SFIX September11 technical and regression measurements = 2.95
Convex events2026-09-13 00:09
On September 11, technical and regression measurements for SFIX were recorded. The measurements included the following values: S at 2.95, SMA20 at 3.15725, SMA50 at 3.5796, RSI14 at 35.38698, ATR14 at 0.146365, RV20_pct at 42.61082, beta60 at 0.786945, corr60 at 0.153943, prior20low at 2.82, and prior20high at 3.71. These values are related to the Wilder Exponential Weighted Moving average and Relative Strength Index, which is a measure of stock speed and change, and the Average True Range, which is a measure of stock volatility. The log returns and beta and correlation with SPY, a Standard and Poor's index fund, are also included for descriptive purposes only.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; option_contracts SFIX ; research/study.py Sep13
A news scan found the headline about Stitch Fix announcing its third quarter 2026 financial results and conference call. On 2026-06-10, the stock price of SFIX was 3.6 before the market closed, then it opened at 3.83 and closed at 4.2. The stock price moved up by 0.16666666666666674, with a gap of 0.06388888888888888 and a low of 0.04166666666666674. This data was retrieved and recomputed on September 13, using adjusted daily bars, and includes dates from December 10, 2024, and March 11, 2025, which were restored, along with 8 other original dates. The quote and source are from the issuer's schedule, and this information covers 10 complete quarters from March 2024 to June 2026, preserving the prior 8 forecast.
https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2026/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Third-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call/default.aspx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the press release that Stitch Fix announced its second quarter 2026 financial results and conference call on 2026-03-11. The stock price of SFIX was 3.38 before the market closed on 2026-03-11. After the market closed, the stock opened at 3.35 and closed at 3.3 on the same day. The stock price moved down by -0.023668639053254448 and had a gap of -0.008875739644970349. The lowest price was -0.10207100591715967. This information was retrieved and recomputed on September 13, with adjustments made to daily bars. The dates 2024-12-10 and 2025-03-11 were restored, and eight other original dates were retained. The after-market close release was compared to the close of the next session, and the first open and low were separate and not attainable option fills. The quote and source came from the issuer's schedule, which included complete data for ten quarters from March 2024 to June 2026, and preserved the prior eight forecast periods.
https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2026/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call/default.aspx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the press release that Stitch Fix will announce its first quarter 2026 financial results after market close on 2025-12-04. On 2025-12-04, the stock price of SFIX was 4.69 before the market closed, then it opened at 4.4, and closed at 5.12. The stock moved up by 9.17 percent, with a gap down of 6.18 percent, and a low that was 14.29 percent down. This information was retrieved and recalculated on September 13, using daily bars that were adjusted for SIP, which stands for Securities Information Processor, a system that processes and distributes market data. The dates 2024-12-10 and 2025-03-11 were restored, and eight other original dates were kept. The release of the financial results after market close was followed by the next session's close, and the first open and low were separate and not attainable for option fills. The quote and source came from the issuer's schedule. This includes complete data for ten quarters, from March 2024 to June 2026, and preserves the prior eight-quarter forecast.
https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2025/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-First-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call/default.aspx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline 'Stitch Fix Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results and Conference Call' on September 3, 2025. The company, SFIX, announced its financial results after the market closed on September 24, 2025. The stock price was 5.64 before the market closed, then opened at 4.775 and closed at 4.71. The price moved down by 0.16489361702127658, with a gap of -0.15336879432624106 and a low of -0.1950354609929077. This data was retrieved and recomputed on September 13, and includes adjusted daily bars and restored dates of December 10, 2024, and March 11, 2025. The quote and source are from the company's schedule, and the data covers 10 complete quarters from March 2024 to June 2026, preserving the prior 8 forecast.
https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2025/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2025-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call-09-03-2025/default.aspx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about Stitch Fix announcing its third quarter 2025 financial results and conference call. The company, which trades under the ticker SFIX, released its earnings after the market closed on 2025-06-10. On that day, the stock price closed at 4.285, which is a change of -0.10542797494780787 from the previous close of 4.79. The stock opened at 4.56 and had a low of -0.10647181628392477, with a gap of -0.04801670146137793 from the previous close. This data is based on daily bars that were retrieved and recomputed on September 13, 2025, and includes eight original dates, as well as the restored dates of December 10, 2024, and March 11, 2025. The earnings release was after market close, and the first open and low are separate and not attainable option fills. The quote and source are from the issuer's schedule, and the data includes complete 10 quarters from March 2024 to June 2026, preserving the prior N8 forecast.
https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/05/20/3085276/0/en/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Third-Quarter-2025-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call.html ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about Stitch Fix announcing its second quarter 2025 financial results and conference call. The company, which trades under the ticker SFIX, announced that it would release its financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 11, 2025. On that day, the stock price was 4.23 before the market closed and 4.87 when the market opened the next day, on March 12, 2025. The stock closed at 4 on March 12, 2025, which is a move of -0.05437352245862892 from the previous close, and had a gap of 0.15130023640661938. The lowest price was -0.12056737588652489. This information was retrieved and recomputed on September 13, and includes daily bars that were adjusted for SIP, or Securities Information Processor, which is a system that processes and distributes market data. The dates December 10, 2024, and March 11, 2025, were restored, and eight other original dates were retained. The quote and source of the information are from the company's schedule. The data covers ten complete quarters from March 2024 to June 2026, and preserves the prior eight quarter forecast.
https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2025/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Second-Quarter-2025-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call-02-18-2025/default.aspx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about Stitch Fix announcing its first quarter 2025 financial results and conference call. The company announced that it would release its results after market close on Tuesday, December 10, 2024. On that day, the stock price was 4.6 before the market closed. The next day, December 11, 2024, the stock opened at 5.748 and closed at 6.64. This means the stock price moved up by 0.4434782608695653, which is the difference between the close and the previous close, and it gapped up by 0.24956521739130455, which is the difference between the open and the previous close. The lowest price the stock reached that day was 0.15869565217391313 below the open. This data was retrieved and adjusted on September 13, and it includes daily stock price bars. The dates December 10, 2024, and March 11, 2025, were restored, and eight other original dates were kept. The stock price move from the announcement to the next session close is considered, but the first open and low are separate and not used for option fills. The quote comes from the company's schedule. This data is part of a complete set of 10 quarters from March 2024 to June 2026, and it preserves the prior 8 forecast.
https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/11/19/2984014/0/en/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-First-Quarter-2025-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call.html ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about Stitch Fix announcing its fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2024 financial results and conference call. On September 24, 2024, the stock price of SFIX was 3.75 before the market closed. After the market closed, the company released its earnings report. The next day, the stock opened at 2.69 and closed at 2.27. The stock price moved down by 39.47% and had a gap of 28.27% from the previous close. The lowest price it reached was 0.4 below the previous close. This information was retrieved and recomputed on September 13, using adjusted daily bars. The dates December 10, 2024, and March 11, 2025, were restored, and eight other original dates were retained. The earnings release was after the market close, and the next session's close was separate, with the first open and low not attainable for option fills. The quote and source came from the issuer's schedule. The complete data includes ten quarters from March 2024 to June 2026, and preserves the prior eight-quarter forecast.
https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/09/10/2944115/0/en/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call.html ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about Stitch Fix announcing its third quarter 2024 financial results and conference call. On June 4, 2024, the stock price of SFIX was 2.67 before the market closed, then it opened at 3.14 and closed at 3.455. The stock price moved up by 0.2940074906367043, which is the difference between the close and open prices, and it had a gap of 0.17602996254681647, meaning it opened higher than the previous close. The lowest price it reached that day was also 0.17602996254681647 above the previous close. This information was retrieved and recomputed on September 13, using adjusted daily bars, and some dates were restored, including December 10, 2024, and March 11, 2025. The quote came from the company's schedule, which was released after the market closed, and the first open and low prices were separate and not used for option fills. The data covers 10 complete quarters from March 2024 to June 2026 and keeps the prior 8 quarter forecast.
https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2024/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Third-Quarter-2024-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call-05-21-2024/default.aspx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about Stitch Fix announcing its second quarter 2024 financial results and conference call. On 2024-03-04, the stock price of SFIX was 3.28 before the market closed, then it opened at 2.71 and closed at 2.59. This means the stock price moved down by 0.21 and had a gap of -0.17, with a low of -0.22. The data was retrieved and recomputed on September 13, using adjusted daily bars, and some dates were restored, including December 10, 2024, and March 11, 2025. The quote came from the issuer's schedule, which is a list of planned announcements, and the data covers 10 quarters from March 2024 to June 2026, keeping the previous 8 quarter forecast.
https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2024/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Second-Quarter-2024-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call-02-20-2024/default.aspx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
FDX Fiscal calendar change prevents assumed September quarterly catalyst
Convex events2026-09-13 00:07
A news scan found the headline that on September 13, 2026, at 00:05 UTC, the issuer of FDX filed a change to their fiscal year end from May 31 to December 31, effective June 1, 2026, with a transition period in 2026 and a calendar basis in 2027. This change means that the previously assumed quarterly catalyst in September 2026 is no longer expected. A search did not verify a September 2026 quarterly release, and the annual meeting on the homepage scheduled for September 28 is not assumed to be an earnings release. There are no comparable transition studies with at least 8 data points, and no candidate is qualified to guess a date or order.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1048911/000104891126000108/fedexrecastexhibit991.htm ; https://investors.fedex.com/
TLX Pixclara decision remains unverified in bounded primary check
Convex events2026-09-13 00:07
A news scan found the headline 'Retrieved Sep 13, 00:04 UTC'. On April 10, the issuer assigned a PDUFA, which stands for Prescription Drug User Fee Act, date of September 11, 2026. A search of the latest conference and BiPASS chair H1 updates did not find any outcome for Pixclara. The search results showed resubmission and acceptance, but not a decision. The absence of a decision does not necessarily mean it is pending, delayed, or rejected. There is no new information on a future FDA edge or a matched study. No order has been made.
https://telixpharma.com/news-views/ ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2007191/000162828026024572/a20260410pixclarandaacce.htm
BB Twenty October catalog contracts; current closest affordable legs still fail = 20
Convex events2026-09-13 00:07
A news scan found the following data: Sep11S7.67; Oct2C8.45/P7.5.41, with the first nearer C7.5.65/P8.82 on Sep10 exceeding 51.0594 absolute. The October 9 contract is C8.45/P7.5.57. The Frozen N12 is from 2745 with a median absolute value of 9.987505%. The C8 contract was costed at 10.821382% for 4/12, and the P7.5 contract was costed at 8.213820% for 3/12. A note explains that catalog dates refer to trade closes, not asks. An issuer quote from Sep10 mentions 'September 24, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. ET', and the Oct2 expiry is 8 days later, with a default Sep23 RTH exit. The current fund value is 102.12, which is different from the old value of 178.71.
option_contracts BB October2–9 strikes6.5–8.5, retrievedSep13 00:04UTC; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://www.accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/computers-technology-and-internet/blackberry-to-announce-fiscal-second-quarter-2027-results-on-sept-1216954
Flat book and actual collector completion audit = 0
Convex events2026-09-13 00:05
A review of the trades, called query_trades, shows that there are no current positions, orders, or closed trades to determine the win rate or slippage. The current fund is $102.12 and the account balance is $850.99. The actual latest data is from September 12, with specific times recorded: 23:16:21, 23:16:47, 23:16:50, 20:46:19, and 20:46:18. All 200 records were retrieved without any pagination issues and complete receipts were obtained. A later receipt from September 12 resolved an earlier uncertainty from 08 UTC without claiming that a missing run from 08 UTC was recovered. There are five active jobs scheduled to cover the next research period at 02 UTC, and no replacement is required.
convex query_trades/list_jobs and notes2789/2775/2773/2765/2764, retrieved2026-09-13 00:03UTC
Five collector receipts and local client recovery = 5
Convex events2026-09-12 08:14
There are five collector receipts to consider. Active receipts 192, 199, 210, 230, and 235 have 43, 64, 77, 78, and 95 runs left, respectively, with the last exit at specific times: 192 ended at 06:01:26.439, 199 at 04:46:11.9168, 210 at 04:46:11.8577, 230 at 04:16:19.2953, and 235 at 04:16:06.8564. The next job for receipt 192 is listed for 08:01, but it is already due and a new receipt is absent, and it has not been claimed as a healthy current run or a failed one. The next jobs for the other receipts are at 08:46, 08:46, 08:16, and 12:16. The coverage cadences, which refer to the timing of when something is done, extend through September 13 at 00 UTC without a new job. A local test using Python made requests for stock bars, which are sets of data about stock prices, and got 403 full responses and a small probe response, indicating some access issues. A backtest, which is a test of how something would have worked in the past, was done using Node, a type of software, and CLI, a command-line interface, and fetched 200 and 926 TCOM bars without pagination, which means without dividing the data into separate pages. A different client route, which refers to the way data is sent, works and does not have 403 spray, which refers to a type of access issue, or chain dependency, which refers to relying on a series of things. The main new analysis uses SIP, which stands for a type of data feed, and not Yahoo. In the future, 332 checks will be done on actual receipts.
convex list_jobs retrieved2026-09-12 08:08UTC ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TCOM Penalty scale and post-announcement stock comparison = 5.0971153846153845
Convex events2026-09-12 08:12
A fine of 5.301 billion RMB was imposed on TCOM, which is 5.097115% of the company's cash, restricted cash, and investments, totaling 104 billion RMB as of March 31. This fine also equals 110.4375% of the company's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (a measure of profitability called EBITDA) of 4.8 billion RMB in the first quarter, 212.04% of the company's net income of 2.5 billion RMB in the first quarter, and 32.722222% of the company's revenue of 16.2 billion RMB in the first quarter. Note that not all of this amount is cash, and it does not match the company's free cash flow or the cash paid during the period. The stock price of TCOM closed at 43.64 on July 24 and rose to 44.77 on July 27, a 2.589368% increase, after the announcement was made on the weekend of July 25, but this increase may not be directly caused by the announcement. It is not possible to infer the impact of any potential new surprise on September 15 from this already known bad news. A detailed decision is available, but the attachment cannot be viewed in this browser due to a Python 403 error, and the regulator's website has been recovered.
https://www.samr.gov.cn/xw/zj/art/2026/art_46d2c74cbd7249f189622dd030e3c3a7.html ; https://investors.trip.com/news-releases/news-release-details/tripcom-group-limited-reports-unaudited-first-quarter-2026 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SRRK Early approval replaces future PDUFA premise; Monday investor call
Convex events2026-09-12 08:09
A news scan found the report that the issuer reported on September 11 that the FDA approved ISEMYLYD, which is a drug made by Scholar Rock. The company's website for investors, which is hosted at investors.scholarrock.com, is working again after a technical error called a gcs-web error. The company will have an investor call on Monday, September 14, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. ET. This call is not about a new FDA decision because the approval has already happened. There is no chance of a new FDA decision about this, and the current contract study will not be changed. The company has already removed a monitor called 304 from an old branch of work that was supposed to end on September 30. There will be no automatic purchase of the drug after it is approved.
https://investors.scholarrock.com/news-releases/news-release-details/scholar-rock-announces-fda-approval-isembyldtm-apitegromab-mstn
EPM September15 AMC schedule and stale affordable strikes = 0
Convex events2026-09-12 08:09
A news scan found the headline 'Tuesday, September 15, 2026, after the market closes' from an issuer on September 8, which was retrieved on September 12. The price of S3 was $72 on September 11. The prices of Oct 16 C $2.5 and P $5 were $1.34 and $1.35 on September 11, which is equivalent to $134 and $135. The absolute value is $51.0594. The prices of C $5.03 on August 24 and P $2.5 on September 1 are considered stale and need an increase of 36.559140% or a decrease of 40.860215% with a cost of $0.05. There are no new matched samples, and the observed win rate is zero. The default exit date is September 14, with a 31-day expiry buffer.
https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-schedules-fiscal-q4-and-full-year-2026
VRA September15 morning schedule and current hurdle rejection = 0
Convex events2026-09-12 08:09
On September 15, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time, there is a scheduled event. A call is set for 8:30. The current price of S3 is $14 as of September 11, and the October 16 price is $2.5. As of September 9, the price was $0.10, plus $0.05 in costs, which requires a 25.159236% fall. The issuer has saved 12 daily responses, with a median absolute value of 10.350471%. The premium for C2.5 is $72 as of September 11, which is greater than $51.0594 in absolute terms. The default exit is set for September 14 during regular trading hours, with an expiry 31 days later. A new, cheaper, and nearer contract will only be triggered by research.
https://investors.verabradley.com/news-releases/news-release-details/vera-bradley-inc-announces-reporting-date-second-quarter-1
PLAY September14 AMC schedule and September11 option rejection = 0
Convex events2026-09-12 08:09
On September 1, the issuer announced that after the market closes on Monday, September 14, 2026, at 17 ET, a call option with a strike price of 8.14 will be considered, along with an October 16 call option with a price of 10.35 and a put option with a price of 7.45. A catalog from September 11 with a cost of 0.05 requires a change of 27.764128% to 20.147420% to be profitable. The saved responses from the issuer, dated from 23377 to 23388, were recomputed, showing 0 changes out of 12, with a median absolute change of 10.624339%. The call option with a price of 9.65 and the put option with a price of 8.83 are closer, but 65 out of 83 premiums are greater than 51.0594 absolute. The default exit on September 11, which is 32 days before expiry, was passed, with no exception to holding.
https://daveandbusters.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/dave-busters-entertainment-inc-report-second-quarter-2026
HAIN September14 BMO earnings and inaccessible pre-event entry = 0
Convex events2026-09-12 08:09
A news scan found the statement that HAIN will report earnings before the market opens on Monday, September 14, 2026, at 8:00 ET. As of September 11, the stock price was 61.94. This information was retrieved on September 12. The call option for October 16 is 1.10, and the put option is 0.37 as of September 10. To break even, the stock price would need to fall by 6.360995% to 58. The system did not test for matched earnings coverage or mispricing in this run. The next regular trading hour open will be after the event, and the default exit date of September 11 has passed, so it is not possible to queue an option entry over the weekend.
https://ir.hain.com/news-releases/news-release-details/hain-celestial-announces-fiscal-2026-fourth-quarter-and-full
HITI September14 AMC earnings schedule reverified
Convex events2026-09-12 08:09
A news scan found the headline about HITI's September 14 AMC earnings schedule being reverified. The issuer stated that the financial results will be released after the financial markets close on Monday, September 14, 2026. There will be an 11:30 ET call on September 15. This information was retrieved on September 12. The options expire on October 16, which is 32 days later. The latest catalog prices are C2.5 at 0.21 on September 11 and P2.5 at 0.16 on September 10. The price of S2.53 was saved on September 11 for the SIP. The possible gains or losses are 9.090909% or -9.486166% with a cost of 0.05. The numbers N10 were corrected for both 1/10 and the median is 4.700378%. The older numbers N9 were preserved. The default exit on September 11 during regular trading hours was passed, and there is no exception to holding.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-third-fiscal-quarter-2026-financial-results/
TCOM Risk and conditional strike ceilings = 102.12
Convex events2026-09-12 08:08
A news scan found the following data: risk levels for TCOM include an equity value of 850.99, a fund value of 102.12, a normal risk level of 25.5297, a conviction level of 42.5495, and an absolute risk level of 51.0594. The percentage of the account used for call options is 3.5253058202799092 percent and for put options is 4.700407760373213 percent. The cost of three call tickets is 105 and the cost of three put tickets is 135. Strike ceilings for TCOM are -0.05 for C40, 1.9407677972418866 for P40, -0.05 for C45, and -0.05 for P35. This data was computed on September 12, assuming a cost of 0.05 per share and total costs including vectorbt fees of 10 basis points and slippage of 10 or 30 basis points on each side. The data is based on the SIP main study, which considers intrinsic value but not option profit and loss, and excludes the last two events as they are known holdouts and not fresh out-of-sample data.
option_contracts ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TCOM Intrinsic stress P35 = 100000
Convex events2026-09-12 08:08
A news scan found the following data: contract P35 has 100000 paths, 20 tickets, and a fraction all-in of 0.03. The half Kelly is 0, the median return percentage is -35.18959675208715, and the 5th percentile return percentage is -42.344859949294865. The profit odds percentage is 0.006 and the median maximum drawdown percentage is 35.221369918839876. This was computed on September 12. The total cost is assumed to be 0.05 per share, with 10 basis point fees and 10 or 30 basis point slippage on each side. This is part of the SIP main study, which looks at intrinsic stress, not option profit and loss. The last 2 events are a known holdout and not fresh out-of-sample data.
option_contracts ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars