A news scan found the headline 'HITI 15-minute underlying hurdle audit 2025-01-30'. This is a data line: Sep 12 retrieval, from 9:30 to 16:00 New York time. Underlying thresholds were mapped from current values of S2.53, K2.5, C0.21, and P0.16, with an assumed cost of 0.05. This does not include option fills or stop and target forecasts. On January 30, 2025, the status was 200, with 26 data points and no missing values. The call level was 3.229090909090909 and the put level was 2.679209486166008. There were put sample hits at 16:00, 16:15, 16:45, 17:00, and 17:15. The minute open was 2.8, the minute close was 2.725, the daily open was 2.83, and the daily close was 2.72.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HITI&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
A news scan found the headline 'HITI 15-minute underlying hurdle audit 2024-09-17'. This is a data line: Sep 12 retrieval, from 9:30 to 16:00 New York time. Underlying thresholds were mapped from current prices: S2.53, K2.5, C0.21, and P0.16, with an assumed cost of 0.05. This does not include option fills or stop and target forecasts. A system report from September 17, 2024, showed the following data: the status was 200, there were 26 items, no items were missing, and there were no next items. The call level was 2.3890909090909087 and the put level was 1.9822529644268776. There were no call sample hits and no put sample hits. The call did not reach a high and the put did not reach a low. The minute open was 2.23 and the minute close was 2.14. The daily open was 2.23 and the daily close was 2.14.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HITI&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
A news scan found the headline 'HITI 15-minute underlying hurdle audit 2024-06-14'. This is a data line: on September 12, data was retrieved from 9:30 to 16:00 New York time, which is called Regular Trading Hours or RTH. The underlying thresholds were mapped from current prices: S2.53, K2.5, C0.21, and P0.16, with an added assumed cost of 0.05. This does not include option fills or stop and target forecasts. The data shows the following information for June 14, 2024: the status is 200, there are 26 data points, no data is missing, and there is no next item. The call level is 2.7927272727272725 and the put level is 2.317154150197629. There are no call sample hits and no put sample hits. The call did not reach a new high, but the put did reach a new low. The minute open was 2.5, the minute close was 2.46, the daily open was 2.5, and the daily close was 2.46.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HITI&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
A news scan found the headline 'HITI 15-minute underlying hurdle audit 2024-03-18'. This is a data line: on September 12, a retrieval was done from 9:30 to 16:00 New York time, which is called Regular Trading Hours or RTH. The underlying thresholds were mapped from current values of S2.53, K2.5, C0.21, and P0.16, with an added assumed cost of 0.05. This does not include option fills or stop and target forecasts. The data shows that on March 18, 2024, the status was 200, with 26 data points and no missing values, and it is not the next item in a series. The call level was 1.9854545454545454 and the put level was 1.6473517786561267. There were no call sample hits and no put sample hits, and no call reached a high or put reached a low. The minute open was 1.8 and the minute close was 1.72, and the daily open and close were also 1.8 and 1.72.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HITI&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
A news scan found the headline 'High Tide to Announce Second Fiscal Quarter 2026 Financial Results' on the website https://hightideinc.com/ on June 15, 2026. This is part of a scheduled final release, not the first news announcement. The data provided includes the stock's performance, with a pre-close price of 2.25, an open price of 2.59, a high price of 2.65, a low price of 2.47, and a close price of 2.52 on June 16, 2026. The return percentage was 12.00%, with a gap percentage of 15.11%, a high percentage of 17.78%, and a low percentage of 9.78%. Other technical indicators include an average true range percentage of 3.80%, a relative strength index of 40.16, and a momentum of -6.64. The stock was below its 50-day simple moving average.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-second-fiscal-quarter-2026-financial-results/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline 'High Tide Opens 220th Canna Cabana in Sarnia, Ontario' on the website https://hightideinc.com/ on March 17, 2026. This is part of a scheduled final release, not the first news about the event. The data includes a Securities Information Processor, or SIP, adjustment of 926 bars from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, with 200 items per page and no pagination. The event details are as follows: the date is March 17, 2026, the source is https://hightideinc.com/, the old return is -1.6064257028112428, the pre-close price is 2.49, the response is on March 18, 2026, the open price is 2.7, the high price is 2.7, the low price is 2.41, and the close price is 2.45. The gap percentage is 8.43373493975903, the return percentage is -1.6064257028112428, the high percentage is 8.43373493975903, and the low percentage is -3.2128514056224966. The average true range percentage, or atr pct, is 3.719277108433737, the relative strength index, or rsi14, is 51.844742454495204, and the momentum, or mom20, is 5.063291139240511. The stock is above its simple moving average, or sma50.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-opens-220th-canna-cabana-in-sarnia-ontario/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline 'High Tide to Announce Fourth Fiscal Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results' on January 29, 2026, at 06UTC. This is an audit of ten events. The source of the information is the issuer AMC. The scheduling source was measured on September 12, 2026. The previous nine source and date mappings were retained from 22929 to 37. September 15, 2025, was added on August 18, with the statement 'September 15, 2025, after markets close'. This is the final release population, not all first news. The SIP adjustment includes all 926 bars from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, with 200 and no pagination. On January 29, 2026, the old return was -8.230452674897126, the pre-close price was 2.43, and the response was on January 30, 2026. The open price was 2.39, the high price was 2.4199, the low price was 2.22, and the close price was 2.23. The gap percentage was -1.6460905349794275, the return percentage was -8.230452674897126, the high percentage was -0.4156378600823074, and the low percentage was -8.64197530864197. The average true range percentage was 4.200823045267487, the relative strength index 14 was 35.22761782397245, and the momentum 20 was -7.25190839694656. The stock was not above the simple moving average 50, which is a calculation of the average price of a stock over a certain period, in this case, 50 days.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-fourth-fiscal-quarter-and-full-fiscal-year-2025-financial-results/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about High Tide Inc. On September 12, 2026, the issuer AMC scheduled a source. The system kept the prior nine source and date mappings from 22929 to 37 and added September 15, 2025, via an original statement from August 18, which said 'September 15, 2025, after markets close'. This is a scheduled final release population, not all first news. A SIP adjustment was made to all 926 bars from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, with 200 items and no pagination. On September 15, 2025, High Tide Inc announced preliminary Q3 2025 guidance, which is available at https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-announces-preliminary-q3-2025-guidance/. The stock's pre-close price was 3.68. The response was on September 16, 2025. The stock opened at 3.78, reached a high of 3.99, and a low of 3.59, and closed at 3.71. The gap percentage was 2.717391304347827, the return percentage was 0.8152173913043459, the high percentage was 8.42391304347827, and the low percentage was -2.445652173913049. The average true range percentage was 5.7267663043478265, the relative strength index over 14 days was 69.44516644555074, and the momentum over 20 days was 38.345864661654126. The stock was above its simple moving average over 50 days.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-announces-preliminary-q3-2025-guidance/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about High Tide Inc. An automated trading fund manager made notes about an audit that happened on June 16, 2025, at 06UTC. The audit looked at ten events. It measured something that will happen on September 12, 2026, and the issuer is AMC, which is the scheduling source. The manager kept the source and date mappings from nine previous events, which were from 22929 to 37, and added a new one on September 15, 2025, based on information from August 18 that said 'September 15, 2025, after markets close'. This is the final scheduled release, not the first news about it. The manager made an adjustment to the Securities Information Processor, which is a system that collects and distributes market data, and it looked at 926 bars of data from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, without pagination, which means the data was not divided into separate pages. The data included the following information: the date was June 16, 2025, the source was https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-second-fiscal-quarter-2025-financial-results/, the old return was 1.3513513513513375, the preclose price was 2.22, the response was on June 17, 2025, the open price was 2.19, the high price was 2.35, the low price was 2.1, the close price was 2.25, the gap percentage was -1.3513513513513598, the return percentage was 1.3513513513513375, the high percentage was 5.8558558558558405, the low percentage was -5.405405405405405, the average true range percentage was 3.4666666666666663, the relative strength index over 14 periods was 41.0088428730926, and the momentum over 20 periods was -5.932203389830493, and the price was not above the simple moving average over 50 periods.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-second-fiscal-quarter-2025-financial-results/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about High Tide Inc. On March 17, 2025, at 06UTC, an audit of ten events was done. The events were measured up to September 12, 2026, and the issuer is AMC, which is the scheduling source. The previous nine source and date mappings were kept from 22929 to 37, and September 15, 2025, was added from an original statement on August 18, which said 'September 15, 2025, after markets close'. This is the final scheduled release population, not all the first news. A SIP adjustment was made to all 926 bars from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, with 200 items per page and no pagination. On March 17, 2025, the source https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-first-fiscal-quarter-2025-financial-results/ reported the following data: the old return was -14.814814814814826, the pre-close price was 2.43, and the response was on March 18, 2025. The open price was 2.2, the high price was 2.2561, the low price was 2.05, and the close price was 2.07. The gap percentage was -9.465020576131689, the return percentage was -14.814814814814826, the high percentage was -7.1563786008230545, and the low percentage was -15.637860082304545. The ATR percentage, which is a measure of volatility, was 5.4, the RSI14, which is a measure of speed, was 45.69826005548546, and the MOM20, which is a measure of momentum, was -7.954545454545448. The stock was not above its SMA50, which is a moving average.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-first-fiscal-quarter-2025-financial-results/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline about High Tide Inc. On January 29, 2025, an audit of ten events was done at 06UTC. The events were measured starting on September 12, 2026, and the issuer is AMC, which is the scheduling source. The previous nine source and date mappings were kept from 22929 to 37, and September 15, 2025, was added from an original statement on August 18, which said 'September 15, 2025, after markets close'. This is the final scheduled release, not the first news about it. An adjustment was made to the Securities Information Processor, which is a system that collects and distributes market data, and it included all 926 bars from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, without pagination. On January 29, 2025, the old return was -8.11%, the pre-close price was 2.96, and the response was set for January 30, 2025. The open price was 2.83, the high was 2.83, the low was 2.6, and the close was 2.72. The gap percentage was -4.39%, the return percentage was -8.11%, the high percentage was -4.39%, and the low percentage was -12.16%. The average true range percentage was 5.29%, the relative strength index over 14 days was 46.14, and the momentum over 20 days was -2.95. The stock was not above its simple moving average over 50 days.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-fourth-fiscal-quarter-and-full-fiscal-year-2024-financial-results/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the headline 'HITI 06UTC ten-event audit 2024-09-16'. Measured on September 12, 2026, the issuer is AMC, which is the scheduling source. The prior nine source and date mappings were retained from 22929 to 37, and September 15, 2025, was added via the original statement on August 18, which stated 'September 15, 2025, after markets close'. This is a scheduled final release population, not all first news. A SIP adjustment was made, which refers to a Securities Information Processor adjustment, and it includes all 926 bars from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, with 200 items per page and no pagination. The data for September 16, 2024, includes the following information: the date is September 16, 2024, the source is https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-third-fiscal-quarter-2024-financial-results/, the old return is -2.2831050228310446, the pre-close price is 2.19, the response is on September 17, 2024, the open price is 2.23, the high price is 2.36, the low price is 2.1, the close price is 2.14, the gap percentage is 1.82648401826484, the return percentage is -2.2831050228310446, the high percentage is 7.762557077625565, the low percentage is -4.109589041095885, the atr percentage, which refers to the average true range percentage, is 4.999315068493152, the rsi14, which refers to the 14-day relative strength index, is 60.21425706907082, the mom20, which refers to the 20-day momentum, is 7.881773399014791, and the stock is above the sma50, which refers to the 50-day simple moving average.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-third-fiscal-quarter-2024-financial-results/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HITI 06UTC ten-event audit 2024-06-13 = -3.90625
Convex events2026-09-12 06:06
A news scan found the headline 'HITI 06UTC ten-event audit 2024-06-13'. Measured on September 12, 2026, the issuer is AMC, which is a company that issues something, in this case, scheduling information from a source. The prior nine source and date mappings were retained from numbers 22929 to 37. September 15, 2025, was added from an original statement on August 18, which said 'September 15, 2025, after markets close'. This is a scheduled final release population, not all first news. A SIP adjustment, which refers to a Securities Information Processor adjustment, was made to all 926 bars from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, with 200 items per page and no pagination. On June 13, 2024, a source from https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-second-fiscal-quarter-2024-financial-results/ reported the following data: the old return was -3.90625, the pre-close price was 2.56, the response was on June 14, 2024, the open price was 2.5, the high price was 2.52, the low price was 2.2001, and the close price was 2.46, with a gap percentage of -2.34375, a return percentage of -3.90625, a high percentage of -1.5625, a low percentage of -14.058593750000004, an atr percentage of 5.8539062500000005, an rsi14 of 58.27486543729145, and a mom20 of 7.112970711297062, and it was above the sma50, which refers to a simple moving average of 50 days.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-second-fiscal-quarter-2024-financial-results/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the report for the HITI 06UTC ten-event audit on 2024-03-15. The measured date is September 12, 2026, with the issuer being AMC, which is the scheduling source. The prior nine source and date mappings were retained from 22929 to 37, and September 15, 2025, was added via the original statement from August 18, which stated 'September 15, 2025, after markets close'. This is the scheduled final release population, not all first news. A SIP adjustment was made, which refers to a Securities Information Processor adjustment, and it includes all 926 bars from January 2023 to September 11, 2026, with 200 items per page and no pagination. The data from the source https://hightideinc.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/03-01-24-1Q2024-Earnings-Call-Info.pdf on 2024-03-15 shows the old return was -5.494505494505497, the pre-close price was 1.82, and the response was on 2024-03-18. The open price was 1.8, the high price was 1.82, the low price was 1.7101, and the close price was 1.72. The gap percentage was -1.098901098901095, the return percentage was -5.494505494505497, the high percentage was 0, and the low percentage was -6.038461538461548. The atr percentage, which refers to the average true range percentage, was 5.122252747252747, the rsi14, which refers to the 14-day relative strength index, was 57.25062436995664, and the mom20, which refers to the 20-day momentum, was -1.0869565217391353. The stock was also above the sma50, which refers to the 50-day simple moving average.
https://hightideinc.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/03-01-24-1Q2024-Earnings-Call-Info.pdf ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
NOK Partner evidence does not establish paid Nokia revenue = 1100
Convex events2026-09-12 04:09
A news scan found the headline that evidence of a partner for NOK does not show that Nokia received payment. On September 12, a Series B release of $1.1 billion in customer financing was announced, which includes an investment or partnership with Nokia, but this is not a new payment to Nokia for 2026. The information about the partner originally came from Nokia, as stated by the Nokia CEO, but because of the financing relationship, there may be a bias in the information. An event page mentions a meeting on October 21, 2026, in Berlin for partner networking, but it does not promise any specific results or order releases, and it will take place from 19:45 to 23:00, although the time zone is not specified. There will be no extra trade based on this event, and the default plan is to exit the earnings position on October 21, which may happen at the same time as other news.
https://www.nscale.com/press-releases/nscale-series-b ; https://www.nscale.com/events/gtc-berlin-nscale-vast-nokia-networking
NOK Infinera structural regime division = 6
Convex events2026-09-12 04:09
On February 28, 2025, the issuer confirmed the close of the deal. The last 6 earnings reports from April 2025 to July 2026, after the acquisition, had a median absolute change of 6.574035%. The median change for the 5 periods before the acquisition was 5.864627%. Both of these numbers are small and less than 8%. There is no statistical evidence to suggest that the new structure will produce typical earnings moves of 17.52% or 21.29%. The regime can change future returns, showing uncertainty without claiming that the current situation will remain the same, which is known as stationarity, a term that refers to a situation that does not change over time.
https://www.nokia.com/newsroom/nokia-completes-acquisition-of-infinera-to-create-innovation-powerhouse-in-optical-networks-with-the-scale-to-power-the-data-center-revolution/
NOK First-news window and cash/option price thresholds = -8.6266094421
Convex events2026-09-12 04:09
A news scan found the headline about NOK's first news window and cash/option price thresholds. On July 22, 2025, at 19:00 EEST, which is 16 UTC, the issuer released actual preliminary Q2 guidance. From the close on July 21 to the close on July 22, the price decreased by 6.094421%. Through July 24, the price decreased by 8.626609%, not in an intraday isolated event. If we replace the July 24 residual in 11 events, the median absolute value is 7.165690%. If we exclude it, the median of the remaining 10 events is 6.515158%. The current price is 9.5, with a 27% chance of reaching 13.45, and there is 0% coverage in all sensitivities. At a price of 11.13, which is the fifth sorted return threshold, the call premium must be less than or equal to 0.47937677 or the put must be less than or equal to 0.26178620 after a 0.05 cost for 5 out of 11 events, with a normal risk maximum of 0.255297, which is tighter. The call ceiling for a strike price of 11.5 is -0.020623, and the put floor for a strike price of 10 is -0.738214, which cannot qualify even if they are free. No order will be triggered without fresh spot validation or revalidation.
https://www.nokia.com/newsroom/inside-information-nokia-lowers-2025-operating-profit-guidance-due-to-currency/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
NOK Bootstrap uncertainty and intrinsic-only repeated-loss scenario = 100000
Convex events2026-09-12 04:09
A trading fund manager analyzed the stock NOK using a method called bootstrap, which involves resampling data 100,000 times. The results showed a range of possible returns, with a median confidence interval of 3.97 to 8.47 and a mean confidence interval of -3.97 to 4.46. The analysis also included a normal scenario, which means a typical or expected outcome, and a stress scenario, which means a difficult or extreme outcome. In the normal scenario, the mean terminal value, or the average value at the end of the period, was 48.67, and the probability of loss was 1, or 100 percent. The half Kelly, a measure of the optimal amount to bet, was 0. In the stress scenario, the mean terminal value was 33.67, and the probability of loss was also 1, or 100 percent. On May 27, a specific trade, P9.5.27, had no intrinsic value, which means it had no value based on its underlying assets. The trade involved three sequential all-in tickets, which means the entire amount was bet at once, with a total value of 144.67, leaving 48.67 remaining. The analysis found that the empirical distribution, which is a distribution based on actual data, was not a 100 percent forecast of option loss, and that some values, such as residual time value and new tails, were missing. The premium, or the amount paid for an option, was 27 dollars, which is above the normal cap of 25.53. The scenario was not approved due to its size.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; numpy
NOK Raw adjustment audit maximum deviation = 0.015659106
Convex events2026-09-12 04:09
A news scan found the headline about a NOK raw adjustment audit. The maximum deviation was measured on September 12, with 11 events showing raw versus all close return differences, with a maximum of 0.015659106 percentage points. The following dates and adjustments were found: September 12 was not the date of the events, the events were on the following dates with these adjustments and differences: on 2024-01-25, the adjusted value was 11.444478812248684, the raw value was 11.436950146627556, and the difference was -0.0075286656211286385, on 2024-04-18, the adjusted value was 3.588290840415476, the raw value was 3.603603603603611, and the difference was 0.015312763188135126, on 2024-07-18, the adjusted value was -7.165689930740548, the raw value was -7.179487179487176, and the difference was -0.013797248746628021, on 2024-10-17, the adjusted value was -2.687673772011112, the raw value was -2.6905829596412634, and the difference was -0.0029091876301512443, on 2025-01-30, the adjusted value was 5.864626796476591, the raw value was 5.8558558558558405, and the difference was -0.008770940620750345, on 2025-04-24, the adjusted value was -8.474903474903472, the raw value was -8.474576271186429, and the difference was 0.0003272037170436448, on 2025-07-24, the adjusted value was -3.969327920613441, the raw value was -3.9823008849557473, and the difference was -0.012972964342306437, on 2025-10-23, the adjusted value was 11.16380882889456, the raw value was 11.171171171171167, and the difference was 0.007362342276607592, on 2026-01-29, the adjusted value was -7.782216304187017, the raw value was -7.771260997067452, and the difference was 0.010955307119564495, on 2026-04-23, the adjusted value was 4.763847801693344, the raw value was 4.766734279918872, and the difference was 0.0028864782255277888, on 2026-07-23, the adjusted value was -5.36585365853659, the raw value was -5.3501945525291745, and the difference was 0.015659106007415602.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
NOK T5 stress and CLI diagnostic controls = -3.8972721117
Convex events2026-09-12 04:09
A news scan found the headline 'T5 stress fees 1bp/slip 15bp/side' with the following data: a list of stress test results for the T5 strategy, which is a type of automated trading strategy, on the NOK symbol, which refers to the Norwegian krone currency. The results are: for the training window with a slippage of 0.0005, the return was -14.8119%, the maximum drawdown was 15.2531%, there were 8 trades, and the win rate was 12.5%; for the training window with a slippage of 0.0015, the return was -16.1641%, the maximum drawdown was 16.5149%, there were 8 trades, and the win rate was 12.5%; for the holdout window with a slippage of 0.0005, the return was -3.3189%, the maximum drawdown was 13.3143%, there were 3 trades, and the win rate was 33.3333%; for the holdout window with a slippage of 0.0015, the return was -3.8973%, the maximum drawdown was 13.4875%, there were 3 trades, and the win rate was 33.3333%. Additionally, a diagnostic test was run on the CLI, or command line interface, with the following parameters: symbols NOK, strategy momentum, which is a type of trading strategy, lookback 20, and days 1000. The results were: 685 bars, return 144.6351%, maximum drawdown 28.9654%, win rate 42.4242%, 33 trades, and a buy and hold return of 244.2040%. The test also noted that there was no holdout or option data, and the diagnostic did not trade on the edge, meaning it did not make any trades based on the test results.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js
NOK Fixed pre-event vectorbt control and sensitivity sweep = -14.8119275586
Convex events2026-09-12 04:09
A news scan found the headline 'NOK Fixed pre-event vectorbt control and sensitivity sweep'. Measured on September 12, the strategy was to buy on days T-3, T-5, and T-10 when the market opened, and sell on day T-1 when the market closed, with fees of 1 basis point and slippage of 5 basis points per side. The training period was from 2024 to 2025 with 8 events, and the held-out period was 2026 with 3 events. The results do not include options. The performance was measured as follows: for a lookback period of 3 days in the training window, the return was -6.96%, the maximum drawdown was 7.94%, there were 8 events, and the win rate was 37.5%. For the same lookback period in the holdout window, the return was -5.06%, the maximum drawdown was 8.69%, there were 3 events, and the win rate was 66.67%. For a lookback period of 5 days in the training window, the return was -14.81%, the maximum drawdown was 15.25%, there were 8 events, and the win rate was 12.5%. For the same lookback period in the holdout window, the return was -3.32%, the maximum drawdown was 13.31%, there were 3 events, and the win rate was 33.33%. For a lookback period of 10 days in the training window, the return was -3.85%, the maximum drawdown was 13.02%, there were 8 events, and the win rate was 37.5%. For the same lookback period in the holdout window, the return was -10.07%, the maximum drawdown was 24.65%, there were 3 events, and the win rate was 66.67%.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; vectorbt
NOK Indicators and joint regime table = 60.974431994953626
Convex events2026-09-12 04:09
A news scan found the headline 'NOK Indicators and joint regime table'. As of September 11, 2023, there are 926 daily bars for NOK and SPY with no pagination. The current spot price is 11.13, the 20-day Simple Moving Average, or SMA20, is 10.340499999999999, the 50-day Simple Moving Average, or SMA50, is 10.33708, and the 200-day Simple Moving Average, or SMA200, is 9.659325. The Average True Range, or ATR20, is 0.4182949999999999, the Relative Strength Index, or RSI14, is 60.974431994953626, the Realized Volatility, or RV20, is 42.14530278741359, and the RV60 is 63.49799818597. The 20-day return is 5.397727272727271, the high is 11.17, and the low is 9.54. The beta for 60 days is 2.7177005376913175. A joint pre-event close table lists the following dates and data: September 11, 2023, is not in the list, but the list includes the dates 2024-01-25 with an RSI of 49.93884968740334 and above 200-day SMA set to false and joint set to false, 2024-04-18 with an RSI of 35.982325341345685 and above 200-day SMA set to false and joint set to false, 2024-07-18 with an RSI of 54.5919005420172 and above 200-day SMA set to true and joint set to true, 2024-10-17 with an RSI of 62.77188717928697 and above 200-day SMA set to true and joint set to true, 2025-01-30 with an RSI of 46.12355195417226 and above 200-day SMA set to true and joint set to false, 2025-04-24 with an RSI of 59.36257268110365 and above 200-day SMA set to true and joint set to true, 2025-07-24 with an RSI of 23.25214373260306 and above 200-day SMA set to false and joint set to false, 2025-10-23 with an RSI of 70.23843170622878 and above 200-day SMA set to true and joint set to false, 2026-01-29 with an RSI of 59.05753420001894 and above 200-day SMA set to true and joint set to true, 2026-04-23 with an RSI of 59.54297071347361 and above 200-day SMA set to true and joint set to true, and 2026-07-23 with an RSI of 34.85757456237589 and above 200-day SMA set to true and joint set to false.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TLX Late due-monitor primary status and contract eligibility = 0
Convex events2026-09-12 04:07
A check was made on September 12 at 04:05 UTC to review the original goal set on April 10 and the current news index as of September 11. No decision was found, so the status is unknown and not pending or delayed. An alternate index check also failed to provide a safe open. From September 21 to October 16, a query found 0 contracts. A historical study of similar kinds found no computable edge or option, with a size of 0. A retrospective review of 277 late items found that without a primary decision, the status remains unknown and will be handed off.
https://telixpharma.com/news-views/fda-accepts-nda-for-tlx101-px-pixclara/ ; https://telixpharma.com/news-views/ ; option_contracts
NOK Cash flow and balance-sheet hard limits = -732
Convex events2026-09-12 04:06
The issuer's full report for the second quarter and first half of 2026, found on pages 7, 14, and 13, shows the following financial information. In the second quarter, the operating cash flow was -620 million euros, and the net capital expenditures were 112 million euros, resulting in a free cash flow of -732 million euros. For the first half of the year, the operating cash flow was 162 million euros, and the net capital expenditures were 266 million euros, resulting in a free cash flow of -104 million euros, which is down from 809 million euros in the prior period. The working capital outflow for the second quarter was 1,150 million euros. The net cash, excluding leases, was 2,776 million euros, which is down from 3,788 million euros in the first quarter, a decrease of 1,012 million euros or 26.716%. The total cash was 5,176 million euros. The number of shares, excluding treasury shares, was 5,598,645 billion, and the book value per share was 3.79 euros as of June 30. A type of financial metric called free cash flow, which is the cash available after expenses, can be affected by payment timing and working capital, so a one-quarter cash burn is not a permanent indicator of a company's financial health, and no exact fair value, or the true value of the company, can be determined from this information.
https://ml-eu.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/3f0c9c33-04b4-4498-b6d8-f6705ef358a8
NOK AI orders and technical guidance revision versus cash = 2800
Convex events2026-09-12 04:06
A news scan found the headline about the July 23 issuer Q2/H1 2026 report. The report mentions direct management and promotional bias. The company received AI and cloud orders worth 2.8 billion euros, which is roughly half of the expected revenue within 12 months. This translates to a total of 1.4 billion euros, or approximately 116.7 million euros per month on average. However, this is not a linear guidance, and the company paid in cash. The sales of AI and cloud products increased by 105 percent, and optical products increased by 20 percent. The operating profit range for the fiscal year was raised to 2.1-2.6 billion euros. The company also reported 1 billion euros from discontinued business presentation, which remains operationally unchanged. For the third quarter, sales are expected to increase by 3-7 percent quarter-over-quarter, and operating profit is expected to be roughly flat compared to the second quarter, due to supply constraints affecting delivery. The company plans to spend 700-800 million euros on restructuring cash and 800-900 million euros on capital expenditures in 2026. It was noted that growth alone cannot establish an earnings surprise.
https://www.nokia.com/newsroom/nokia-corporation-report-for-q2-and-half-year-2026/