Runway

Notes

3935 observations, newest first
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -2.711210626579197
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-11-30. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-11-30 filingDate=2023-11-30. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2023-11-30","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923122235/tm2331768d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On November 30, 2023, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2024 first quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2024. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-11-22","exit_date":"2023-11-29","entry":70.22,"exit":68.59,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.12354651162790686,"prior_vol":0.38888935757974996,"adr":1.8939999999999997,"atr":2.0663548305438932,"spy_return":-0.0007957258156190417,"mae":-0.03474793506123608,"mfe":0.027342637425235017,"net_0.001":-0.02711210626579197,"net_0.003":-0.030995901900845557,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.030856710493023742},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.030856710493023742}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923122235/tm2331768d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 5.445040429157455
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-11-01. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-11-01 filingDate=2023-11-01. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2023-11-01","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000049/eat-20231101.htm","evidence":"On November 1, 2023, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its first quarter of fiscal 2024 results and updated guidance for fiscal 2024. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financia","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-10-25","exit_date":"2023-10-31","entry":32.04,"exit":33.92,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.12206085753803597,"prior_vol":0.4504818599232826,"adr":1.35825,"atr":1.294678433561733,"spy_return":-0.008728485264551611,"mae":-0.002808988764044895,"mfe":0.06928838951310867,"net_0.001":0.05445040429157455,"net_0.003":0.050241008837130785,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05934262517528288},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05445040429157455}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000049/eat-20231101.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -0.08418067650793892
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-10-26. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-10-26 filingDate=2023-10-26. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2023-10-26","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837023016853/txrh-20231026x8k.htm","evidence":"On October 26, 2023, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 26, 2023. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) E","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-10-19","exit_date":"2023-10-25","entry":91.69,"exit":91.98,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":-0.04206983592763991,"prior_vol":0.25140828057222686,"adr":1.959999999999998,"atr":1.974352546859277,"spy_return":-0.031083481349911124,"mae":-0.00807067291962038,"mfe":0.021049187479550646,"net_0.001":-0.0008418067650793892,"net_0.003":-0.004830474169213006,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.0008418067650793892},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.0008418067650793892}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837023016853/txrh-20231026x8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -3.3910012207305384
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-09-13. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-09-13 filingDate=2023-09-13. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2023-09-13","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923100243/tm2325884d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On September 13, 2023, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2023 full year and fourth quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for the Company’s fiscal 2024 first quarter. A copy of the Press Relea","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-09-06","exit_date":"2023-09-12","entry":68.58,"exit":66.52,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.15199704142011827,"prior_vol":0.2682879033037473,"adr":1.8749999999999993,"atr":2.0168331100720622,"spy_return":-0.005370743338657946,"mae":-0.03543307086614167,"mfe":0.008311461067366688,"net_0.001":-0.033910012207305384,"net_0.003":-0.03776667041204129,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03122320150764135},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03122320150764135}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923100243/tm2325884d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -7.37711448698235
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-08-16. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-08-16 filingDate=2023-08-16. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2023-08-16","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000040/eat-20230816.htm","evidence":"On August 16, 2023, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 results and guidance for fiscal 2024. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial State","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-08-09","exit_date":"2023-08-15","entry":39.11,"exit":36.37,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.022858644245927318,"prior_vol":0.2712917512833897,"adr":1.1542250000000003,"atr":1.2781661212908044,"spy_return":-0.013685329881177988,"mae":-0.08156481718230624,"mfe":0.02659166453592432,"net_0.001":-0.0737711448698235,"net_0.003":-0.07746867632003829,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03338647171216458},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03338647171216458}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000040/eat-20230816.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -4.242031479665965
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-07-27. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-07-27 filingDate=2023-07-27. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2023-07-27","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923084761/tm2322182d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On July 27, 2023, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 27, 2023. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) EXHIBITS","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-07-20","exit_date":"2023-07-26","entry":111.45,"exit":107.15,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.0850399843963332,"prior_vol":0.17313570727874808,"adr":1.9954999999999985,"atr":2.030799404852405,"spy_return":0.0029483692546796725,"mae":-0.04486316733961415,"mfe":0.0006280843427546312,"net_0.001":-0.04242031479665964,"net_0.003":-0.04624299963584921,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.02182542553346689},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.02182542553346689}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923084761/tm2322182d1_8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -5.252676587518524
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-06-06. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-06-06 filingDate=2023-06-06. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2023-06-06","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923068341/tm2317851d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On June 6, 2023, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2023 third quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2023. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-05-30","exit_date":"2023-06-05","entry":90.5,"exit":86.09,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.035984243585649,"prior_vol":0.4184118138677188,"adr":3.116500000000002,"atr":3.025614008079405,"spy_return":0.01202291018614532,"mae":-0.05569060773480672,"mfe":0.005856353591160213,"net_0.001":-0.05252676587518523,"net_0.003":-0.056309105479494526,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03829100529508944},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03829100529508944}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923068341/tm2317851d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 3.0800910823972627
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-05-04. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-05-04 filingDate=2023-05-04. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2023-05-04","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923055995/tm2314614d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On May 4, 2023, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 28, 2023. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) EXHIBIT","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-04-27","exit_date":"2023-05-03","entry":102.77,"exit":106.36,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.019942167713630443,"prior_vol":0.13434218069525605,"adr":1.8490000000000009,"atr":1.9847336349907867,"spy_return":0.0025087678877711017,"mae":-0.004670623722876188,"mfe":0.04320326943660602,"net_0.001":0.030800910823972627,"net_0.003":0.026685924807751116,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target_gap","ambiguous":false,"net":0.02469518899415779},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.031847605994797856}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923055995/tm2314614d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 4.751218797084178
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-05-03. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-05-03 filingDate=2023-05-03. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2023-05-03","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000013/eat-20230503.htm","evidence":"On May 3, 2023, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its third quarter of fiscal 2023 results. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibi","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-04-26","exit_date":"2023-05-02","entry":38.29,"exit":40.27,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.08252977878616008,"prior_vol":0.3421592418304639,"adr":1.2767500000000005,"atr":1.3565301734317279,"spy_return":0.010118605425621707,"mae":-0.012274745364324824,"mfe":0.06816401149125095,"net_0.001":0.04751218797084178,"net_0.003":0.04333049006966694,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.04582464505565387},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.06243019740221167}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000013/eat-20230503.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -2.447280766655835
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-02-28. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-02-28 filingDate=2023-02-28. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2023-02-28","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923026400/tm237936d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On February 28, 2023, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2023 second quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2023. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 9","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-02-21","exit_date":"2023-02-27","entry":96.29,"exit":94.31,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.005926388022457818,"prior_vol":0.3347210435893715,"adr":2.6690000000000005,"atr":2.640812953785314,"spy_return":-0.013207743006902195,"mae":-0.02315920656350612,"mfe":0.01672032402118595,"net_0.001":-0.02447280766655835,"net_0.003":-0.028367139455309887,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.02447280766655835},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.02447280766655835}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923026400/tm237936d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -0.06257416435315744
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-02-16. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-02-14 filingDate=2023-02-16. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2023-02-16","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923022796/tm237068d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On February 16, 2023, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 27, 2022, along with the first quarter 2023 cash dividend. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press rele","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-02-09","exit_date":"2023-02-15","entry":97.64,"exit":97.97,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.027336300063572683,"prior_vol":0.24343045754903736,"adr":2.0364999999999993,"atr":2.2188984289452103,"spy_return":-0.0010347525427151227,"mae":-0.03471937730438346,"mfe":0.013928717738631802,"net_0.001":-0.0006257416435315744,"net_0.003":-0.004615271585662883,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.024765980312517644},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.024765980312517644}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923022796/tm237068d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 5.965152890565029
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-02-01. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-02-01 filingDate=2023-02-01. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2023-02-01","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000004/eat-20230201.htm","evidence":"On February 1, 2023, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its second quarter of fiscal 2023 results and updates fiscal 2023 guidance. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial S","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-01-25","exit_date":"2023-01-31","entry":37.09,"exit":39.46,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.13845223700120912,"prior_vol":0.44938883544240016,"adr":1.3937450000000002,"atr":1.522533872990454,"spy_return":0.026599397749484943,"mae":-0.03343219196548941,"mfe":0.06699919115664588,"net_0.001":0.059651528905650286,"net_0.003":0.0554213704165305,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05214904301425438},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.059651528905650286}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000004/eat-20230201.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -2.7092734779930794
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-12-02. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-12-02 filingDate=2022-12-02. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2022-12-02","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465922123902/tm2231723d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On December 2, 2022, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2023 first quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2023. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-11-25","exit_date":"2022-12-01","entry":100.46,"exit":98.13,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.08481901674770409,"prior_vol":0.3577785794742948,"adr":3.0110000000000015,"atr":3.0066319310389673,"spy_return":0.013805726238724114,"mae":-0.040513637268564495,"mfe":0.012144136969938435,"net_0.001":-0.027092734779930794,"net_0.003":-0.03097660774649713,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.033844491099250695},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.033844491099250695}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465922123902/tm2231723d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 3.854782822347036
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-11-02. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-11-02 filingDate=2022-11-02. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2022-11-02","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335122000046/eat-20221102.htm","evidence":"On November 2, 2022, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its first quarter of fiscal 2023 results. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibi","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-10-26","exit_date":"2022-11-01","entry":31.14,"exit":32.47,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.19768339768339782,"prior_vol":0.5609332357415814,"adr":1.5029299999999999,"atr":1.6005495420530287,"spy_return":0.007598909721648672,"mae":-0.0019267822736031004,"mfe":0.10147719974309566,"net_0.001":0.03854782822347036,"net_0.003":0.034401916296694424,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.06811445648557846},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.09214994597544401}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335122000046/eat-20221102.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 1.6925945536082176
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-10-27. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-10-27 filingDate=2022-10-27. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2022-10-27","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465922112001/tm2229016d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On October 27, 2022, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (the \"Company\") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 27, 2022. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) EXH","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-10-20","exit_date":"2022-10-26","entry":89.04,"exit":90.91,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.07212055974165765,"prior_vol":0.3767101964521218,"adr":2.7,"atr":2.74976018717894,"spy_return":0.037998172890259196,"mae":-0.024707996406109656,"mfe":0.0535714285714286,"net_0.001":0.016925945536082176,"net_0.003":0.012866348768682423,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.04131158585363415},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.016925945536082176}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465922112001/tm2229016d1_8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -10.168631771890603
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-09-27. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-09-27 filingDate=2022-09-27. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2022-09-27","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465922103154/tm2226671d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On September 27, 2022, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2022 full year and fourth quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2023. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewit","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-09-20","exit_date":"2022-09-26","entry":92.47,"exit":83.4,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.00010733068584323213,"prior_vol":0.40426975941958315,"adr":2.9604999999999997,"atr":3.0076831920454046,"spy_return":-0.05388960135337939,"mae":-0.10230344976749206,"mfe":0.01481561587541913,"net_0.001":-0.10168631771890602,"net_0.003":-0.10527241101970874,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.035879993475544825},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.035879993475544825}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465922103154/tm2226671d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -6.327085070040783
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-08-24. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-08-24 filingDate=2022-08-24. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2022-08-24","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335122000032/eat-20220824.htm","evidence":"On August 24, 2022, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its fourth quarter of fiscal 2022 results and provided a fiscal 2023 financial outlook. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01.","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-08-17","exit_date":"2022-08-23","entry":32.26,"exit":30.34,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.3436744560838034,"prior_vol":0.5973680109925111,"adr":1.3557499999999996,"atr":1.4764830221722396,"spy_return":-0.03182977880161497,"mae":-0.08431494110353377,"mfe":0.03502789832610054,"net_0.001":-0.06327085070040783,"net_0.003":-0.06701029961811744,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop_gap","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.046289933359775826},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop_gap","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.046289933359775826}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335122000032/eat-20220824.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 1.0559431131938357
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-07-28. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-07-28 filingDate=2022-07-28. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2022-07-28","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465922083654/tm2221975d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On July 28, 2022, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 28, 2022. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) EXHIBITS","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-07-21","exit_date":"2022-07-27","entry":78.03,"exit":79.17,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.18997121648235105,"prior_vol":0.33962647851203026,"adr":2.5259999999999962,"atr":2.671200290687886,"spy_return":0.017451353015176307,"mae":-0.038318595412020984,"mfe":0.019095219787261142,"net_0.001":0.010559431131938357,"net_0.003":0.006525249667794553,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03623494646727454},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03623494646727454}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465922083654/tm2221975d1_8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -2.8276586375659107
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-06-07. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-06-07 filingDate=2022-06-07. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2022-06-07","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465922068790/tm2217797d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On June 7, 2022, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2022 third quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for the remainder of fiscal 2022. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith a","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-05-31","exit_date":"2022-06-06","entry":87.77,"exit":85.63,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":-0.05167238421955411,"prior_vol":0.548160711201934,"adr":4.023,"atr":3.952739957605058,"spy_return":-0.004253029643104256,"mae":-0.06118263643613986,"mfe":0.0013672097527630545,"net_0.001":-0.028276586375659107,"net_0.003":-0.03215573337360167,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.049644742253910135},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.049644742253910135}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465922068790/tm2217797d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -2.8621417177061126
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-05-05. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-05-05 filingDate=2022-05-05. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2022-05-05","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465922056438/tm2214549d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On May 5, 2022, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 29, 2022. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) EXHIBIT","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-04-28","exit_date":"2022-05-04","entry":77.24,"exit":75.33,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":-0.03585961342828081,"prior_vol":0.3948498057746368,"adr":2.6869999999999985,"atr":3.002016391338553,"spy_return":0.016032717784022488,"mae":-0.05748316934230968,"mfe":0.020973588814086064,"net_0.001":-0.028621417177061126,"net_0.003":-0.032499187600816715,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03864081394930885},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03864081394930885}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465922056438/tm2214549d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -0.14615038843857064
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-05-04. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-05-04 filingDate=2022-05-04. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2022-05-04","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335122000018/eat-20220504.htm","evidence":"On May 4, 2022, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its third quarter of fiscal 2022 results and an updated fiscal 2022 outlook. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial ","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-04-27","exit_date":"2022-05-03","entry":39.36,"exit":39.46,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.08955223880597019,"prior_vol":0.5262240497132814,"adr":1.7927649999999988,"atr":1.9134762811859398,"spy_return":-0.00205693389877859,"mae":-0.08968495934959353,"mfe":0.024644308943089444,"net_0.001":-0.0014615038843857064,"net_0.003":-0.005447697440317034,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.04935807551642479},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.04935807551642479}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335122000018/eat-20220504.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -1.8686624257735152
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-02-22. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-02-17 filingDate=2022-02-22. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2022-02-22","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465922025617/tm227292d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On February 22, 2022, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 28, 2021. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 8.01. OTHER EVENTS. On February 17, 202","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-02-14","exit_date":"2022-02-18","entry":83.37,"exit":82.14,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.03471876555500253,"prior_vol":0.3833331979335488,"adr":3.037000000000004,"atr":2.8205723958830284,"spy_return":-0.012925515208620286,"mae":-0.0423413697972892,"mfe":0.02998680580544555,"net_0.001":-0.01868662425773515,"net_0.003":-0.022604054652206496,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.040274562776925205},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.040274562776925205}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465922025617/tm227292d1_8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 5.006527998545107
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-02-22. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-02-22 filingDate=2022-02-22. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2022-02-22","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465922025381/tm227287d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On February 22, 2022, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2022 second quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for the remainder of fiscal 2022. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith ","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-02-14","exit_date":"2022-02-18","entry":104.47,"exit":110.14,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":false,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":-0.04292952556425611,"prior_vol":0.3455301568068714,"adr":3.5060000000000002,"atr":3.3683364918742758,"spy_return":-0.012925515208620286,"mae":-0.00009572125969181666,"mfe":0.06882358571838809,"net_0.001":0.05006527998545107,"net_0.003":0.04587339006967106,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.046146841361208946},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.06285979247628526}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465922025381/tm227287d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -1.3366873251711708
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2022-02-02. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2022-02-02 filingDate=2022-02-02. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2022-02-02","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335122000012/eat-20220202.htm","evidence":"On February 2, 2022, Brinker International, Inc. (“Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its second quarter of fiscal 2022 results. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhib","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2022-01-26","exit_date":"2022-02-01","entry":35.06,"exit":34.73,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":-0.06318315115969064,"prior_vol":0.4655786419319191,"adr":1.55237,"atr":1.8040963571435724,"spy_return":0.027757680991655764,"mae":-0.13861950941243595,"mfe":0.02224757558471202,"net_0.001":-0.013366873251711708,"net_0.003":-0.017305540240727835,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.04809277982076743},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.04809277982076743}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335122000012/eat-20220202.htm
Ten-case timing distribution and sizing audit = 10
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 04:17
The publisher's local leads have a median of 3.5 days and 6 positive cases. The earliest US date or bound is 4, -1, 38, 0, 0, -1, 6, 4, 58, 35, which includes an ambiguity in Australia, with three robust cases being greater than or equal to 35 days. The selected top 10 cases do not represent the whole market hazard. The late holdout binary payoff quarter Kelly is 0.091736322844 before the evidence gate, which becomes operational at 0. The account has a 1% risk of 8.5099, divided into actual rare shock of 0.458600619, giving an 18.556233 notional scenario ceiling with no hard future loss bound. The entire fund has an exposure of 5.7744509%, calculated as 49.14 divided by 850.99 per account. runway:research?fund=catalyst; primary paired observations17167–17188 and corrections17185–17187
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