AVO AVO sims output 2
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"fraction":0.25,"paths":100000,"events":20,"independent_N":16,"median_end":45.77931051236163,"p05_end":44.06325275009741,"p95_end":47.66081680300056,"prob_loss":0.99787,"prob_dd20":0}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO sims output 1
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"fraction":0,"paths":100000,"events":20,"independent_N":16,"median_end":49.14,"p05_end":49.14,"p95_end":49.14,"prob_loss":0,"prob_dd20":0}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 17
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"holdout","OLS_N":6,"alpha_pct":-0.6140149426691973,"beta":1.0755116804288363,"R2":0.09824634835212642}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 16
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"holdout","filter":"joint","state":true,"N":3,"mean_pct":-0.5090990262384576,"median_pct":0.7979237871941658,"win_pct":66.66666666666666,"avg_win_pct":0.8521036149925387,"avg_loss_pct":3.2315043087004502,"ci_low_pct":-3.2315043087004502,"ci_high_pct":0.9062834427909117,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.2315043087004502}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 15
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"holdout","filter":"joint","state":false,"N":3,"mean_pct":-0.7998917280246228,"median_pct":-0.7716798775403211,"win_pct":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":2.2511204864474,"avg_loss_pct":2.325397835260634,"ci_low_pct":-3.879115792980947,"ci_high_pct":2.2511204864474,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.879115792980947}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 14
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"holdout","filter":"spytrend","state":true,"N":6,"mean_pct":-0.6544953771315403,"median_pct":0.013121954826922355,"win_pct":50,"avg_win_pct":1.3184425721441593,"avg_loss_pct":2.62743332640724,"ci_low_pct":-2.473767962998241,"ci_high_pct":1.0568419613550781,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.879115792980947}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 13
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"holdout","filter":"momentum","state":true,"N":3,"mean_pct":-0.5090990262384576,"median_pct":0.7979237871941658,"win_pct":66.66666666666666,"avg_win_pct":0.8521036149925387,"avg_loss_pct":3.2315043087004502,"ci_low_pct":-3.2315043087004502,"ci_high_pct":0.9062834427909117,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.2315043087004502}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 12
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"holdout","filter":"momentum","state":false,"N":3,"mean_pct":-0.7998917280246228,"median_pct":-0.7716798775403211,"win_pct":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":2.2511204864474,"avg_loss_pct":2.325397835260634,"ci_low_pct":-3.879115792980947,"ci_high_pct":2.2511204864474,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.879115792980947}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 11
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"holdout","filter":"trend","state":true,"N":4,"mean_pct":-0.5747442390639235,"median_pct":0.013121954826922355,"win_pct":50,"avg_win_pct":0.8521036149925387,"avg_loss_pct":2.0015920931203857,"ci_low_pct":-2.2241472847267962,"ci_high_pct":0.8521036149925387,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.2315043087004502}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 10
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"holdout","filter":"trend","state":false,"N":2,"mean_pct":-0.8139976532667736,"median_pct":-0.8139976532667736,"win_pct":50,"avg_win_pct":2.2511204864474,"avg_loss_pct":3.879115792980947,"ci_low_pct":-3.879115792980947,"ci_high_pct":2.2511204864474,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.879115792980947}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 9
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","OLS_N":16,"alpha_pct":-1.0389273783252801,"beta":0.014609830771577617,"R2":0.000064711296841935}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 8
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","filter":"joint","state":true,"N":9,"mean_pct":-1.1834222099071368,"median_pct":-1.3599806080636934,"win_pct":11.11111111111111,"avg_win_pct":3.3061856617765173,"avg_loss_pct":1.7446231938675936,"ci_low_pct":-2.293433194805887,"ci_high_pct":0.1546240874054466,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.76778397322749}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 7
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","filter":"joint","state":false,"N":7,"mean_pct":-1.6778016190646228,"median_pct":-1.5831631455234918,"win_pct":14.285714285714285,"avg_win_pct":2.540492212950851,"avg_loss_pct":2.380850591067202,"ci_low_pct":-3.3993118652231535,"ci_high_pct":0.0926549069690855,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-5.189831238669673}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 6
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","filter":"spytrend","state":true,"N":9,"mean_pct":-1.4157427840055852,"median_pct":-1.0284481222387787,"win_pct":11.11111111111111,"avg_win_pct":2.540492212950851,"avg_loss_pct":1.9102721586251397,"ci_low_pct":-2.8043951369058884,"ci_high_pct":-0.05020977920130454,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-5.189831238669673}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 5
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","filter":"spytrend","state":false,"N":7,"mean_pct":-1.3791037380809033,"median_pct":-1.5831631455234918,"win_pct":14.285714285714285,"avg_win_pct":3.3061856617765173,"avg_loss_pct":2.1599853047238065,"ci_low_pct":-2.7232165389928102,"ci_high_pct":0.34160084527807355,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.76778397322749}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 4
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","filter":"momentum","state":true,"N":10,"mean_pct":-0.811030767621338,"median_pct":-1.227403216508255,"win_pct":20,"avg_win_pct":2.923338937363684,"avg_loss_pct":1.7446231938675936,"ci_low_pct":-2.030452763580697,"ci_high_pct":0.5687626048605887,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.76778397322749}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 3
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","filter":"momentum","state":false,"N":6,"mean_pct":-2.380850591067202,"median_pct":-2.4952639730717543,"win_pct":0,"avg_win_pct":0,"avg_loss_pct":2.380850591067202,"ci_low_pct":-3.797237419275168,"ci_high_pct":-1.0428607243223234,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-5.189831238669673}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 2
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","filter":"trend","state":true,"N":9,"mean_pct":-1.1834222099071368,"median_pct":-1.3599806080636934,"win_pct":11.11111111111111,"avg_win_pct":3.3061856617765173,"avg_loss_pct":1.7446231938675936,"ci_low_pct":-2.2897285283362523,"ci_high_pct":0.1620030935168454,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-3.76778397322749}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
AVO AVO interplay output 1
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"split":"train","filter":"trend","state":false,"N":7,"mean_pct":-1.6778016190646228,"median_pct":-1.5831631455234918,"win_pct":14.285714285714285,"avg_win_pct":2.540492212950851,"avg_loss_pct":2.380850591067202,"ci_low_pct":-3.3980213944462156,"ci_high_pct":0.10708674065964224,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-5.189831238669673}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO
UPB September4 tape and illustrative range exits = 6.01
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"symbol":"UPB","rows":476,"date":"2026-09-04","close":6.01,"sma50":6.926099999999999,"mom20_pct":-17.10344827586208,"atr14":0.47829999999999995,"avg_range20":0.44981,"low20":5.77,"high20":7.7,"vol20_pct":71.83800932155228,"corr_spy":0.2103902675866996,"autocorr1":0.018935599176319932,"median_volume20":561606,"worst_gap_pct":-31.67925206760158,"whole_shares":8,"illustrative_stop":5.5317,"illustrative_target":6.727449999999999,"net_RR":1.38013176609553} Historicalreference only,notcurrentquotes nororders;ATR14simpleaverageTR,annualvolsample20daily;correlationfullavailableoverlap;10bpfees+10bpslipeachside.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=UPB&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
AVO September4 tape and illustrative range exits = 12.68
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"symbol":"AVO","rows":1489,"date":"2026-09-04","close":12.68,"sma50":12.8794,"mom20_pct":-3.9393939393939315,"atr14":0.3442785714285713,"avg_range20":0.323495,"low20":12.33,"high20":13.64,"vol20_pct":21.361478360750752,"corr_spy":0.2580609396832972,"autocorr1":0.01506499288473322,"median_volume20":460854.5,"worst_gap_pct":-16.716641679160425,"whole_shares":3,"illustrative_stop":12.335721428571429,"illustrative_target":13.196417857142857,"net_RR":1.1784258966422299} Historicalreference only,notcurrentquotes nororders;ATR14simpleaverageTR,annualvolsample20daily;correlationfullavailableoverlap;10bpfees+10bpslipeachside.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
AVO Frozen event test h5 barrier slip0.0025 holdout = -8.864353800550816
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"h":5,"mode":"barrier","slip":0.0025,"split":"holdout","return_pct":-8.864353800550816,"drawdown_pct":8.86435380055084,"N":6,"mean_pct":-1.4867422275504194,"median_pct":-2.943675909958171,"win_pct":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":2.791006228811299,"avg_loss_pct":3.6256164557312784,"ci_low_pct":-3.801528341035217,"ci_high_pct":0.9395646961506557,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-4.925106472189833} h0conditional same-date notverifiedAMC, h1/3/5endprevioussession;train2021–24,N16holdout2025–26N6;10bpfee eachside;slipstated; vectorbtlongonly reconciled.100000bootstrap seed2026090808. Unknownadvance-notice anddailybar15minfillgap prohibitpromotion.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
AVO Frozen event test h5 barrier slip0.0025 train = -27.53091318799772
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"h":5,"mode":"barrier","slip":0.0025,"split":"train","return_pct":-27.53091318799772,"drawdown_pct":28.089872607605027,"N":16,"mean_pct":-1.9456015703680483,"median_pct":-3.4047308067639226,"win_pct":25,"avg_win_pct":2.7839594782096633,"avg_loss_pct":3.5221219198939524,"ci_low_pct":-3.3693121168230777,"ci_high_pct":-0.3995865533495494,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-5.5410784745155155} h0conditional same-date notverifiedAMC, h1/3/5endprevioussession;train2021–24,N16holdout2025–26N6;10bpfee eachside;slipstated; vectorbtlongonly reconciled.100000bootstrap seed2026090808. Unknownadvance-notice anddailybar15minfillgap prohibitpromotion.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
AVO Frozen event test h5 barrier slip0.001 holdout = -7.209053782069919
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"h":5,"mode":"barrier","slip":0.001,"split":"holdout","return_pct":-7.209053782069919,"drawdown_pct":7.882324169642718,"N":6,"mean_pct":-1.1907577375368275,"median_pct":-2.652068798002322,"win_pct":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":3.0998432751598526,"avg_loss_pct":3.3360582438851676,"ci_low_pct":-3.5124986589609994,"ci_high_pct":1.2428390599707386,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-4.639452596658423} h0conditional same-date notverifiedAMC, h1/3/5endprevioussession;train2021–24,N16holdout2025–26N6;10bpfee eachside;slipstated; vectorbtlongonly reconciled.100000bootstrap seed2026090808. Unknownadvance-notice anddailybar15minfillgap prohibitpromotion.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
AVO Frozen event test h5 barrier slip0.001 train = -23.967548837577134
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:09
{"h":5,"mode":"barrier","slip":0.001,"split":"train","return_pct":-23.967548837577134,"drawdown_pct":24.667275042800608,"N":16,"mean_pct":-1.6509957298037023,"median_pct":-3.1145089408306514,"win_pct":25,"avg_win_pct":3.092775352495414,"avg_loss_pct":3.232252757236741,"ci_low_pct":-3.0846920482452487,"ci_high_pct":-0.09655623138043785,"quarter_kelly":0,"worst_pct":-5.257275295662833} h0conditional same-date notverifiedAMC, h1/3/5endprevioussession;train2021–24,N16holdout2025–26N6;10bpfee eachside;slipstated; vectorbtlongonly reconciled.100000bootstrap seed2026090808. Unknownadvance-notice anddailybar15minfillgap prohibitpromotion.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all