Runway

Notes

3935 observations, newest first
LOVE Final-session empirical simulation fraction 0 = 49.14
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:14
A final-session empirical simulation was measured on September 9, using a fixed note 1432 with a time-only rule, and a holdout period from 2024 to June 2026 with 10 events. The simulation used ordinary least squares, which describes but does not explain cause and effect, and independent and identically distributed bootstrap and simulations, which assume the underlying distribution of data does not change. The simulation ran 50,000 paths, which did not change the 10 events. The results showed a fraction of 0, 50,000 paths, 10 events, a mean terminal value of 49.14, and a median and percentiles of 49.14, with a loss probability of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LOVE Final-session fixed regime market_trend=true = -0.21910036779007525
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:14
On September 9, a fixed rule called note1432 was chosen based on time. This rule will be used from 2024 to June 2026 for the N10 market. A statistical method called OLS was used to describe the market, but it does not show cause and effect. Another method called IID bootstrap and simulations was used, assuming the market distribution will not change. This method was run 50,000 times and did not change the N10 market. The results showed a market trend flag set to true, with 7 observations, and a mean percentage change of -0.21910036779007525. A gate called market_trend was also set to true. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LOVE Final-session fixed regime market_trend=false = 5.8790625447508935
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:14
On September 9, a fixed rule was chosen based on time only, to be used from 2024 to June 2026, with 10 observations. This rule is used to describe, not predict, and assumes that the market will behave similarly in the future. It used 50,000 simulated paths and did not change the 10 observations. The market trend gate was set to false, with 3 observations, and a mean percentage of 5.8790625447508935. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LOVE Final-session fixed regime momentum=true = 0.019224021983845763
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:14
On September 9, a fixed rule called note 1432 was used to make a decision based on time only, which will be applied from 2024 to June 2026 for a group of 10 items, called N10. This decision is based on a type of analysis called ordinary least squares, which describes what happened, but does not explain why it happened. The analysis also used a method called IID bootstrap and simulations, which assumes that the pattern of the data will stay the same. This was tested with 50,000 different paths, but it did not change the group of 10 items. The result of this analysis is a set of instructions, which includes a gate called momentum, a flag set to true, a number called N set to 5, and a mean percentage change of 0.019224021983845763, which is a measure of the average change in the data. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LOVE Final-session fixed regime momentum=false = 3.2014729899605854
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:14
On September 9, a fixed rule called note 1432 was used to make a decision based on time only, which will be applied from 2024 to June 2026. This decision is based on a statistical method called ordinary least squares, which describes what happened but does not explain why. The method assumes that the future will be similar to the past and uses a technique called bootstrap to test this idea. Simulations were run 50,000 times, but this did not change the decision for the group of 10 items, called N10. A gate is a rule that controls a decision, and in this case, the gate is called momentum, which means the rate of change in price or value. The flag for momentum is set to false, meaning the momentum rule is not being used. The number of items, N, is 5, and the average percentage change, mean_pct, is 3.2014729899605854. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LOVE Final-session fixed regime trend=true = 0.026658239770240472
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:14
On September 9, a fixed rule called note 1432 was used to make a decision based on time only, from June 2024 to June 2026, for a set of 10 items, called N10. This analysis, called ordinary least squares or OLS, describes what happened, but does not explain why. It also assumes that the future will be like the past, using a method called independent and identically distributed, or IID, bootstrap and simulations. Even when trying 50,000 different paths, the results did not change for N10. The outcome was that the trend was true, with a gate set to trend, a flag set to true, a number, N, of 6, and a mean percentage of 0.026658239770240472. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LOVE Final-session fixed regime trend=false = 3.985883905275178
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:14
On September 9, a fixed rule called note1432 was used to make a decision based on time only, from June 2024 to June 2026, for a group of 10 items, called N10. This analysis, called ordinary least squares or OLS, describes what happened, but does not explain why. It assumes that the future will be like the past, using a method called independent and identically distributed, or IID, bootstrap and simulations. The analysis was run 50,000 times, and the results did not change the group of 10 items. The result was a gate, which is a kind of decision point, named trend, with a flag, which is a kind of signal, set to false, with 4 items, and a mean percentage of 3.985883905275178. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LOVE Final-session statistics and market regression = 0.9149135689918911
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:14
On September 9, a fixed note, number 1432, was used with a time-only rule for the period from 2024 to June 2026, with 10 observations. This analysis, called ordinary least squares or OLS, describes what happened but does not explain why. It assumes that the data is independent and identically distributed, or IID for short, which means each data point is independent of the others and follows the same distribution. Bootstrap and simulation methods were used, which involve re-sampling the data many times to estimate how reliable the results are, assuming the underlying distribution of the data does not change. 50,000 paths or simulations were run, but this did not change the number of observations, which remained at 10. The results included the following statistics: the mean excess performance percentage was 0.6405224668048382, the correlation coefficient was 0.9149135689918911, the alpha percentage, which measures the performance of the investment compared to a benchmark, was -0.43716900158795097, and the beta, which measures the volatility of the investment, was 2.1112214199961237. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all
ITX.MC Inditex derived net_cash_less_lease_liabilities_m = 4201
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following data: Calculated in Python on September 9 from issuer H1 February to July 2026 versus 2025 tables and Q1 results, where Q2 equals H1 minus Q1. The values are in millions of euros, where the suffix '_m' denotes this. Ratios are in percent. The number 2299 is the disclosed free cash flow, which is also calculated as 3605 minus 1307, equaling 2298, with rounding retained. The Q1 source is a pdf file from the Inditex website. Lease subtraction sensitivity is not part of the issuer's net debt definition, with 'lease subtraction' referring to subtracting lease liabilities from a total. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived cfo_statement_less_lease_m = 3605
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following data: Calculated in Python on September 9 from issuer H1 February to July 2026 versus 2025 tables and Q1 results, where Q2 equals H1 minus Q1. The values are in millions of euros, where the suffix _m indicates millions, and ratios are in percent. The disclosed free cash flow is 2299, which is calculated as 3605 minus 1307, equaling 2298, with rounding retained. The Q1 source is a pdf file from the Inditex website. Lease subtraction sensitivity does not match the issuer's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived fcf_less_div_buyback_m = -589
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following data: Calculated in Python on September 9 from issuer H1 February to July 2026 versus 2025 tables and Q1 results, where Q2 equals H1 minus Q1. The values are in millions of euros, where the suffix _m denotes this. Ratios are in percent. The disclosed free cash flow, or FCF, is 2299. This can also be calculated as 3605 minus 1307, which equals 2298, with rounding retained. The Q1 source is a PDF document found at https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130. Lease subtraction sensitivity does not match the issuer's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived q2_prior_gm_pct = 56.45145294059307
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following data: Calculated in Python on September 9 from issuer H1 February to July 2026 versus 2025 tables and Q1 results, where Q2 equals H1 minus Q1. The values are in millions of euros, where the suffix'm' denotes this, and ratios are in percentages. The disclosed free cash flow, or FCF, is 2299. This can also be calculated as 3605 minus 1307, which equals 2298, with the rounding error retained. The Q1 source is a PDF file from the Inditex website. A note mentions that lease subtraction sensitivity does not match the issuer's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived q2_gm_pct = 56.67423898228078
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following data about Inditex, which is the company behind the stock ticker ITX.MC. The data was calculated using the Python programming language on September 9. It compares the first half of 2026 to the same period in 2025, using tables from the company and its first-quarter results. The second-quarter results were found by subtracting the first-quarter results from the first-half results. The numbers are in millions of euros, where the suffix'm' means million. The ratios are in percentages. The company reported 2299 as its free cash flow, which is the money left over after paying for things the company needs to operate. The number 2298 was calculated by subtracting 1307 from 3605, and the small difference is due to rounding. The first-quarter results can be found at the given website address. The calculation did not follow the company's definition of net debt when it came to lease subtraction, which is a way of accounting for rent payments as if they were debt payments. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived q2_sales_growth_pct = 9.144103937320235
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following information about Inditex, which is the company behind the stock ticker ITX.MC. The sales growth percentage for the second quarter was calculated using Python on September 9, based on the company's first half results from February to July 2026 compared to 2025, and the first quarter results. The calculation is done by subtracting the first quarter results from the first half results. The results are given in millions of euros, where the suffix'm' denotes millions. The ratios are given as percentages. The company disclosed a free cash flow of 2299, which is close to the calculated value of 2298, obtained by subtracting 1307 from 3605. The first quarter results can be found at https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130. Note that the subtraction of lease values is not part of the company's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived q2_prior_sales_m = 10083
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following information about Inditex, which is a company with the stock ticker ITX.MC. The company's sales for the second quarter of 2026 were calculated using Python on September 9, 2026, from the company's first half results, which cover the period from February to July 2026, compared to the same period in 2025, and the company's first quarter results. The sales figures are in millions of euros, where the suffix '_m' denotes millions. The ratios are in percentages. The company disclosed a free cash flow of 2299 million euros. The calculation of 3605 minus 1307 equals 2298 million euros, with the rounding error retained. The source of the first quarter results is a document available at https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130. Note that lease subtraction sensitivity does not match the company's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived q2_sales_m = 11005
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following information about Inditex, which is the company behind the stock ticker ITX.MC. The sales for the second quarter were calculated using Python on September 9 from the company's first half results, which cover February to July 2026, compared to the same period in 2025, and the first quarter results. The calculation was done by subtracting the first quarter sales from the first half sales. The sales figures are in millions of euros, and the ratios are in percentages. The company reported 2299 million euros as its free cash flow, which is the money left over after paying for operations and investments. This number was calculated by subtracting 1307 from 3605, which equals 2298, but the company reported 2299 due to rounding. The first quarter results can be found at the company's website. The calculation did not take into account the sensitivity of lease subtraction, which is not part of the company's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived wc_share_cfo_improvement_pct = 66.86592655849701
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A calculation was made on September 9 using Python, comparing the first half of 2026 to 2025 for Inditex, which is the company behind the ITX.MC stock. The calculation used tables from the company's first half results, which cover February to July, and the first quarter results, with the second quarter results found by subtracting the first quarter from the first half. The amounts are in millions of euros, with'm' used to show this, and ratios are in percentages. The company reported 2299 million euros as its free cash flow, which is the amount of cash a company has after paying its expenses and investing in its business, also known as FCF, and this was calculated by subtracting 1307 from 3605, with 2298 being the result when rounded. The first quarter results came from the company's website at https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130. The calculation did not follow the company's definition of net debt when subtracting lease costs, which is a type of expense, to find the sensitivity of this subtraction, meaning how much it affects the results. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived working_capital_improvement_m = 783
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following data: Calculated in Python on September 9 from issuer H1 February to July 2026 versus 2025 tables and Q1 results, where Q2 equals H1 minus Q1. The values are in millions of euros, where the suffix '_m' denotes this, and ratios are in percent. The number 2299 is the disclosed free cash flow, which is also calculated as 3605 minus 1307, equaling 2298, with rounding retained. The Q1 source is a pdf file from the Inditex website. Lease subtraction sensitivity does not match the issuer's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived cfo_after_leases_growth_pct = 48.1101068200493
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the following data: Calculated in Python on September 9 from issuer H1 February to July 2026 versus 2025 tables and Q1 results, where Q2 equals H1 minus Q1. The values are in millions of euros, where the suffix m indicates millions, and ratios are in percentages. The disclosed free cash flow is 2299 million euros, which is calculated as 3605 minus 1307, equaling 2298 million euros, with rounding retained. The Q1 source is a pdf file from the Inditex website. Lease subtraction sensitivity does not match the issuer's net debt definition, which is a measure of a company's debt after considering its leases, or a type of contract where one party grants the use of an asset to another party for a specified period. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived fcf_growth_pct = 97.33905579399142
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
The free cash flow growth percentage of Inditex, whose stock is traded as ITX.MC, was calculated using Python on September 9. The calculation used the company's first half results from February to July 2026 compared to 2025, as well as the first quarter results. The second quarter results were found by subtracting the first quarter results from the first half results. The free cash flow is measured in millions of euros. The company reported 2299 million euros as the free cash flow, which is close to the calculated 2298 million euros, found by subtracting 1307 from 3605. The first quarter results can be found at https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130. Note that the lease subtraction sensitivity does not match the company's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived inventory_growth_pct = 9.319099826889786
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
The inventory growth percentage for ITX.MC, also known as Inditex, was calculated using Python on September 9. The calculation used the company's first half results from February to July 2026 compared to 2025, as well as the first quarter results. The free cash flow, or the money left after paying for operations and investments, is 2299 million euros. This number was found by subtracting 1307 from 3605, which equals 2298, but the original number was kept due to rounding. The first quarter results can be found at https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130. Note that lease subtraction sensitivity, or how changes in lease costs affect the calculation, is not part of the company's definition of net debt, which is the total amount of debt owed. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived net_income_growth_pct = 6.77176639197421
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
The net income growth percentage of Inditex, whose stock is traded as ITX.MC, was calculated on September 9 using Python. The calculation compared the first half of 2026, which includes February to July, to the same period in 2025, using the company's half-year and first-quarter results. To find the second-quarter results, the first-half results were subtracted by the first-quarter results. The company's financials are reported in millions of euros, denoted by the suffix'm', and ratios are expressed as percentages. The company disclosed 2299 as its free cash flow, which is close to the calculated 2298, which is 3605 minus 1307, with rounding differences retained. The first-quarter results were sourced from the company's website at https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130. Note that lease subtraction sensitivity does not match the company's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ITX.MC Inditex derived sales_growth_pct = 7.615623467886912
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
The sales growth percentage for ITX.MC, also known as Inditex, was calculated using Python on September 9. The calculation compared the first half of 2026, from February to July, to the same period in 2025, using the company's first half and first quarter results. The second quarter results were found by subtracting the first quarter results from the first half results. The company's financial data is reported in millions of euros, where the suffix'm' denotes millions. Financial ratios are reported as percentages. The company disclosed 2299 as its free cash flow, which is close to the calculated value of 2298, found by subtracting 1307 from 3605, with rounding retained. The first quarter results were obtained from the company's website at https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130. Note that the subtraction of lease values is not part of the company's definition of net debt. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/cca26fd1-a685-41d6-82d4-10b3f30428f4/1H2026Results.pdf?t=1788937488685
ZUMZ Sep8 completed-session technical and affordability panel = 17.7
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the headline about ZUMZ on September 8. The mean of the high and low prices over 20 sessions is called the Average Daily Range, or ADR. The Average True Range, or ATR, is a measure of price movement, and here it is calculated over 14 sessions. The Simple Moving Average, or SMA, is a average of the closing prices over a certain number of sessions. The return over 20 sessions is calculated based on the closing prices. The whole capacity is calculated by dividing 49.14 by the closing price, and it ignores fees. On September 8, the data for ZUMZ was as follows: the symbol is ZUMZ, there were 89 bars of data, the date was 2026-09-08, the closing price was 17.7, the ADR over 20 sessions was 0.6155, the ATR over 14 sessions was 0.6857, the SMA over 20 sessions was 18.20375, the SMA over 50 sessions was 18.5871, the return over 20 sessions was -9.3702 percent, the volume over 20 sessions was 189975, and the whole capacity was 2. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=ZUMZ&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
CPRT Sep8 completed-session technical and affordability panel = 32.6
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 08:12
A news scan found the headline 'CPRT Sep8 completed-session technical and affordability panel'. Retrieved on September 9 at 08 UTC, the data for CPRT shows the following technical indicators: the mean of the high-low range over 20 sessions, also known as the Average Daily Range or ADR, is 1.0613449999999995, and the Average True Range or ATR over 14 sessions, which measures volatility, is 1.0690357142857152. The Simple Moving Average or SMA over 20 sessions is 32.35525, and over 50 sessions is 30.1232. The return over 20 sessions is 10.172355525515385 percent. The whole capacity, which is the floor of 49.14 divided by the close price and ignores fees, is 1. The data also includes the symbol, number of bars, date, close price, and volume over 20 sessions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CPRT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
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