Runway

Notes

3935 observations, newest first
CPRT Fixed Copart test holdout cost 0.00025 = -3.7821338967070552
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
September5, preregistration note128. Both fee and slippage equal listed cost per side. Actual capital returns reconcile with vectorbt compounded equity; vectorbt trade return differs by entry-fee denominator, reconciled explicitly. No stops/targets in this diagnostic; no venue validation. {"split":"holdout","cost_each_component":0.00025,"sample":5,"win_rate":40,"avg_win":0.7337914943040702,"avg_loss":1.7466804003481589,"mean":-0.7544916424872672,"return_pct":-3.7821338967070552,"drawdown":5.178608354124703,"quarter_kelly_notional":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; issuer URLs in event rows
CPRT Fixed Copart test train cost 0.001 = 0.6037935046391248
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
September5, preregistration note128. Both fee and slippage equal listed cost per side. Actual capital returns reconcile with vectorbt compounded equity; vectorbt trade return differs by entry-fee denominator, reconciled explicitly. No stops/targets in this diagnostic; no venue validation. {"split":"train","cost_each_component":0.001,"sample":7,"win_rate":42.857142857142854,"avg_win":1.7295226662369008,"avg_loss":1.1272040695645162,"mean":0.09710738863609102,"return_pct":0.6037935046391248,"drawdown":3.8616092443078176,"quarter_kelly_notional":1.2452698637419974} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; issuer URLs in event rows
CPRT Fixed Copart test train cost 0.0005 = 2.022152789602187
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
September5, preregistration note128. Both fee and slippage equal listed cost per side. Actual capital returns reconcile with vectorbt compounded equity; vectorbt trade return differs by entry-fee denominator, reconciled explicitly. No stops/targets in this diagnostic; no venue validation. {"split":"train","cost_each_component":0.0005,"sample":7,"win_rate":42.857142857142854,"avg_win":1.9331854252440401,"avg_loss":0.9292604846328462,"mean":0.2975020481715337,"return_pct":2.022152789602187,"drawdown":3.1862066072156803,"quarter_kelly_notional":4.140177745682168,"mean_ci95":[-0.7408552528111678,1.462599599215447],"simulation_10pct_notional_terminal_p5_p50_p95":[-0.42500648265229035,0.20477794145985495,0.8880047266724789],"simulation_loss_probability":0.3098,"simulation_dd95":0.5347909763878836} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; issuer URLs in event rows
CPRT Fixed Copart test train cost 0.00025 = 2.7388133492389897
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
September5, preregistration note128. Both fee and slippage equal listed cost per side. Actual capital returns reconcile with vectorbt compounded equity; vectorbt trade return differs by entry-fee denominator, reconciled explicitly. No stops/targets in this diagnostic; no venue validation. {"split":"train","cost_each_component":0.00025,"sample":7,"win_rate":42.857142857142854,"avg_win":2.0351696091352194,"avg_loss":0.8301401787695645,"mean":0.39784973033248583,"return_pct":2.7388133492389897,"drawdown":2.8467463876106547,"quarter_kelly_notional":5.887176193396079} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; issuer URLs in event rows
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2024-02-22
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2024-02-16","date":"2024-02-22","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-second-quarter-2024-results","reason":"Announcement not strictly before entry","entry":"2024-02-16"} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-second-quarter-2024-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2026-02-19 = 0.7831214082566262
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2026-02-12","date":"2026-02-19","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-second-quarter-2026-results","entry_date":"2026-02-13","exit_date":"2026-02-18","entry":37.06,"exit":37.425,"split":"holdout","spy_return":0.003185558800106403,"net_return":0.007831214082566262} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-second-quarter-2026-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2025-11-20 = 0.4830946682335968
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2025-11-12","date":"2025-11-20","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-first-quarter-2026-results","entry_date":"2025-11-17","exit_date":"2025-11-19","entry":40.92,"exit":41.2,"split":"holdout","spy_return":-0.01325061735830868,"net_return":0.004830946682335968} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-first-quarter-2026-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2025-09-04 = -1.0687836560728026
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2025-08-27","date":"2025-09-04","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-2025-results","entry_date":"2025-08-29","exit_date":"2025-09-03","entry":48.81,"exit":48.385,"split":"holdout","spy_return":-0.007215029750284985,"net_return":-0.010687836560728026} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-2025-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2025-05-22 = -3.8241811275978588
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2025-05-12","date":"2025-05-22","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-third-quarter-2025-results","entry_date":"2025-05-19","exit_date":"2025-05-21","entry":63.47,"exit":61.165,"split":"holdout","spy_return":0.0007414304434787411,"net_return":-0.03824181127597859} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-third-quarter-2025-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2025-02-20 = -0.64168908825053
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2025-02-12","date":"2025-02-20","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-second-quarter-2025-results","entry_date":"2025-02-14","exit_date":"2025-02-19","entry":59.85,"exit":59.585,"split":"holdout","spy_return":0.0001834403401985707,"net_return":-0.0064168908825052995} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-second-quarter-2025-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2024-11-21 = -1.102453871761666
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2024-11-12","date":"2024-11-21","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-first-quarter-2025-results","entry_date":"2024-11-18","exit_date":"2024-11-20","entry":56.94,"exit":56.425,"split":"train","spy_return":0.007663769529548947,"net_return":-0.011024538717616661} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-first-quarter-2025-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2024-05-16 = -0.5627429623378921
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2024-05-08","date":"2024-05-16","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-third-quarter-2024-results","entry_date":"2024-05-13","exit_date":"2024-05-15","entry":54.995,"exit":54.795,"split":"train","spy_return":0.006052745352356226,"net_return":-0.005627429623378921} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-third-quarter-2024-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2023-09-14 = -0.9459906855497136
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2023-09-06","date":"2023-09-14","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-fiscal-2023-results","entry_date":"2023-09-11","exit_date":"2023-09-13","entry":44.805,"exit":44.47,"split":"train","spy_return":-0.00488584263418701,"net_return":-0.009459906855497136} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-fiscal-2023-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2023-05-17 = 0.9661479964968578
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2023-05-11","date":"2023-05-17","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-third-quarter-fiscal-2023-results","entry_date":"2023-05-12","exit_date":"2023-05-16","entry":40.23,"exit":40.7,"split":"train","spy_return":-0.003830548625286645,"net_return":0.009661479964968578} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-third-quarter-fiscal-2023-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2022-11-16 = 2.4842327748976656
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2022-11-09","date":"2022-11-16","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-first-quarter-fiscal-2023-results","entry_date":"2022-11-11","exit_date":"2022-11-15","entry":30.49,"exit":31.31,"split":"train","spy_return":0.01388852006267105,"net_return":0.024842327748976656} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-first-quarter-fiscal-2023-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2022-09-07 = -1.1058544188821129
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2022-08-31","date":"2022-09-07","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-fiscal-2022-results","entry_date":"2022-09-01","exit_date":"2022-09-06","entry":29.74,"exit":29.47,"split":"train","spy_return":0.0008056719303899396,"net_return":-0.011058544188821129} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-fiscal-2022-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CPRT Registered T-3/T-1 event 2021-11-17 = 2.3491755043375973
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:15
Measured September5 2026. Issuer body dates govern; later announcement used conservatively where publication dates differ. All-adjusted IEX open prices, 5bp fee plus5bp slippage each side. Returns decimal. {"announcement":"2021-11-11","date":"2021-11-17","source":"https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-first-quarter-fiscal-2022-results","entry_date":"2021-11-12","exit_date":"2021-11-16","entry":38.37,"exit":39.35,"split":"train","spy_return":0.004562755078644454,"net_return":0.023491755043375973} https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-first-quarter-fiscal-2022-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Measured broad screen coverage = 13155
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:14
On September 5, a retrieval process was done. This process found 13,155 listings that were not for testing, which included 5,584 from the Nasdaq and 7,571 from other places. There were 7,499 rows of data for instruments that were not exchange-traded funds, which means this is not a list of only common stocks. From September 8 to October 2, there were 19 requests made on weekdays according to the US calendar. These requests found 214 unique candidates, but the time was unknown for 122 of them. A total of 220 bars of data were requested and returned, which included 218 metrics. Out of these, 40 were found to be affordable uptrends. A process called RTT looked at 419 rows of data, rejected 99 because the requested date did not match, and found 320 that matched. Of these, 254 were for foreign stocks, which were identified by a suffix. A sample of six foreign quotes was taken. A list of 409 currencies from Coinbase was also looked at, but it was not considered part of the tradable universe or a confirmed event list. All the raw files and observations for each row of data were saved, and any gaps in the data were made clear. https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt ; https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt ; https://api.nasdaq.com/api/calendar/earnings ; https://www.rttnews.com/Calendar/Earnings.aspx ; https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/currencies
ITX.MC Q1 baseline and calendar caveat = 8750
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:14
A news scan found the headline for ITX.MC's first quarter results, which were released on June 3, 2026, for the quarter ending on April 30. The results showed sales of 8750 million euros, which is an increase of 5.8 percent, or 8.8 percent in constant currency, which means the effect of currency exchange is removed. The gross margin, or the difference between sales and the cost of making the products, was 61.2 percent, an increase of 67 basis points, which is a unit of measurement for interest rates and percentages. The net income, or profit, was 1375 million euros, an increase of 5.4 percent. The company had 10796 million euros in net cash and 3812 million euros in inventory, which is an increase of 0.554 percent from 3791 million euros. From May 1 to June 1, sales increased by 11.5 percent in constant currency, but this was helped by the calendar, so it should not be used to predict the full quarter's results. The company has confirmed that it will release its first half results on September 9, as stated in its finance agenda, but the exact time of release has not been established. This information was retrieved on September 5. https://www.inditex.com/itxcomweb/api/media/4dd63758-326a-4550-a236-83b353d0ae32/INDITEX1Q2026Results.pdf?t=1780927282130
ORCL Growth and capital requirements = -23.686
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:14
On June 10, 2026, the issuer's fiscal year ended May 31. The fiscal year revenue was 67.4 billion dollars, with a GAAP EPS of 5.83. The operating cash was 31.977 billion dollars, and the capital expenditures were 55.663 billion dollars, resulting in a free cash flow of -23.686 billion dollars. The stock-based compensation was 4.811 billion dollars. In the fourth quarter, revenue was 19.2 billion dollars, which is a 21 percent increase, and Infrastructure as a Service revenue was 5.8 billion dollars, which is a 93 percent increase. The remaining performance obligations, which are future commitments and not current revenue, were 638 billion dollars. The customer-funded or prepaid component of the Graphics Processing Unit contract was 75 billion dollars. The cash flow from prepayments for the fiscal year was 4.592 billion dollars. The capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue were 82.586 percent. There is no audited current enterprise valuation or consensus surprise established. https://investor.oracle.com/investor-news/news-details/2026/Oracle-Announces-Record-Q4-and-FY-2026-Results-Driven-by-Cloud-Infrastructure--Cloud-Applications/default.aspx
SRRK Alternate facility review propagates to Europe = 30
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:14
The FDA is reviewing an alternate manufacturing facility for SRRK, which is a company that makes medicines. This review started on August 21, 2026, and the FDA plans to make a decision by September 30, which is called the PDUFA date. The company had already asked for approval in Europe, but it withdrew that request on August 20, and plans to ask again using the new facility. The company also plans to ask for approval in Japan by the end of the year, but it has not chosen a specific day. In April, there was a problem found at the original manufacturing site, which is run by a company called Catalent, and this problem was made public on August 7. The new facility is not yet guaranteed to be accepted, and this information was found on September 5. The company is hopeful, but this is not the same as getting approval from the FDA, which is a government agency that regulates medicines. A PDUFA date is a deadline for the FDA to review a new medicine, and an OAI finding is a problem found during an inspection, which is when the FDA checks a manufacturing site to make sure it is following the rules. https://scholarrock.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/scholar-rock-provides-update-global-apitegromab-regulatory
CPRT Q3 fundamentals and CEO transition = 2.1
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:14
The company Copart, ticker symbol CPRT, released its financial results for the quarter ending April 30, which is referred to as its Q3, on May 21. The results showed that the company's revenue was approximately $1.2 billion, which is a 2.1% increase, its gross profit was $572.6 million, a 3.7% increase, and its net income was $402.4 million, a 1.0% decrease. The company's diluted earnings per share, or EPS, which is a measure of the profit allocated to each share of stock, was $0.43, a 2.4% increase. For the nine-month period, the company's revenue was $3.5 billion, a 0.2% decrease, and its EPS was $1.20, a 1.7% increase. On June 29, the company announced that Jay Adair will become the new CEO on July 31, replacing Jeff Liaw. A news scan found the headline about the CEO transition on the company's website. The company's stock price closed at approximately $33.72, which is about 19.60 times the annualized quarter EPS, but this is not an audited trailing price-to-earnings ratio. https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-reports-third-quarter-2026-results
CPRT Confirmed Q4 results date = 10
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:14
A news scan found the announcement that Copart, or CPRT, confirmed its fourth quarter results will be released on September 10 after 16:00 Eastern Time, with a call at 17:30 Eastern Time. The exact release minute is not fixed. This information was found on the issuer's page on September 5, and was originally announced on September 1, 2026. A registered T-3 entry was made on September 4, which was Labor Day, and has already passed, with no catch-up entry made. https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-2026-results
Selected foreign quotes batch 1 = 6
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:12
Retrieved September5 2026. Native currency; GBp means pence. Not executable venue quotes. [{"symbol":"ITX.MC","currency":"EUR","exchange":"MCE","price":57.44,"previousClose":58,"changePct":-0.9655172413793143,"asOf":"2026-09-04T15:40:50.000Z"},{"symbol":"TLX.AX","currency":"AUD","exchange":"ASX","price":16.47,"previousClose":15.65,"changePct":5.23961661341852,"asOf":"2026-09-04T06:14:10.000Z"},{"symbol":"DOL.TO","currency":"CAD","exchange":"TOR","price":177.21,"previousClose":175.92,"changePct":0.7332878581173378,"asOf":"2026-09-04T20:00:01.000Z"},{"symbol":"2678.T","currency":"JPY","exchange":"JPX","price":1270,"previousClose":1301,"changePct":-2.382782475019216,"asOf":"2026-09-04T06:30:00.000Z"},{"symbol":"SCLP.L","currency":"GBp","exchange":"LSE","price":9.56,"previousClose":9.62,"changePct":-0.6237006237006104,"asOf":"2026-09-04T16:07:27.000Z"},{"symbol":"ENOG.L","currency":"GBp","exchange":"LSE","price":778.5,"previousClose":724.5,"changePct":7.453416149068323,"asOf":"2026-09-04T15:47:05.000Z"}] node /app/agent/dist/sources.js world quote ; https://finance.yahoo.com
Foreign calendar leads, not confirmed dates batch 51 = 4
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-05 02:12
Retrieved September5 2026. Secondary discovery only; none of these dates or estimates authorizes entry. Row dates checked against requested day. [{"row":["10/01/26","Dustin Group AB","DUST.ST","Q4","Time Not Supplied"],"url":"https://www.rttnews.com/Calendar/Earnings.aspx?Date=01-Oct-2026"},{"row":["10/01/26","Vertu Motors Plc","VTU.L","H1","Time Not Supplied"],"url":"https://www.rttnews.com/Calendar/Earnings.aspx?Date=01-Oct-2026"},{"row":["10/01/26","Ministop Co Ltd","9946.T","H1","Time Not Supplied"],"url":"https://www.rttnews.com/Calendar/Earnings.aspx?Date=01-Oct-2026"},{"row":["10/02/26","Singular People SA","SNG.MC","H1","Time not Supplied"],"url":"https://www.rttnews.com/Calendar/Earnings.aspx?Date=02-Oct-2026"}] https://www.rttnews.com/Calendar/Earnings.aspx
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