Runway

Notes

3935 observations, newest first
Restaurant transfer study groups = -0.0367205289402639
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":25,"mean_pct":-0.0367205289402639,"win_rate_pct":48,"avg_win_pct":3.6986330852966356,"avg_loss_pct":3.4847392497743255,"ci95_pct":[-1.7670724091158612,1.663780003831214],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"train","gate":"trend","flag":true}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
Restaurant transfer study groups = 0.8767667470330642
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":11,"mean_pct":0.8767667470330642,"win_rate_pct":36.36363636363637,"avg_win_pct":7.24424216023512,"avg_loss_pct":2.7617906319395393,"ci95_pct":[-2.2331945672742735,4.492937747976866],"quarterKelly":0.03025736604464254,"split":"train","gate":"trend","flag":false}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
Restaurant transfer study summaries = -2.4901409775983185
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":20,"mean_pct":-2.4901409775983185,"win_rate_pct":25,"avg_win_pct":2.125686890835903,"avg_loss_pct":4.028750267076393,"ci95_pct":[-4.543175890678291,-0.6611540304301752],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"holdout","symbol":"POOL","slippage":0.003,"return_pct":-15.373154960236201,"drawdown_pct":16.938369729343826}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
CBRL Restaurant transfer study summaries = -4.5957511163217335
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":6,"mean_pct":-4.5957511163217335,"win_rate_pct":16.666666666666664,"avg_win_pct":0.34993102493099393,"avg_loss_pct":5.584887544572279,"ci95_pct":[-8.223529604021431,-1.4626274186019215],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"holdout","symbol":"CBRL","slippage":0.003,"return_pct":-25.046306499542613,"drawdown_pct":27.398433909460064}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EAT Restaurant transfer study summaries = -3.241732693564673
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":7,"mean_pct":-3.241732693564673,"win_rate_pct":14.285714285714285,"avg_win_pct":4.675750168502879,"avg_loss_pct":4.561313170575931,"ci95_pct":[-7.302606461600682,0.4368704597632912],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"holdout","symbol":"EAT","slippage":0.003,"return_pct":-21.437359592742766,"drawdown_pct":24.549350709270456}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TXRH Restaurant transfer study summaries = 0.06625942870239131
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":7,"mean_pct":0.06625942870239131,"win_rate_pct":42.857142857142854,"avg_win_pct":1.867584420248547,"avg_loss_pct":1.2847343149572255,"ci95_pct":[-1.1530233436869097,1.330667910699804],"quarterKelly":0.008869669823757309,"split":"holdout","symbol":"TXRH","slippage":0.003,"return_pct":0.36420121157676455,"drawdown_pct":6.515264597939874}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
Restaurant transfer study summaries = -2.099318724535826
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":20,"mean_pct":-2.099318724535826,"win_rate_pct":30,"avg_win_pct":2.1133828426220136,"avg_loss_pct":3.904762253317757,"ci95_pct":[-4.141386145550506,-0.28464991051639127],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"holdout","symbol":"POOL","slippage":0.001,"return_pct":-13.072678466139498,"drawdown_pct":15.139313620991569}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
CBRL Restaurant transfer study summaries = -4.213368207821296
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":6,"mean_pct":-4.213368207821296,"win_rate_pct":16.666666666666664,"avg_win_pct":0.7521363663295366,"avg_loss_pct":5.2064691226514626,"ci95_pct":[-7.851833425619937,-1.0715403702908057],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"holdout","symbol":"CBRL","slippage":0.001,"return_pct":-23.225649472763678,"drawdown_pct":25.78379011269729}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EAT Restaurant transfer study summaries = -2.853922841204651
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":7,"mean_pct":-2.853922841204651,"win_rate_pct":14.285714285714285,"avg_win_pct":5.095293514498911,"avg_loss_pct":4.178792233821912,"ci95_pct":[-7.002105747579204,0.7948186668668811],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"holdout","symbol":"EAT","slippage":0.001,"return_pct":-19.20650984542679,"drawdown_pct":23.127435607155057}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TXRH Restaurant transfer study summaries = 0.46732780637768834
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":7,"mean_pct":0.46732780637768834,"win_rate_pct":57.14285714285714,"avg_win_pct":1.7082167937259085,"avg_loss_pct":1.1871908434199385,"ci95_pct":[-0.7568418856011084,1.7303476287174941],"quarterKelly":0.06839410080941302,"split":"holdout","symbol":"TXRH","slippage":0.001,"return_pct":3.214123919771983,"drawdown_pct":5.764383942993245}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
Restaurant transfer study summaries = -0.15776987875749843
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":36,"mean_pct":-0.15776987875749843,"win_rate_pct":41.66666666666667,"avg_win_pct":4.447781076443462,"avg_loss_pct":3.44744913247247,"ci95_pct":[-1.710629810539074,1.4409465054457666],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"train","symbol":"POOL","slippage":0.003,"return_pct":-1.8235526995639573,"drawdown_pct":13.160227536903779}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
CBRL Restaurant transfer study summaries = -1.0673503119942316
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":12,"mean_pct":-1.0673503119942316,"win_rate_pct":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":5.834815004447169,"avg_loss_pct":4.518432970214932,"ci95_pct":[-4.108944420155498,2.379197879828552],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"train","symbol":"CBRL","slippage":0.003,"return_pct":-13.837822489261175,"drawdown_pct":32.364989706635996}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EAT Restaurant transfer study summaries = 1.8372068702100324
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":12,"mean_pct":1.8372068702100324,"win_rate_pct":66.66666666666666,"avg_win_pct":4.846212975555056,"avg_loss_pct":4.180805340480015,"ci95_pct":[-1.0797073448856707,4.618942686027505],"quarterKelly":0.09477538850836457,"split":"train","symbol":"EAT","slippage":0.003,"return_pct":22.548752416197004,"drawdown_pct":10.727163461538458}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TXRH Restaurant transfer study summaries = -1.2431661944882961
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":12,"mean_pct":-1.2431661944882961,"win_rate_pct":25,"avg_win_pct":1.5359174414742696,"avg_loss_pct":2.169527406475818,"ci95_pct":[-2.4285212948287853,-0.014422970894425506],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"train","symbol":"TXRH","slippage":0.003,"return_pct":-14.1815880256277,"drawdown_pct":14.727906049719241}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
Restaurant transfer study summaries = 0.24240058316269747
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":36,"mean_pct":0.24240058316269747,"win_rate_pct":44.44444444444444,"avg_win_pct":4.585035354031257,"avg_loss_pct":3.23170723353215,"ci95_pct":[-1.3093630427484408,1.8474011182634162],"quarterKelly":0.013216941879716018,"split":"train","symbol":"POOL","slippage":0.001,"return_pct":3.0038689765490734,"drawdown_pct":9.96419202369424}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
CBRL Restaurant transfer study summaries = -0.6708254739916865
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":12,"mean_pct":-0.6708254739916865,"win_rate_pct":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":6.2590039148525065,"avg_loss_pct":4.135740168413784,"ci95_pct":[-3.8062104646307464,2.7953941256903616],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"train","symbol":"CBRL","slippage":0.001,"return_pct":-9.601152953811598,"drawdown_pct":29.604740372141613}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EAT Restaurant transfer study summaries = 2.2453732549595236
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":12,"mean_pct":2.2453732549595236,"win_rate_pct":66.66666666666666,"avg_win_pct":5.266439541268395,"avg_loss_pct":3.7967593176582186,"ci95_pct":[-0.7001050162157513,4.996190472732897],"quarterKelly":0.1065887701436869,"split":"train","symbol":"EAT","slippage":0.001,"return_pct":28.57458162535749,"drawdown_pct":10.727163461538458}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TXRH Restaurant transfer study summaries = -0.8473460314797445
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Computed2026Sep9 from56primary datedevents train2022–24N36 holdout2025–Sep8 2026N20, preregistration1386. {"N":12,"mean_pct":-0.8473460314797445,"win_rate_pct":33.33333333333333,"avg_win_pct":1.5482584187357318,"avg_loss_pct":2.0451482565874826,"ci95_pct":[-2.066485672928843,0.37919552196426304],"quarterKelly":0,"split":"train","symbol":"TXRH","slippage":0.001,"return_pct":-9.961821741898657,"drawdown_pct":11.463239693602512}. Assumedfees10bps/slippage10bps eachside unless30bps stress. Vectorbt longonly three independentlycompounded equal initialcash sleeves, idlecash included; eventreturns reconcile closedform. MonteCarlo empiricalIID scenarios not forecasts; groups diagnostic not selected. All measurement units explicit in keys. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -0.46214861548496966
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2026-08-12. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2026-08-10 filingDate=2026-08-12. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2026-08-12","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000026/eat-20260810.htm","evidence":"On August 12, 2026, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 results and guidance for fiscal 2027. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 8 - OTHER EVENTS Item 8.01. Other Events. On August 10, 2026, th","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2026-08-05","exit_date":"2026-08-11","entry":221.52,"exit":221.38,"split":"holdout","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.24500855675984012,"prior_vol":0.42367260537671836,"adr":7.8245200000000015,"atr":8.185952280482857,"spy_return":-0.006818328285106756,"mae":-0.008373961719032263,"mfe":0.049431202600216606,"net_0.001":-0.004621486154849697,"net_0.003":-0.008595064973329847,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.004621486154849697},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.004621486154849697}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000026/eat-20260810.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 0.005249497688808447
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2026-08-06. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2026-08-05 filingDate=2026-08-06. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2026-08-06","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465926091980/txrh-20260805x8k.htm","evidence":"On August 6, 2026, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 8.01. OTHER EVENTS On August 5, 2026, the C","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2026-07-30","exit_date":"2026-08-05","entry":206.86,"exit":207.7,"split":"holdout","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.0824458413424074,"prior_vol":0.33811944012226325,"adr":4.918999999999999,"atr":5.564486685712694,"spy_return":0.04583927722301473,"mae":-0.012472203422604689,"mfe":0.02697476554191236,"net_0.001":0.000052494976888084466,"net_0.003":-0.003939742504768695,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.000052494976888084466},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.000052494976888084466}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465926091980/txrh-20260805x8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -1.3267988589523605
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2026-06-09. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2026-06-09 filingDate=2026-06-09. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2026-06-09","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465926071853/tm2617153d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On June 9, 2026, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2026 third quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2026. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2026-06-02","exit_date":"2026-06-08","entry":34.36,"exit":34.04,"split":"holdout","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.12766645119586295,"prior_vol":0.5576830397561835,"adr":1.6404999999999998,"atr":1.6259714476722242,"spy_return":-0.02353361850905189,"mae":-0.06286379511059359,"mfe":0.00029103608847491635,"net_0.001":-0.013267988589523605,"net_0.003":-0.017207050328872153,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.05154588580067343},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.05154588580067343}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465926071853/tm2617153d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -0.8436799359829772
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2026-05-07. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2026-05-06 filingDate=2026-05-07. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2026-05-07","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465926057105/txrh-20260506x8k.htm","evidence":"On May 7, 2026, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 8.01. OTHER EVENTS On May 6, 2026, the Comp","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2026-04-30","exit_date":"2026-05-06","entry":159.1,"exit":158.39,"split":"holdout","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.03217338217338228,"prior_vol":0.26900184480295053,"adr":3.3994999999999975,"atr":3.926830157933419,"spy_return":0.02686625794413522,"mae":-0.040980515399119954,"mfe":0.013639220615965009,"net_0.001":-0.008436799359829772,"net_0.003":-0.012395147341471069,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.025273779144675546},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.025273779144675546}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465926057105/txrh-20260506x8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -13.197144302615971
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2026-04-29. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2026-04-29 filingDate=2026-04-29. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2026-04-29","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000013/eat-20260429.htm","evidence":"On April 29, 2026, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its third quarter of fiscal 2026 results and updated guidance for fiscal 2026. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financia","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2026-04-22","exit_date":"2026-04-28","entry":148.18,"exit":129.14,"split":"holdout","trend":false,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.005103429504627055,"prior_vol":0.5384482170425345,"adr":6.685500000000003,"atr":7.382984878507781,"spy_return":0.003576831182050766,"mae":-0.13416115535159934,"mfe":0.025037117019840682,"net_0.001":-0.1319714430261597,"net_0.003":-0.13543663726116761,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop_gap","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.05890755566124051},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop_gap","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.05890755566124051}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000013/eat-20260429.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -2.6168375705575952
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2026-03-04. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2026-03-04 filingDate=2026-03-04. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2026-03-04","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465926023472/tm267799d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On March 4, 2026, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2026 second quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2026. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 9","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2026-02-25","exit_date":"2026-03-03","entry":30.99,"exit":30.3,"split":"holdout","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.07272727272727275,"prior_vol":0.5386728747655987,"adr":1.8929999999999996,"atr":1.9029152167865455,"spy_return":-0.014275309541150749,"mae":-0.035172636334301344,"mfe":0.046466602129719314,"net_0.001":-0.026168375705575952,"net_0.003":-0.030055938739375176,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.026168375705575952},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.026168375705575952}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465926023472/tm267799d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 1.3582984220287697
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2026-02-19. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2026-02-18 filingDate=2026-02-19. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2026-02-19","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465926017538/txrh-20260218x8k.htm","evidence":"On February 19, 2026, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter ended and fiscal year ended December 30, 2025. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. Item 5.02. Departure of","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2026-02-11","exit_date":"2026-02-18","entry":181.35,"exit":184.55,"split":"holdout","trend":true,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.02843448758683831,"prior_vol":0.24814849652091772,"adr":4.822500000000001,"atr":4.888697962597585,"spy_return":-0.014508864121961063,"mae":-0.022608216156603245,"mfe":0.038268541494347996,"net_0.001":0.013582984220287697,"net_0.003":0.009536732647796864,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.013582984220287697},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.013582984220287697}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465926017538/txrh-20260218x8k.htm
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