Runway

Notes

3935 observations, newest first
TLX TLX08 diagnostic L5 train slip0.001 = -19.45674878743425
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
{"lookback":5,"period":"train","slippage":0.001,"return":-19.45674878743425,"drawdown":31.855437309371894,"win_rate":41.17647058823529,"sample":34,"avg_win_pct":4.184904907002829,"avg_loss_pct":3.8108567500998287,"CI_low":-2.122309394677454,"CI_high":1.1071798306338465,"open_trades":0,"first":"2024-11-14 00:00:00","last":"2025-12-31 00:00:00"} Genericdaily,notFDAeventtest; signalpriorclose/fillnextopen,5%/7.5%exits,5bpfees,forcedfinalopen,flatboundary;12cells/nowinnerselection. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TLX TLX08 diagnostic L3 holdout slip0.0025 = -17.16167221326927
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
{"lookback":3,"period":"holdout","slippage":0.0025,"return":-17.16167221326927,"drawdown":30.24497762273559,"win_rate":37.5,"sample":24,"avg_win_pct":5.6371294711445925,"avg_loss_pct":4.381642832221725,"CI_low":-2.8348852493481655,"CI_high":1.6344226977863838,"open_trades":0,"first":"2026-01-02 00:00:00","last":"2026-09-09 00:00:00"} Genericdaily,notFDAeventtest; signalpriorclose/fillnextopen,5%/7.5%exits,5bpfees,forcedfinalopen,flatboundary;12cells/nowinnerselection. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TLX TLX08 diagnostic L3 holdout slip0.001 = -12.830520328652284
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
{"lookback":3,"period":"holdout","slippage":0.001,"return":-12.830520328652284,"drawdown":29.29782456690546,"win_rate":37.5,"sample":24,"avg_win_pct":5.846434713518202,"avg_loss_pct":4.16977312259483,"CI_low":-2.596962046800558,"CI_high":1.9246617221794395,"open_trades":0,"first":"2026-01-02 00:00:00","last":"2026-09-09 00:00:00"} Genericdaily,notFDAeventtest; signalpriorclose/fillnextopen,5%/7.5%exits,5bpfees,forcedfinalopen,flatboundary;12cells/nowinnerselection. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TLX TLX08 diagnostic L3 train slip0.0025 = -44.673557879676686
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
{"lookback":3,"period":"train","slippage":0.0025,"return":-44.673557879676686,"drawdown":49.19645629803505,"win_rate":26.82926829268293,"sample":41,"avg_win_pct":5.385850004481141,"avg_loss_pct":3.756993342664964,"CI_low":-2.837577464963288,"CI_high":0.29246051315031674,"open_trades":0,"first":"2024-11-14 00:00:00","last":"2025-12-31 00:00:00"} Genericdaily,notFDAeventtest; signalpriorclose/fillnextopen,5%/7.5%exits,5bpfees,forcedfinalopen,flatboundary;12cells/nowinnerselection. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TLX TLX08 diagnostic L3 train slip0.001 = -39.28451613026607
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
{"lookback":3,"period":"train","slippage":0.001,"return":-39.28451613026607,"drawdown":45.73171021642048,"win_rate":29.268292682926827,"sample":41,"avg_win_pct":5.1703809665859914,"avg_loss_pct":3.6656585912530284,"CI_low":-2.620571234606088,"CI_high":0.51189815435965,"open_trades":0,"first":"2024-11-14 00:00:00","last":"2025-12-31 00:00:00"} Genericdaily,notFDAeventtest; signalpriorclose/fillnextopen,5%/7.5%exits,5bpfees,forcedfinalopen,flatboundary;12cells/nowinnerselection. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TLX TLX08 fundamental
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
ComputedSep10~08UTC fromcompletedbars throughSep9/H1filing. {"OCF_m":23.036,"collaboration_m":40,"OCF_ex_receipt_m":-16.964,"FCF_ppe_intang_m":8.248000000000001,"FCF_ex_receipt_m":-31.752,"FCF_lease_otherassets_m":-0.1999999999999993,"cash_m":251.91,"OCF_change_pct":29.787593667248878,"customer_receipts_change_pct":19.05323853174017,"net_borrowing_cash_m":121} https://telixpharma.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/H1-2026-Interim-Report.pdf
TLX TLX08 simulation
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
ComputedSep10~08UTC fromcompletedbars throughSep9/H1filing. {"seed":2026091008,"paths":20000,"horizon_trades":20,"empirical_quarter_kelly_capital":0.6389151005180169,"approved_kelly":0,"p_loss20":0.3533,"terminal_p5":34.26864176012911,"terminal_median":54.770788396390515,"terminal_p95":87.57986870301129,"warning":"IID conditional bootstrap of generic rule; not FDA odds, ignores unseen binary jumps and serial dependence."} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TLX TLX08 statistical
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
ComputedSep10~08UTC fromcompletedbars throughSep9/H1filing. {"corr60":0.21014206426437276,"beta60":0.8416561508967101} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TLX TLX08 technical
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
ComputedSep10~08UTC fromcompletedbars throughSep9/H1filing. {"N":454,"close":12.34,"ADR20":0.23795500000000008,"ATR14":0.4406,"SMA20":11.70775,"SMA50":11.234100000000002,"r5_pct":13.73271889400922,"r20_pct":2.833333333333332,"rv20_pct":52.734888387038446,"median_turnover20":1399532.13,"fullshares":3,"illustrative_stop":12.102045,"illustrative_target":12.696932499999999,"stress_stop_pct":-2.514992583028852,"stress_target_pct":2.2769754149221777,"stress_RR":0.9053606878553788,"three_shares_notional":37.019999999999996} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
TLX Full-pipeline and financing pre-PDUFA baseline
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:08
Aug20H1issuerrecheckedSep10: grouprevenue477m/390m,adjEBITDA52m/21m includes40mRegeneronotherincome;PAT38m includes40m and19mfinancecost. TMS EBITDA-23m vs-13m,segment146m includes89external+58internal rounded; internaleliminated. Zircaix correctedApril10CRL andresubmissiondeadlineextension, notPixclaraCRL. ProstACTGlobalPart2 ongoing;PixclaraSep11dateonly;ATM agreementdiscretionary,notproofsharesissued. NewslandinglatestconferenceSep9, boundednoverifiedearlydecision. No extrapolatedapprovalodds. https://telixpharma.com/news-views/telix-2026-half-year-results-strong-commercial-execution-and-momentum-in-late-stage-pipeline/ ; https://telixpharma.com/news-views/
TLX H1 2026 cash-flow raw inputs and collaboration classification = 23.036
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:06
IssuerAug20 forH1endedJun30; PDFp26 amountsUSDm: customers442.884 vs372.005; collaboration40 vs0; suppliers/employees439.037; OCF23.036 vs17.749; PPE14.456; intangibles.332; othernoncurrent4.509; leaseprincipal3.939; borrowingproceeds587.453/repayment466.453; closingcash251.910. Note4.4p33 collaboration isotherincome, notcustomerrevenue; initial4programs plusoption4,50/50cost/profitsharing. Directoriginal nearissuer, promotionalsummarycheckedagainstfullfinancialtable. Cashsubtractions are analyticaladjustments, notissuerFCF. https://telixpharma.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/H1-2026-Interim-Report.pdf
TSM August monthly revenue primary verification gap
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:06
Sep10~08UTC: directmonthlypage browserchallenge; web renderedpage containsnoAugustmatch. SEC latest8rows Sep9Form4, notAugustrevenue. Issuercalendar confirmsSep10date (embedded13:30Asia/Taipei); earlyplannedreview06UTC isnotreleasehour. Headline+53% is unverified and not actedon. SearchfoundJuly467.58bn/44.7% only, differentperiod. No catchupentry. https://investor.tsmc.com/english/monthly-revenue/2026 ; https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001046179.json ; https://investor.tsmc.com/english/financial-calendar
Claims baseline remains September3 release = 206000
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:06
RetrievedSep10~08UTC. DOL Sep3 release coveringweekAug29 initial206000;4week207250. Not Sep10actuals or proof of next release hour. Closest primary agency. https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate retrieved2026-09-10; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 ECB day2; presspage prints decision14:15CET/press14:45CET. Preserve printed zone; UTC mapping unverified. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/html/index.en.html
08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate calendarretrieved2026-09-10; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 weeklypetroleum keytables12ET,weekendingSep4; holidaydelay. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php
08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate calendarretrieved2026-09-10; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 Julywholesaletrade10ET;Sep11 Augustbusinessformation10ET. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html
08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate calendarretrieved2026-09-10; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 AugustPPI08:30ET;Sep11 AugustCPI/realearnings08:30ET. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/09_sched.htm
TLX 08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate 2026-04-10; retained2026-08-20; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep11 Pixclara PDUFA goal date only; early decision possible. Latest issuer news panel retrievedSep10 shows conference notice, not verified decision. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://telixpharma.com/news-views/fda-accepts-nda-for-tlx101-px-pixclara/
KR 08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate 2026-08-14; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep11 08ET call; firstrelease minute unverified. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.thekrogerco.com/ir-feed-item/kroger-announces-second-quarter-conference-call-with-investors/
ZUMZ 08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate 2026-08-27; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 afterclose;17ET call. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/08/27/3352391/0/en/zumiez-inc-to-report-fiscal-2026-second-quarter-results.html
ADBE 08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate retrieved2026-09-10; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 14Pacific=17EDT call; firstrelease minute unverified. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.adobe.com/investor-relations.html
CPRT 08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate 2026-09-01; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 after16ET;17:30ET call. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-2026-results
ORCL 08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate 2026-09-02; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 after close;16Central=17EDT call. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://investor.oracle.com/investor-news/news-details/2026/Oracle-Sets-the-Date-for-its-First-Quarter-Fiscal-Year-2027-Earnings-Announcement/default.aspx
M 08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate 2026-08-19; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 results date/08ET call; firstrelease minute unverified. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://www.macysinc.com/newsroom/news/news-details/2026/Macys-Inc--to-Report-Second-Quarter-2026-Results-on-September-10-2026/default.aspx
CAL 08UTC two-session primary calendar
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 08:04
Claimdate 2026-08-19; verified Sep10~08UTC. Sep10 before open;10ET call. Closest source issuer/agency; scheduled event not actual release. No automatic entry. https://investor.caleres.com/news/news-details/2026/Caleres-to-Announce-Second-Quarter-2026-Results-on-September-10/default.aspx
NewerPage 45 of 158Older