_50_holdout_1","symbol":"BTC","source":"raw_signal_hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":-4.423418958113871,"drawdown_pct":29.708682048125223,"n":5,"win_rate":20,"avg_win_pct":21.358588261594925,"avg_loss_pct":5.659739789361909,"mean_pct":-0.2560741791705423,"quarter_kelly":0,"closed":5,"ledger_error_pp":7.105427357601002e-15}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_raw_signal_hourly_20_50_train_1 = 44.427011648399876
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_raw_signal_hourly_20_50_train_1","symbol":"BTC","source":"raw_signal_hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":44.427011648399876,"drawdown_pct":44.342478505687964,"n":8,"win_rate":37.5,"avg_win_pct":30.55696675630341,"avg_loss_pct":7.647651186739672,"mean_pct":6.679080541901483,"quarter_kelly":0.05464449887294276,"closed":8,"ledger_error_pp":7.105427357601002e-15}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_hourly_30_60_train_1 = 26.65277320510835
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_hourly_30_60_train_1","symbol":"BTC","source":"hourly","fast":30,"slow":60,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":26.65277320510835,"drawdown_pct":27.12247484653776,"n":8,"win_rate":50,"avg_win_pct":15.98885311875908,"avg_loss_pct":7.4703966334785585,"mean_pct":4.259228242640261,"quarter_kelly":0.06659683798150412,"closed":8,"ledger_error_pp":0}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_hourly_10_40_train_1 = 35.69122507362401
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_hourly_10_40_train_1","symbol":"BTC","source":"hourly","fast":10,"slow":40,"phase":"train","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":35.69122507362401,"drawdown_pct":42.19138604060772,"n":10,"win_rate":30,"avg_win_pct":34.576172413503436,"avg_loss_pct":7.775163914876162,"mean_pct":4.930236983637715,"quarter_kelly":0.03564764865147605,"closed":10,"ledger_error_pp":2.1316282072803006e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_hourly_20_50_holdout_2 = -4.447148458677293
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_hourly_20_50_holdout_2","symbol":"BTC","source":"hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":2,"return_pct":-4.447148458677293,"drawdown_pct":29.232485502478223,"n":3,"win_rate":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":20.512035153760948,"avg_loss_pct":10.87128981560236,"mean_pct":-0.41018149248125785,"quarter_kelly":0,"closed":3,"ledger_error_pp":7.105427357601002e-15}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Fixed SMA measurement control BTC_hourly_20_50_holdout_1 = -2.419298196890395
Crypto majors2026-09-06 04:10
Sep6 04UTC vectorbt. Train2024-25 (SOLstartsAug2024), holdoutJan1-Sep5 2026; lastday00UTC forcedexit matchedalltimeframes. Priorcompletedday SMA fast>slow, followingopenfill;25bpfee+10bpslip eachside,costmultspecified. No stops/targets; diagnosticnottradeproposal. Capitalreturn=PnL/(entryvalue+entryfee), exactroundtripledger checked. {"key":"BTC_hourly_20_50_holdout_1","symbol":"BTC","source":"hourly","fast":20,"slow":50,"phase":"holdout","cost_mult":1,"return_pct":-2.419298196890395,"drawdown_pct":28.234761469407978,"n":3,"win_rate":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":21.358588261594942,"avg_loss_pct":10.245193123205087,"mean_pct":0.28940067172825623,"quarter_kelly":0.0033874040290461094,"closed":3,"ledger_error_pp":1.199040866595169e-14}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars