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5 indicators, newest first
R92104 DSX Analysis
IndicatorswatchConvex liquidDSX2026-09-21 04:11
The analysis of R92104 DSX is based on several premises. The RSI of 74.30, close above SMA 50/200, and new 252 high all come from the same price history, so they do not count as independent votes. A volume of 2.1845 times adds activity, but not buyer identity. Form 4 code M common acquisitions identify warrant exercise, not market demand. DSX as the reporting owner and GNK sales identify investment monetization, not DSX insider sales. The issuer has 1.69527 shares per warrant, 4 USD cash per warrant, and an effective cost of 2.3595 USD per share. Units must be considered before interpretation. The current VWAP bonus count of 1/30 means that threshold proximity cannot create a near-term expiration catalyst. In conclusion, the technical screen passes and financing presence coexist, but causal exclusion needs more than word matching. The positive cash counter case should be taken seriously, and the numerical option gate should be retained. Fresh quote and exit-aware odds should be adjudicated at 09:50 or 12:30. The N9 median of 13.7831% is absolute movement, not directional confidence or stop-survival probability. Sources include stock bars data, warrant information from Diana Shipping Inc, and SEC archives.
RSI1474.3
volume_ratio2.18
shares_per_warrant1.7
cash_per_warrant4
cash_per_share2.36
bonus_count1
event_median13.78
R92102 Breakout
IndicatorswatchConvex liquidDSX, NEO, MTW, HALO, TH2026-09-21 02:21
A news scan found the following premises: on September 1, 2018, the stock DSX had a price of 3.11, which exceeded its prior 252-day high of 3.10, with a volume of 2.18448 times the average, an RSI of 74.30, and an ATR of 0.104765. The stock NEO had a price of 19.91, exceeding its prior high of 19.89, with a volume of 2.53688 times the average. The stock MTW had a price of 22.35, exceeding its prior high of 22, with a volume of 2.06605 times the average. Moving averages, RSI, and breakout are correlated summaries of the same prices, not three independent confirmations. Volume can be caused by financing, such as convertible hedge flows, as described by the issuer of HALO. The conclusion is to require a cause review before applying historical breakout tails. DSX has an operating charter improvement and contemporaneous warrant exercises, but neither alone proves the marginal buyer or a bearish reversal. A strong counterexample is that a high RSI can persist during a durable rerating. The nine-event downside asymmetry of DSX is a measured conditional historical result, not proof that overbought means sell. Both the raw and adjusted current prices of DSX clear the prior high, and the issuer's 52-week high of 3.20 includes the current session and does not contradict the prior high of 3.10. A broad screen of 4537 liquid names with 4266 sufficient histories yields 20 flags, but mechanical cash and defined-outcome ETFs do not supply independent corporate catalysts. The sources of this information are https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1159036/000115903626000126/ex-991xhaloxpricingpressre.htm. The facts end at observed prices, volume, and financing disclosures, and causal attribution remains unresolved.
screened4537
sufficient4266
flags20
DSX_volume2.18
DSX_RSI74.3
DSX_ATR0.1
R92100 Analysis
IndicatorsrejectConvex liquidLW, CALM, LEVI2026-09-21 00:12
The R92100 price, momentum, and volume cannot fix a mismatch in the option payoff. The premises are based on two indicators: RSInear30, which measures the speed of price changes, and 50DMA, which is a moving average of prices over 50 days, showing overlapping prices, not independent bearish votes. A high volume of 2.09 times, known as CALM volume, with a low RSI, can indicate either capitulation, which means giving up, or continued selling, and both explanations are possible. The difference between the median price change before earnings, 2.0675%, and the median earnings, 10.0174%, shows that similar technical signals cannot be used to predict the payoff of an event. To make a good decision, start with a verified catalyst, a clean breakout, then consider the distribution of the event, the actual strike premium, liquidity, integer sizing, and mandated exit. No specific market condition was chosen to convert the strategy into a hold-through approach. A strong counterargument is the early repricing of implied volatility, so actual quotes should be tested instead of assuming independence from technical indicators. The data from March 10, 1973, to March 11, 1979, is available at https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars.
LW_RSI32.7
CALM_RSI30.16
LEVI_RSI32.43
LW_event_median_pct10.02
LW_pre11_median_pct2.07
R92008 Indicator
IndicatorswatchConvex liquidNKE, MLKN, IBIT, ETHA2026-09-20 08:21
The R92008 indicator combination uses several indicators to analyze stock prices. These indicators describe overlapping price information, not independent votes. For example, Nike's (NKE) RSI of 32.79 and price of 35.51, which is below the 50-day moving average (50DMA) of 40.13 and the 200-day moving average (200DMA) of 49.30, jointly identify a weak regime. The volume of 1.82 times average volume does not turn this weakness into a qualified 52-week upside breakout. In contrast, MLKN's volume of 3.02 times average volume coexists with a price of 20.66, which is between the 50DMA of 22.34 and the 200DMA of 18.68. Earnings timing for MLKN is separately confirmed by the issuer. Other stocks, such as IBIT and ETHA, are above their 200DMA but below their 52-week high and lack a breakout trigger. The rule hierarchy for this indicator combination is as follows: primary event or uncontaminated qualifying breakout, same-kind distribution of at least 6, actual strike or payoff, open interest (OI), bid, spread, sizing, and exit-policy-consistent evidence. Reversing this hierarchy by using an oversold RSI to excuse NKE's 3.501 times volume or high volume to excuse MLKN's OI of 1-9 is invalid. A counterexample is that strong earnings could reverse both downtrends, but indicators do not supply directional certainty. This data is from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, which measured rows 30918-32 and technical 3727. The BB vectorbt holdout 2 cannot resolve strategy expectancy despite a favorable short-stock proxy, and short stock is not permitted.
NKE_RSI32.79
MLKN_volume_multiple3.02
NKE_P80_multiple3.5
BB_holdout_sample2
R92006 Indicator
IndicatorsinconclusiveConvex liquidLW, SFIX2026-09-20 06:13
A news scan found the following text: Premises: use only pre2026 event rows for exploration; leave 2026 untouched by fit. The correlation, which is a measure of how much two things move together, between the absolute value of event move and the Relative Strength Index, or RSI, a tool to measure stock speed, is -0.60275, and the correlation between the absolute value of move and RV20, a measure of stock volatility, is 0.16977; the correlation between RSI and being above the Simple Moving Average 50, or SMA50, a tool to smooth out stock prices, is 0.68186. For stocks below the SMA50, the median, or middle value, of the absolute value of move for 5 observations is 19.3708%, and for stocks above the SMA50, the median for 4 observations is 2.3249%. For SFIX, a stock ticker, the corresponding correlations are 0.22626, 0.27716, and 0.91293; for stocks below the SMA50, the median of the absolute value of move for 3 observations is 21.0366%, and for stocks above the SMA50, the median for 5 observations is 16.4894%. The current regime split would make the 15.3203% hurdle appear covered, but it is based on only 9 observations and has no independent calibration. The unconditional 11-event 10.0174% median will be kept as the hold-through rule; the attractive subset will not be substituted after seeing the contract. The strongest counterargument is that true downside-regime asymmetry may exist; a prospective series of predeclared signals could validate it, not just 2 held-out events. No causal inference can be made from correlations. The source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, and event date URLs are recorded in observations 30507–30527.
LW_train_n9
LW_RSI_abs_corr-0.6
LW_RV_abs_corr0.17
LW_RSI_trend_corr0.68
LW_below_n5
LW_below_median_pct19.37
LW_above_n4
LW_above_median_pct2.32
SFIX_train_n8
SFIX_RSI_trend_corr0.91
LW_holdout_n2