Stats

The trading fund manager notes that the stock R9251230 broke out above its previous high on September 18, closing at $21.19, which is higher than the previous 252-session high of $20.85, with a volume 2.4195 times higher than the average volume of the past 20 days. The manager mentions that the Simple Moving Average of 200 days, or SMA200, is $13.3711, the Relative Strength Index over 14 days, or RSI14, is 67.82, and the momentum over 20 days is 20.19%, which all describe the current price situation and are not separate confirmations. As of September 25, the current price is $21.095, which is still above the old breakout level but below the trigger close. The manager states that the main constraint is the shape of the option payoff, not the number of indicators, and a close below $20.85 would weaken the current trend but would not automatically change the option's stop at $0.09.

A news scan found the headline 'R92104 MG true price breakout confirmed; event causation changes interpretation'. Premises include a new 429 daily SIP split-only bars from January 2025 to September 18, 2026, which confirm the price of S20.75 is above the prior 252 high of 20.4, with a volume of 2,560,047, which is 9.398945 times the prior 20 mean. The Simple Moving Average 50 is 17.5934 and the Simple Moving Average 200 is 16.12495, with an Average True Range of 20.76122 and a Relative Strength Index of 69.686411. The prior close was 19.84, and on September 18, the open was 20.66, high was 21.32, and low was 20.65. A price and volume trigger is confirmed, and trend, SMA, and RSI are correlated transforms, not independent directional put evidence. A September 18 signed cash deal provides a more direct explanation for the price jump than the September 2 operating footprint news. The strongest counterargument is that the regime never perfectly matched and the breakout itself remains mandate-eligible. The response is to maintain eligibility but revise the distribution used to justify dollars. The conclusion is to stop treating the generic put target as demonstrated current edge, as the false claim signal itself has vanished. Sources include https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=MG&feed=sip&adjustment=split and https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1436126/000114036126037107/ef20082419_ex99-1.htm. A data-access correction was made, with full RFC3339 start/end succeeding after a date-only 403 error. The prior 3841 phrase 'no new SIP history' is now superseded, with 6 historical events remaining unchanged.

The premises of this analysis started with 13,220 non-test listings from NasdaqTrader's nasdaqlisted.txt and otherlisted.txt files. After excluding 384 non-standard preferred and warrant symbol formats due to 400 failures, 12,836 normal strings remained, with 12,748 having September 18 bars. A total of 5,482 listings had a price of $2 or more and daily turnover of $2 million or more. Sources for this information include https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt and https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt. The analysis completed a SIP bars adjustment, which resulted in 32 listings after screening for close prices prior to the 252-day high and volume prior to the 20-day mean. A split-only recheck removed 12 dividend-adjusted highs, leaving 20 listings, including cash and structured funds and SPACs. Operating candidates included MG, HALO, TH, DSX, MTW, HAFN, TRMD, HZO, NEO, NTRA, MPC, TWST, SMTC, VNCE, ETS, and TJGC. ETFs, debentures, and SPACs were not assumed to be operating companies. A review of 12 world series listings, including Tokyo, Hong Kong, and European stocks like SAP, ASML, NOVO, and SHEL, found no listings above their annual highs. The history for SAP, ASML, and NOVO ended on September 16, while quotes were available until September 18, resulting in a staleness gap. An analysis of 10 cryptocurrencies, including BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX, DOGE, LINK, LTC, BCH, DOT, and UNI, found no annual highs as of September 20. The prices of BTC and ETH were $81,164.345 and $2,643.9205, respectively, compared to their highs of $126,262.032 and $4,757.935. Sources for this information include Yahoo charts and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars. In conclusion, the broad US census is not exhaustive of global listings or FDA and court calendars, and excluded formats and short listing histories can hide opportunities. A snapshot of 403 listings was resolved via historical daily bars, and 429 listings were bounded by retry. All computed row metrics are being recorded via MCP after a direct journal API 401, with no writes. The source for this information is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. The current winner selection induces survivorship bias, and tests are not universe-level prospective performance.

A news scan found the report of a completed-bar technical attack and outer-universe screen. The premises are as follows: on September 1, 2018, HALO was at 112.45, which is higher than its prior 252-day high of 111.15, with a volume of 6.9306 times the normal volume, and TH was at 21.19, which is higher than 20.85, with a volume of 2.4195 times the normal volume. The Average True Range (ATR), a measure of price volatility, was 2.63679 and 1.042385, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of price momentum, was 69.895 and 67.822. The Simple Moving Average (SMA) over 200 days was 75.891 and 13.371. Financing may have affected volume, and there was no new bar over the weekend. NKE was at 35.51, which is below its SMA200 of 49.2956, with an RSI of 32.79 and a momentum of -10.7565%. The ATR was 0.9145. Although NKE is in a downtrend, it does not make an unaffordable or failed option pass. All seven additional crypto-linked and global US listings failed to reach their 52-week highs: IBIT was at 46.02, which is less than 71.82, ETHA was at 19.92, which is less than 36.04, COIN was at 194.25, which is less than 402.16, MSTR was at 153.92, which is less than 365.21, BABA was at 113.24, which is less than 190.95, TSM was at 434.67, which is less than 477.99, and ASML was at 1679.92, which is less than 1997.76. The conclusion is that there was no new breakout from this bounded outer ring, and there is no crypto spot substitute in the long-option mandate. The prior broad 1595 history screen is inherited, not rerun, and the exact state of all 17 names is recorded as observations. The source of this information is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars SIP/all.

A news scan found the following text: Premises: 1 Recomputed 285 completed SIP/all bars from August 2025 to September 18, 2026. The stock HALO had a price of 112.45, which is higher than its prior 252-day intraday high of 111.15, with a volume 6.93064 times higher than its prior 20-day volume. The stock TH had a price of 21.19, which is higher than 20.85, with a volume 2.41955 times higher. The stock WOR had a price of 57.38, which is lower than its prior high of 62.90, despite having a volume 2.3207 times higher. The stock MRK had a price of 146.87, which is lower than 156, despite having a volume 3.1588 times higher. The stock MLKN had a price of 20.66, which is lower than 24.51, despite having a volume 3.0194 times higher. The stock WOR is above its Simple Moving Average, or SMA, of 200 days, which is 54.8321, with an Average True Range, or ATR, of 201.955185, and a Relative Strength Index, or RSI, of 48.9623. The stock MRK is above its SMA of 200 days, which is 118.9127, with an ATR of 3.313, and an RSI of 56.9862. The conclusion is that volume alone does not create a 52-week breakout. The stocks HALO and TH will retain their technical eligibility, but financing flows remain an alternative explanation. The source of this information is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. This is an independent broad 1595 history screen from R92002, which was not rerun on unchanged weekend bars. This refresh is for 7 names, not the whole market census.

The latest completed data from September 18 shows that the stock price of HALO was 112.45, which is higher than its prior 252-day high of 111.15, with a volume of 6.93064. The stock price of TH was 21.19, higher than 20.85, with a volume of 2.41955. Fresh chain requests from September 20 returned indicative prices for HALO, TH, and SFIX. The selected quotes are present on the partial HALO and TH pages, but no full chain screen was claimed. The actual OPRA stop mark remains unknown, and metadata open interest is unknown from the prior audit, which was not zero. In conclusion, the quoted premium of 23/18 fits the 30 cap, and the gross tail pass remains unchanged. The next authorized run needs actual attainable quotes and honest sizing. No simulated stock stop substitutes for a 50% option stop. The source of this data includes https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HALO?feed=indicative, and https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/historical-option-data.

The R92004 breakout still meets the requirements. There are a few points to consider: 1. On September 18, the HALO stock closed at $112.45, which is higher than its previous high of $111.15 over 252 sessions, with a volume 6.93064 times the average volume over the past 20 sessions. The TH stock also exceeded its previous high of $20.85 with a volume of 2.41955 times the average. 2. On October 16, the C130 and C27 contracts for the stock are active American contracts with a multiplier of 100, but they have no open interest. The open interest figures of 3 and 13 mentioned earlier belonged to the C125 and C26 contracts. 3. The bid and ask prices of 0/.23 and.07/.18 suggest that selling the options would result in a loss of 100% or 61.11% of their value. These prices are modified quotes and not the actual best bid and offer. If the actual bid price were $0.07, buying the TH option at $0.13 would put the stop loss at $0.065, which is below the bid price. 4. The ask prices of $0.48 for the HALO C125 option and $0.52 for the TH C26 option exceed the $30 cap, despite the last trade of the TH C26 option being $0.19. In conclusion, the watch for this stock should be preserved, the actual price should be updated, and the stop loss should be verified before executing any trades. The sources of this information include https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, /data/option-chain/HALO?feed=indicative, /data/option-chain/TH?feed=indicative, and https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/historical-option-data.

A news scan found the headline 'R92002 exchange-directory screen finds eight volume-backed 52-week highs'. Premises: The Nasdaq Trader nasdaq listed and other listed directories contain 13,221 non-test rows, including one malformed symbol. After preferred-format batch failures were repaired, 12,836 alphabetic and dotted symbols were requested. IEX snapshots of 12,689 and 12,420 were taken, with usable current and prior bars. 1,643 non-ETF names with a price of $1 or more and reported dollar volume of $2 million or more received historical SIP bars. All 1,643 histories were returned, and 1,595 had 253 or more bars. A close on September 18 above the prior 252 intraday highs and volume of 1.5 times the prior 20-day mean, and prior 20-day dollar volume of $2 million or more, yielded eight results: HALO at $112.45 with a volume of 6.931 times, NEO at $19.91 with a volume of 2.537, NTRA at $369.39 with a volume of 3.095, SMTC at $185 with a volume of 1.699, TH at $21.19 with a volume of 2.420, TWST at $166.99 with a volume of 1.825, HZO at $52.56 with a volume of 1.717, and MPC at $424.89 with a volume of 3.965. The source of this information is https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt and otherlisted.txt, https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?feed=iex, and /data/stock-bars SIP/all. Recent SIP snapshots were 403, and the IEX partial-volume screen may miss liquid names. Stale IEX snapshots were retained for broad history screening, but only September 18 full bars qualified. 48 short histories were not declared failures. 15 selected international stocks and indexes showed zero close-high breaks, and ten crypto majors showed zero intraday-high and volume breaks using completed September 19 data. The international selection is bounded, not exhaustive. A huge raw return and name mapping requires a corporate-action audit, and no trade can be made from movers alone. This repairs prior narrow 13-name coverage but does not establish an exhaustive catalyst census.

The R92000 screen, which looks at 13 specific stocks, did not find any completed 52-week breakout. This screen uses daily stock prices from September 18, with 931 prices per stock since January 2023, and 29778 to 90 observations. The screen includes well-known stocks, foreign stocks listed in the US, biotech stocks, and stocks related to cryptocurrency. A 52-week breakout happens when a stock's price is higher than its highest price in the last 52 weeks. For each stock, the screen checks if the closing price is below the highest price in the last 252 sessions. For example, one stock had a low of 46.67 and a high of 65.06, with a volume 1.442 times average, a 50-day moving average of 50.7544, and a 200-day moving average of 46.0587. Another stock, SFIX, had a low of 2.84 and a high of 5.94. The screen also looked at COIN, HOOD, and MSTR, but none of them met the criteria for a 52-week breakout. The screen only looks at these 13 stocks, not the whole market, and excludes very small stocks that may not have enough buyers and sellers. The data comes from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/most-actives.

A technical screen of four stocks, including CAG, ABVX, IONS, and SFIX, was completed on September 18, using daily observations from a dataset found at https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. The screen found that CAG's price of 15.13 was below its 50-day moving average of 15.1632 and its 200-day moving average of 15.3402, with an average true range over 20 days of 0.38701, a realized volatility over 20 days of 22.486%, and a 20-session momentum of -7.0068%. The stock's volume was 2.253 times its prior 20-day average, with a 252-day high of 19.59. ABVX's price of 105.04 was below its 200-day moving average of 118.9799, with a high of 148.83 and volume of 0.784 times its prior average. IONS' price of 44.44 was below its 200-day moving average of 72.1822, with a high of 86.74 and volume of 2.100 times its prior average. SFIX's price of 2.84 was below its 200-day moving average of 3.9037, with a high of 5.94 and volume of 2.016 times its prior average. The conclusion is that none of these stocks qualified for a buy signal based on a 52-week high breakout, and high volume alone does not necessarily indicate buying pressure. The 20-day downside trend in CAG is context for a potential put, but it is not independent proof of the direction of the event. It is possible for a near-term rebound to occur even with weak averages, and correlated trend indicators should not be stacked as independent votes. This screen is limited to these four stocks and is not an exhaustive review of the entire market. The trading sample and event chronology remain separate, and there is no substitute for equity or spot under the long-options-only mandate.

A news scan found the headline 'R91906 BlackBerry regime: above long trend, below intermediate trend, no high breakout'. The analysis of BlackBerry's stock trend is based on 931 daily bars from January 2023 to September 18, 2026, with a delayed cutoff of 403. The data comes from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. On September 18, the close was 7.99, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) was 7.851, the 50-day SMA was 8.5168, and the 200-day SMA was 6.1538. The Average True Range (ATR) for 20 days was 0.35762, and the Relative Volatility (RV) for 20 days was 56.0907%. The volume ratio was 1.49556, which is below the 1.5 threshold. The Wilder Relative Strength Index (RSI) for 14 days was 48.42092, and the 252-day high was 13.59. Since the stock is above the 200-day SMA but below the 50-day SMA and far below the high, the trend is mixed. The ratio of 1.4956 is below the 1.5 threshold, so it does not meet the criteria. The only event eligible for consideration is the issuer event on September 24, according to https://investors.blackberry.com/. In the 13 pre-event states, the correlations were: momentum (mom) 20 and distance 50, 0.838; RSI and distance 50, 0.876; and RSI and mom 20, 0.897. These redundant tape transforms are not independent votes. The trend can change at the same earnings, and the stop is on option 50% paid, with full premium at risk, not underlying ATR. There is no present breakout trade.

The stock SFIX has completed a move on September 18 with a price of $2.84, which is below its 20-day moving average of $3.04725, 50-day moving average of $3.504, and 200-day moving average of $3.9037. The lowest price in the last 252 sessions was $2.81, while the highest was $5.94. Recently, the stock's volume was 2.015883 times its 20-session mean, with a 20-session return of -14.97006%. The Average True Range (ATR) over 20 sessions is $0.1217, which is 4.2852% of the stock's price, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) over 14 sessions is 34.58576. The Realized Volatility (RV) over 20 sessions is 41.42043%. This data comes from a stock market analysis tool. Overall, the trend is weak with increased trading activity near the lows, but it does not meet the criteria for a high-volume 52-week high. The price, moving averages, and RSI are related and do not provide independent signals. The eligibility for an event is based solely on the issuer's announcement on September 23. It is worth noting that a low RSI can sometimes precede a significant earnings recovery, but this does not imply any specific direction. For this option, stops should not be used based on the stock's ATR, and the entire premium remains at risk. No technical strategy is being used, and no breakout result is being substituted for an earnings-option backtest.