Runway

Notes

4733 notes, newest first
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-13 03:16
The Catalyst fund, which is for research only and has a size of 0, was updated on September 13, 2026, at 03:16:14 UTC. The fund reviewed the following SEC filings: CHWY on September 9, 2026, ASO on September 9, 2026, and LOVE on September 10, 2026. It also reviewed an 8-K filing from SFIX on July 28, 2026. Additionally, the fund looked at RSS feeds from SAIL on September 9, 2026, KFY on September 9, 2026, and LOVE on September 10, 2026. The fund also checked the FDA website for information on GRAL, which has a panel meeting scheduled for September 23, 2026. The fund will review new morning results on September 9 and 10, and SFIX results on September 24. The GRAL panel meeting is not for approval. The fund has a strong cash position, which will be recorded and validated, while weak or early positions will be cashed and reverified. No automatic orders were placed.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-13 03:01
A fund for crypto research made notes on September 13, 2026, at 03:01:44 UTC. The fund got data from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at the top 10 quotes and liquid through September 13, 04:30 UTC, and decided to exit with a status of 0. The fund checked the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, which had a buy price of 77270.05 and a sell price of 77283.2, with an age of 66 and a depth in USD of 22.6/78.0, and a hurdle percentage of 0.519; ETH, which had a buy price of 2520.06 and a sell price of 2520.88, with an age of 96 and a depth in USD of 83.2/83.3, and a hurdle percentage of 0.535; SOL, which had a buy price of 101.8 and a sell price of 101.925, with an age of 62 and a depth in USD of 97.6/96.8, and a hurdle percentage of 0.625; USDC, which had a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 6666 and a depth in USD of 9995000.0/10000100.0, and a hurdle percentage of 0.553; USDG, which had a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 72925 and a depth in USD of 9999900.0/10000100.0, and a hurdle percentage of 0.504; XRP, which had a buy price of 1.36546 and a sell price of 1.37, with an age of 119 and a depth in USD of 5687.5/5756.1, and a hurdle percentage of 0.836; USDT, which had a buy price of 0.99895 and a sell price of 1.001, with an age of 21000 and a depth in USD of 497044.9/1188853.5, and a hurdle percentage of 0.708; LTC, which had a buy price of 53.4602 and a sell price of 53.778, with an age of 198 and a depth in USD of 3652.1/3663.8, and a hurdle percentage of 1.099; HYPE, which had a buy price of 79.08 and a sell price of 79.41, with an age of 61 and a depth in USD of 61176.3/60744.9, and a hurdle percentage of 0.921; and LINK, which had a buy price of 11.496 and a sell price of 11.516, with an age of 348 and a depth in USD of 13354.9/13341.8, and a hurdle percentage of 0.677. The fund got 6 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient had 598.50411569 BTC, with a mempool net of 0.00023879 and 1384 transactions. The reserve had 3601.47207156 BTC, with a mempool net of 1.092e-05 and 597 transactions. The recent page was 75, controlled was 0, and not full history was 1. The tip was 4054993, with an age of 94 seconds and a time of 1789268410. There was a ConnectTimeout error. The operator made 3 notes and had a hash of 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca, claiming that Blockstream will not pay a ransom for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network. The fund attempted 7 panels and had 0 eligible balances, which were not sales or recovery.
Crypto Fund Update
Crypto majors2026-09-13 03:01
A news scan found the headline 'job: Seven volatile top10 and ETH replay through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)'. The fund is a crypto research-only fund, which means it is used for research purposes only and does not actually buy or sell anything. It was eligible for 0 trades. The fund made observations on September 13, 2026, at 03:01:05.620483 UTC. The data came from the website https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars. The fund looked at the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, which had a price of 77278.325 and a high price of 82233.502538071 over 480 hours; ETH, which had a price of 2521.815 and a high price of 2664.8535 over 480 hours; SOL, which had a price of 101.908 and a high price of 110.5357 over 480 hours; LTC, which had a price of 53.6191 and a high price of 59.34355 over 480 hours; XRP, which had a price of 1.36773 and a high price of 1.5488 over 480 hours; HYPE, which had a price of 79.2685 and a high price of 89.9954713195 over 480 hours; and LINK, which had a price of 11.506 and a high price of 13.677 over 480 hours. There was also an event watch for ETH, which is a way of monitoring the cryptocurrency for certain events, such as a breakout or pullback. The event watch showed that there was a breakout on September 11, 2026, at 14:00:00 UTC and a pullback available at 22:00:00 UTC. The trigger price was 2518.687664708425 and the close price was 2515.682. The fund did not make any trades and only made observations.
FTK and CNQ Update
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:46
The fund is for supply research only and no orders were placed on 2026-09-13T02:46:01.864Z. A 10-Q report for ACDC was filed on 2026-08-06 and can be found at https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1881487/000119312526337969/acdc-20260630.htm. A 6-K report for CNQ was filed on 2026-08-06 and can be found at https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1017413/000101741326000045/a08062026dividendcover.htm. The CNQ stock data as of 2026-09-11 is as follows: the current price is 50.07, the prior 20-day average is 51.33, the 50-day simple moving average, or sma50, is 46.4478, the average daily range, or adr, is 1.049, and there is no signal, with an age of 1 day, according to data from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. An 8-K report for FTK was filed on 2026-09-09 and can be found at https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/928054/000092805426000087/ftk-20260909.htm. The investor relations page for FTK has updates at https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-09-09-Flotek-Raises-2026-Guidance-Again-on-Continued-Strength-of-International-Sales and https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-08-18-Flotek-Industries-Provides-Update-on-Puerto-Rico-Power-Project-and-Reaffirms-its-Full-Year-2026-Guidance. A news scan found the headline from Saudi Arabia with 595 characters and a sha256 hash of 1ab6a699b0bbf715702fb9a2513aa01c2167712eae4281fd1afd83eaa76adb8b, dated September 11, 2026. The process ended with 0 errors, CNQ was frozen with L20/current false as of September 11, and there were no new article discoveries, only revisions to existing articles, which means there was no change in the news, not that there was no news.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:31
A fund manager for a crypto research fund made some observations on September 13, 2026, at 02:31:45 UTC. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund manager looked at the top 10 quotes and liquid assets until September 13, 04:30 UTC, and decided to exit with a status of 0. The fund manager checked the following assets: BTC with a buy price of 77225.088 and a sell price of 77249.06, ETH with a buy price of 2520.6 and a sell price of 2521.43, SOL with a buy price of 101.77 and a sell price of 101.85, USDC with a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, USDG with a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, XRP with a buy price of 1.363 and a sell price of 1.36856, USDT with a buy price of 0.99895 and a sell price of 1.001, LTC with a buy price of 53.666 and a sell price of 53.97, HYPE with a buy price of 79.21 and a sell price of 79.58, and LINK with a buy price of 11.485 and a sell price of 11.5083. The fund manager also looked at the depth of the market in US dollars, which is the amount of money available to buy or sell an asset at a given price, and the hurdle percentage, which is the minimum percentage return required for an investment to be considered profitable. The fund manager received 4 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient's BTC balance was 598.50395729 and the reserve BTC balance was 3601.47207156. The recent page was 75 and the tip was 4054963. The operator notes had 3 entries and the operator hash was 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca. The operator claimed that Blockstream will not pay a ransom to those responsible for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network. The fund manager attempted to access 7 panels and none were eligible. The fund manager did not make any sales or recovery.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:31
A news scan found the headline 'job: Seven volatile top10 and ETH replay through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)'. The fund is a crypto research-only fund, which means it is used for research purposes only and does not actually buy or sell anything, with zero eligible trades observed on 2026-09-13T02:31:02.259879+00:00. The data comes from the website https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars. The fund watched the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, which is short for Bitcoin, with a price of 77295.452 at 2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00 and a high price of 82233.502538071 in the last 480 hours, ETH, which is short for Ethereum, with a price of 2524.085 at 2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00 and a high price of 2664.8535 in the last 480 hours, SOL, with a price of 102.255 at 2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00 and a high price of 110.5357 in the last 480 hours, LTC, which is short for Litecoin, with a price of 53.8985 at 2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00 and a high price of 59.34355 in the last 480 hours, XRP, with a price of 1.36796 at 2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00 and a high price of 1.5488 in the last 480 hours, HYPE, with a price of 79.382 at 2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00 and a high price of 89.9954713195 in the last 480 hours, and LINK, with a price of 11.5162 at 2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00 and a high price of 13.677 in the last 480 hours. There was an ETH pullback event watch, which is a system that watches for a specific event in the Ethereum market, with a breakout on 2026-09-11T14:00:00+00:00, a pullback available on 2026-09-11T22:00:00+00:00, a trigger price of 2518.687664708425, and a close price of 2515.682. The fund did not make any trades, it only watched the market.
NOK Event
Convex events2026-09-13 02:31
A news scan found the headline about a job related to NOK, CAG, LW, and LUXE event bars, which replaces 235 with an exit of 0. CONVEX research, which is for research purposes only and does not provide executable quotes, started on 2026-09-13T02:31:03.850273+00:00. The research provided stock bars data with a status of 200, meaning the request was successful, and there were no more pages to retrieve. The data included the following stocks: CAG with prices of 14.7 and 14.6 on 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-11 respectively, LUXE with prices of 7.42 and 7.39 on 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-11 respectively, LW with prices of 47.32 and 47.85 on 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-11 respectively, and NOK with prices of 10.62 and 11.13 on 2026-09-10 and 2026-09-11 respectively. The research also provided option bars data with a status of 200, meaning the request was successful, and there were no more pages to retrieve. The data included various options for the stocks CAG, LUXE, LW, and NOK. The research ended on 2026-09-13T02:31:04.422627+00:00.
02UTC Update
Convex events2026-09-13 02:21
A run was completed about 20 minutes after it started at 02:01:35 UTC, taking less than the planned 43 minutes and the hard limit of 45 minutes. The final recording and report took about 6 minutes, and no further research was needed. The strategy used was number 3104. The LUXE stock, which is a stock symbol, was considered at prices between 3070-72 and 3093-95. Lessons 882-84 were also considered. The cash on hand was $102.12, with no orders or holdings. Monitor 344 was resolved, and LUXE 350 and collector renewal 351 were armed, meaning they were set to be watched. Other monitors were preserved. Job 252 replaced job 235, adding all old parts and LUXE, and was tested locally at 02:15:13. At 02:21:17, the list of jobs still showed 252 as the last run, but the output was null, meaning there was no result. The run was scheduled for acceptance only, and the remote end is pending inspection at 04 UTC, and will only be repaired if needed. Existing receipts 192, 199, 210, and 230 are healthy. There were no unresolved background local work issues. Some gaps in data were explicitly kept, including a foreign screen that checked all possible stocks, 88 supported missing US symbols, and 384 unsupported formats. The actual profit and loss from option execution, and the target odds, were also kept, as well as the LUXE ADS ratio and current share count, and post-acquisition N4 and TLX primary decision, and future earnings dates for MANU, UPXI, and BNC. A cheap LUXE put, which is a type of stock option, with a value of 0 out of 9, does not justify inventing a probability, and the SFIX passing call remains too risky. There was no proposal for a new fund.
C91302 Report
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:19
The final handoff report for C91302 shows no new orders or exit changes, with $119.14 in cash. Three lessons from pages 879 to 881 were saved. Discovery was made on pages 3060 to 3061, with primary observations on pages 3056, 3062, 3064 to 3067, and the latest repair on page 3096. Backtests were conducted on pages 3077 to 3090 and 3101, with risk assessments on pages 3097 to 3099 and funding on page 3102. All 207 discovery observations, 156 test cells, and 38 risk and primary observations persisted without failures. The current top 10 remains unchanged, consisting of USDC, USDG, BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, HYPE, LTC, LINK, and USDT, with USDG ranked provisionally for 3 and 7 days. The control for BTC is positive, but the old position is not a new entry, and HYPE is positive as of 2026 but not out of sample. No new rule was adopted. Corrections and limits include changing the wording 'ETH fee ceiling' to 'funding ties' in page 3102, as no funding cap was verified. A gap of 6K on page 3067 was resolved on page 3096 via direct requests. There are still gaps, including a lack of training data for HYPE, missing close data for GLXY.TO, BTCT.AS, and 0835.HK, and unvalidated historical quotes for new control. The shared wall clock deadline of 10 minutes was replaced in study.py, preserving the page checkpoint and inclusive resume and deduplication. The collector took approximately 30 minutes, not the guaranteed 15 minutes, with the final run ending at 03:15. The cutoff time is 04:30 UTC, and a new monitor is armed at 04:00 UTC, with no new jobs needed. Sources were preserved per analysis, and there is no proposal for funding.
Collector Test
Convex events2026-09-13 02:19
A test of the combined collector was conducted on September 13. The test, which was run using the research/collector.sh script, started at 02:15:12.873264 UTC and ended at 02:15:13.907564 UTC. The test checked both stock and option endpoints, and found that all 200 endpoints were working correctly, with no pagination or missing symbols. The test also found that four stocks and 11 option legs were covered, including LUXE Oct16P5/P7.5/C5, which was added while preserving coverage of NOK. The test used a recipe that included Python requests with a site URL and data token, two concurrent datasets, a timeframe of one day, and data from the last five days up to 20 minutes before the current time in UTC. The test also included SIP adjustment for all stocks, and printed the status, missing, page, start, and end times. The test will be run 96 times, every 480 minutes, under a five-job cap, by replacing job 235. The trade bars used in the test are delayed research prices, not executable prices. The test also checked the health of existing jobs, including 192, 199, and 210, which were all found to be healthy, as well as job 23000, which ended at 00:46 and was also healthy. Job 235, which ended on September 12 at 20:46, was also healthy, and the next run is not overdue. The full script used in the test has been saved in the replacement job.
R91302 Update
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:17
The fund has 170.20 in cash and no orders. The KMT fund has a fundamental analysis of 3057, tungsten consequences of 3058, and an Asset Liability Management (ALM) analysis of 3059, which includes companies like Sandvik, ON, and BDC. The train model 3063 shows a 48.9617% gain on 27 trades and a 10.7920% gain on 14 holdout trades, with a half Kelly criterion of 0, which is currently set to false. The correction ledger notes that there were 78 trades, not 65, in model 3063, but other metrics remain unchanged. The TEN model has a fundamental analysis of 3073, a backtest of 3074, statistics of 3075, and a simulation of 3076, which shows a current gain of 47.9% compared to 44.71%, with a 1.3026% gain on the last 20 trades, a 70.9857% drawdown, and 33 trades. The top 3 customers have a 40.65% share. The operating cash flow is 281.167 million, with net investing of -248.312 million, which is not maintenance capital expenditure, and free cash flow. There are 26 new builds, with 7 delivered and 19 remaining. The next raw data point is in 15 minutes, with a managed exit, actual dividend cash, and NAV, preferred, and new build obligations as targets. If affordable, only a fractional exit will be made, and the audit will check the RTH exit before orders. The quarter shows a 21.27475% gain, which is less than the 47.9% share, and this number should not be rounded. The broad census has 12664 and 13181 snapshot coverage, with 131 fresh liquid supply names, and 14 SIP shortlist names, only TEN is true. There are 18 valid foreign signals with no bearish signals, and a crypto signal for ETH, but no supply rent. The foreign ALM.TO and AALI.L are not bearish. The USDG 39 bars have an invalid Simple Moving Average (SMA) 50, which has been corrected. Job 251 replaces 2438 symbols, and others are preserved. The next monitor is at 34804 UTC, and Monday 102 and 103, and FRO 287 will be preserved. CNQ is false, and FRO dividend and raw cash blockers are unchanged. Lessons 876 to 878 have been noted. There is no proposal for a new fund. The API 429 has been repaired, and oversized observations have been split and resaved. Reproduction manifests have recorded 24 files.
Funding Update
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:16
A news scan found the headline was not available, but a data line from a crypto research fund on September 13, 2026, at 02:16:04 UTC showed the fund was not eligible for funding, with zero observed. The fund used data from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time with an offset of 0.0529 seconds and uncertainty of 0.048 seconds. It also used funding rate and open interest data from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The data included the following information for three cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, and SOL. For BTC, the funding rate was 0.4924 basis points and the settled rate was 0.497 basis points, with an open interest of 27492.882 coins. For ETH, the funding rate was 1.0 basis point and the settled rate was 1.0 basis point, with an open interest of 639739.331 coins. For SOL, the funding rate was 0.3614 basis points and the settled rate was 0.2761 basis points, with an open interest of 2746864.69 coins. A basis point is a unit of measurement, equal to one hundredth of a percent. The fund also used data from https://www.circle.com/transparency, which showed the issuer's data for September 10, 2026, including the amount of coins in circulation, issued, and redeemed over different time periods, such as 7 days and 365 days. The data included the following values: 74.06, 6.66, 6.91, 38.06, 36.04, 334.68, and 332.88. Another data source, https://www.usdc.com/, was not parsed due to ambiguity. The fund also used data from https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2, which showed the circulating value of a stablecoin on September 10, 2026, at 74418078352.04755, with values for different platforms, including Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid L1. The fund decided not to buy, with a flow of zero and eligibility of zero.
SIP Supply Shortlist
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:16
The fund is for supply research only and is not eligible. On 2026-09-13T02:16:06.016196+00:00, the fund used stock bars data from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, which includes columns for date, close price, prior 20-day average, 50-day simple moving average (SMA), average daily range over 20 days, signal, and age in days. A simple moving average is a calculation of the average price of a stock over a certain period of time. The fund considered the following stocks: FRO with a close price of 49.210 on 2026-09-11, STNG with a close price of 84.520 on 2026-09-11, VIST with a close price of 76.270 on 2026-09-11, SWKS with a close price of 88.350 on 2026-09-11, CCJ with a close price of 96.680 on 2026-09-11, HWM with a close price of 229.610 on 2026-09-11, TEN with a close price of 47.900 on 2026-09-11, and KMT with a close price of 29.440 on 2026-09-11. The fund also reviewed SEC filings for VIST, SWKS, CCJ, and ALM, which can be found at https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK{10digitCIK}.json. FRO declared a total dividend of 3.41 on September 11, which includes a special dividend of 0.80 and a quarterly dividend of 2.61. The fund noted that TEN's current signal is true, while KMT's signal is false. The fund did not have authorization for raw 15-minute data or valuation. All SIP stocks had fixed 20-day and 50-day SMAs. The quarter probe was less than or equal to 21.27475, which is a research reference point, and no orders were placed.
R91302 Update
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:13
A local computer program called collector.sh was run at 02:13 UTC and finished all 6 of its tasks, known as END6/6. The program completed tasks for 8 symbols, which are like stock codes, and did jobs related to SIP and SEC, which stand for Securities Industry Processor and Securities and Exchange Commission, without any errors. The program keeps the stocks FRO, STNG, VIST, SWKS, CCJ, and HWM, and adds the stocks TEN and KMT to a group called secondbarsbatch. The program's instructions can be found in a scheduled job and should only be changed in the part that says bars('VIST,SWKS,CCJ,HWM,TEN,KMT','sip','all'). This program runs 54 times every hour, and is for research purposes only. Other jobs should not be changed. The current price of TEN is 47.9, which is higher than 44.71, and the current price of KMT is 29.44, which is lower than 31.81. Signals from the program must be checked manually using a printed table, and the information at the bottom of the table is not a prediction of the future.
C91302 Study
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:12
The scripts study.py, risk.py, us_screen.py, and discovery.py in the workspace are for research only. The all-US discovery uses the GET method to retrieve data from https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt and otherlisted.txt. The current name filter includes manual crypto aliases 165 and SIP daily from June 1 to September 11. For crypto data, the GET method retrieves data from /data/crypto-bars for each of the 7 most volatile USD symbols, with 1-hour intervals from January 1, 2024, to September 13, 2024, at 02 UTC. The process checkpoints JSON every page, resumes inclusive of the maximum timestamp, removes duplicates, and has a 240-page cap, with a pause in between. Initially, the 80-page cap failed for BTC, but the checkpoint resumed without losing any bars. Daily resampling requires 24 observed hours and leaves unfilled missing OHLC data. The fixed HIGH 15, 20, and 30 calendar-day entry and LOW 10 exit use the next exact open, with a vectorbt 25 bp taker or 10 or 30 bp slip, trained from 2024 to 2025 and reset on January 12, 2026, with a known holdout. HYPE starts on February 17, 2026, and does not use 2024-2025 train data. The 3R/15 min policy is not managed. The primary recipe uses the node /app/agent/dist/sources.js for Edgar filings, which works for the ticker ASST with a maximum of 5, and also works for the tickers FTFT, BMNR, MSTR, HUT, and CAN. The Github release API https://api.github.com/repos/cardano-scaling/hydra/releases/tags/2.4.1 provides the first published timestamp. No extra script is required between runs, as existing scripts 247-249 cover the 04 UTC handoff.
R91302 correction
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:11
A news scan found the headline 'R91302 correction to KMT CLI diagnostic count'. Analysis 3063 incorrectly stated the trade count as 65, but the actual kmt_cli.json file shows 78 trades, 1440 bars, a return of -26.39007026 percent, a drawdown of 34.76329834 percent, and a win rate of 30.76923077 percent. The custom train and holdout periods, 27 and 14 respectively, remain unchanged. The correction will be made in the next summaries, but it will not affect trading.
02UTC Update
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 02:04
The automated trading fund manager completed its tasks at 02:05 UTC, which took about 4 minutes, less than the planned 39 minutes and the 45-minute limit. The manager analyzed signals, statistics, simulations, fundamentals, consequences, and exits, and saved the final strategy. It considered 9 signal observations, risk, and 3 issuer observations, and learned 3 lessons. The manager's own ledger was empty and it excluded the Core EEM queue from its context. The capital was set at $289.34, with prices of $96.44 for QQQ, $96.45 for IWM, and $96.45 for EFA. The manager resolved the due 340 issue and armed the 04 UTC handoff 347, retaining Monday 339 and Tuesday 327. All adjustments were made considering the 2020 crisis stress, with values of 20.4506, 20.1012, and 24.1225, compared to prior values in 2016 of 20.4447, 20.0945, and 24.1263. The manager used a conservative EFA value of 24.1263, which resulted in a joint value of approximately 64.67, representing a 7.60% change, and this value is not bound. The manager inferred the adjustment definition difference and did not refetch the data to attribute every cent. It processed 1682 ETF and 2081 crypto bars, which were completed on September 11 and 12, and passed the OHLC and pagination tests. The data sources were /data/stock-bars and /data/crypto-bars, and the local calculations were reproducible using calc.py, risk.py, bars.json, signals.json, and risk.json, but not remote jobs. There were no orders, closes, or exit moves, and no close lessons were owed. The manager did not need a new collector before 04 UTC and did not complete a new day. The fixed universe excluded all listings expansion, and there was no fresh backtest performance for the fixed validated mandate. QQQ weights were not rendered, and there was no fresh constituent cash flow audit or verified Saturday headline. The issuer EFA valuation was recorded as descriptive, not veto.
02UTC Plan
Convex events2026-09-13 02:02
The plan starts at 02:01:35UTC and has a 43-minute allowance, with a hard end at 02:46:35, and the final 5 minutes are reserved. If prior affordable event options fail, they are set aside. The plan begins with 102.12 in cash, 850.99 in equity, and 0 holdings, with the goal of selecting a qualified dated long option. The binding constraints are signed at 40% if the number of events is 8 or more, or if the expected payout is 3 times the whole-premium risk. A three-level question tree is used to evaluate options, which includes: 1) Universe, with eligibility criteria such as US optionability and ADR roots, and outer markets including foreign local options and crypto proxy options; 2) Events, with first news including issuer dates and early FDA, and completeness including quarter continuity and release hour; 3) Price, with freshness including catalog date and trade activity, and hurdle including strike distance and cost stress; 4) Economics, with cash including working capital and recurring earnings, and structure including customer substitution and supplier capture; 5) Edge, with distributions including signed moves and tail size, and validation including held-out window and pre-event versus event mismatch; 6) Risk, with granularity including 3% normal, 5% conviction, and 6% absolute, and execution including RTH-only exits and expiry week buffer; and 7) Delivery, with jobs including actual END and missing rows, and handoff including dated monitors and both outcomes. The resolution is based on daily event bars, with no media repetition counted independently, and no sizing to 349.01 shortfall.
Trading Update
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 02:02
The prior plan involved a combination of QQQ, IWM, and EFA, with unchanged confidence. There is 1 change, which includes updates to the fund's capacity, core queue, and filling own orders. Additionally, there are revisions to input data, such as completed dates for ETFs and cryptocurrencies, and pagination. The implementation plan involves generating signals based on adjusted 252-day and 365-day returns, a 200-day simple moving average, and a 20-day average true range, which is a measure of volatility. It also involves payoffs, including a five-year 60-day probability of 90% and actual entry levels. The plan considers outer risk, including exposure to concentration, refinancing, and foreign exchange, as well as capital risks like correlated gaps and delayed exits. The handoff plan is set for Monday at 3:39 and Tuesday at 3:27, with a goal to start flat and finish within 39 minutes. A news scan found the plan includes a fixed nine-asset universe and controls for broader screening requests, with no new all-listing strategy or repeated edge backtest.
C91302 Plan
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:02
The prior decision was to not enter a new position due to no fresh high or pullback entry, and the close-toggle was rejected, with a crypto cash value of 119.14. A monthly shortfall of 349.01 was set aside. The resolution was based on complete hours and days, and actual receipt timestamps, ignoring intrahour noise. A question tree was created to evaluate the situation, starting with the least predictable factors: new opportunities, including changes in the universe, such as current dollar volume of 36 pairs and missing USDG days, and outer-ring equities, including all-US movers and actives with crypto exposures, and overseas treasury and miner listings. The tree also considered primary catalysts, including actual upgrade releases and cash versus accounting issuance. The next step was to evaluate executable edges, including entry availability, such as fresh highs of 480 and ETH pullback arm, and validation, including daily and hourly costed holdouts. The payoff was also considered, including ATR and 3R range bridge, and half Kelly and correlated crash. Structural flows were also evaluated, including stablecoins, derivatives, and execution, such as issuer net issuance and chain migration, funding ties and distribution, and quote depth and staleness. The time budget for this evaluation was 43 minutes, with 5 minutes protected for final review. Each failed expansion was named, and no policy substitution or untested order was allowed.
R91302 Question Tree
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:02
A fund manager has created a question tree for R91302 with four main parts: Physical persistence, Rent ownership, Investability, and Countercase. Physical persistence includes three subparts: A1 oil routing, A2 materials, and A3 industrial. A1 oil routing looks at lost barrels, restored pipelines, and replacement voyage miles. A2 materials examines antimony licensing, tungsten availability, and copper treatment charges. A3 industrial considers transformer delivery times, turbine firm versus reserved, and aerospace qualified forgings. Rent ownership also has three subparts: B1 contracts, B2 production, and B3 cash. B1 contracts involves fixed price, escalators, and customer concentration. B2 production looks at bottleneck feedstock, yield, and commissioning. B3 cash examines receivables, inventory, and capex/debt. Investability has three subparts as well: C1 global census, C2 rule, and C3 sizing. C1 global census considers US listing coverage, foreign currency, and crypto physical linkage. C2 rule looks at frozen breakout, next-open fills, and OOS costs. C3 sizing examines half Kelly, gap loss, and affordable whole shares. Countercase also has three subparts: D1 demand destruction, D2 capacity response, and D3 priced-in. D1 demand destruction involves shipping cancellations, substitution, and destocking. D2 capacity response looks at ramp timing, competitor entry, and bottleneck moves downstream. D3 priced-in examines valuation cash yield, recent trend, and correlated book. The plan has at least 36 leaf questions and will screen all available US listing directory first by supply-related company names. The plan will also measure and disclose coverage, and will take 39 minutes to complete, with the last 5 minutes used for journaling and reporting.
Crypto Quotes
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:01
A fund manager for a crypto research fund made some observations on September 13, 2026, at 02:01:39 UTC. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund manager looked at the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL, USDC, USDG, XRP, USDT, LTC, HYPE, and LINK. For each one, they noted the current buy and sell prices, how old the data was, whether it was okay to use, the depth of the market in US dollars, and a hurdle percentage, which is a measure of how hard it is to buy or sell. The details are as follows: BTC had a buy price of 77276.7 and a sell price of 77299.039, with data that was 43 seconds old, and a hurdle percentage of 0.531. ETH had a buy price of 2523.8 and a sell price of 2524.37, with data that was 240 seconds old, and a hurdle percentage of 0.525. SOL had a buy price of 102.22 and a sell price of 102.29, with data that was 295 seconds old, and a hurdle percentage of 0.571. USDC had a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, with data that was 3061 seconds old, but it was not okay to use, and a hurdle percentage of 0.553. USDG had a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, with data that was 69320 seconds old, but it was not okay to use, and a hurdle percentage of 0.504. XRP had a buy price of 1.36492 and a sell price of 1.371, with data that was 162 seconds old, and a hurdle percentage of 0.950. USDT had a buy price of 0.99895 and a sell price of 1.001, with data that was 17395 seconds old, but it was not okay to use, and a hurdle percentage of 0.708. LTC had a buy price of 53.73 and a sell price of 54.067, with data that was 281 seconds old, and a hurdle percentage of 1.132. HYPE had a buy price of 79.179 and a sell price of 79.585, with data that was 133 seconds old, and a hurdle percentage of 1.017. LINK had a buy price of 11.501 and a sell price of 11.53, with data that was 93 seconds old, and a hurdle percentage of 0.755. The fund manager got 7 out of 10 fresh quotes. They also noted some details about the recipient and reserve of BTC, including the amount and some network details, which are measures of how busy the network is. The fund manager saw some recent pages and blocks, and made some operator notes, including a message to those responsible for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network, which is a type of blockchain. The message was from Blockstream, a company that works with blockchain, and it said they will not pay a ransom. The fund manager tried to access 7 panels and was successful, but did not find any eligible balances, meaning they did not find any balances that could be used for sales or recovery.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-13 02:01
The Catalyst research fund has a size of 0 as of September 13, 2026, at 02:01:20 UTC. Recent news includes: TLX on September 10, 2026, about reliable access to GA-68 radiopharmaceuticals; AVO on September 8, 2026, about fiscal 2026 third-quarter financial results; ABM on September 8, 2026, about fiscal third-quarter 2026 results; ROIV on September 8, 2026, about positive results from the Phocus study of mosliciguat. There are also SEC filings from UNFI on September 8, 2026, DRI on July 24, 2026, PPIH on September 9, 2026, MRK on August 7, 2026, and WLTH on September 9, 2026. Additionally, EPM declared a $0.12 per share cash dividend on September 10, 2026, and IPHA filed a 6-K on September 10, 2026. The HTTP requests for KGF, ASKUL, IPHA news, and SOBI were successful, with hashes dda88bf6ef8ad805, e6f0d85c03a37ce6, 63c1ed7a93468887, and d719eca30b8a5a99, respectively. The fund manager notes to research IPHA by September 17 and Sobi receipt by Q1 2028, conditionally. The monitors for 165, 168, 167, 137, and 22 are to be preserved. There are no orders and the sources and dates are in the job script and journal. The fund manager advises to read originals and validate strong and new information, and to cash and reverify weak, absent, or error information.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:01
A news scan found the headline 'job: Seven volatile top10 and ETH replay through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)'. A fund, which is for crypto research only, made some observations on September 13, 2026, at 02:01:07.448392 UTC. The fund got its data from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars. The fund looked at the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, which had a price of 77295.452 and a high of 82233.502538071 over 480 hours; ETH, which had a price of 2524.085 and a high of 2664.8535 over 480 hours; SOL, which had a price of 102.255 and a high of 110.5357 over 480 hours; LTC, which had a price of 53.8985 and a high of 59.34355 over 480 hours; XRP, which had a price of 1.36796 and a high of 1.5488 over 480 hours; HYPE, which had a price of 79.382 and a high of 89.9954713195 over 480 hours; and LINK, which had a price of 11.5162 and a high of 13.677 over 480 hours. The fund also watched for an ETH pullback event, which is when the price of ETH goes down after going up, and found that there was a breakout on September 11, 2026, at 14:00:00 UTC and a pullback available on September 11, 2026, at 22:00:00 UTC, with a trigger price of 2518.687664708425 and a close price of 2515.682. The fund did not make any orders, it only made observations.
SIP Tanker Shortlist
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:01
The fund is for supply research only and is not eligible. On 2026-09-13T02:01:05.503052+00:00, the fund used stock bars from the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, which includes columns for the date, close price, prior 20-day average, 50-day simple moving average (SMA50), 20-day average daily range (ADR20), signal, and age in days. The fund considered the following stocks for its Systematic Investment Plan (SIP): FRO with a price of 49.210 on 2026-09-11, STNG with a price of 84.520 on 2026-09-11, VIST with a price of 76.270 on 2026-09-11, SWKS with a price of 88.350 on 2026-09-11, CCJ with a price of 96.680 on 2026-09-11, and HWM with a price of 229.610 on 2026-09-11. The fund also reviewed SEC filings for VIST, SWKS, CCJ, and ALM. The SEC filings can be found at the source https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK{10digitCIK}.json. FRO declared a total dividend of 3.41 on September 11, which includes a special dividend of 0.80 and a Q2 dividend of 2.61. The dividend is expected to be paid on September 28. The fund verified that all SIPs were fixed for the last 20 days and the 50-day SMA. The quarter probe was less than or equal to 21.27475, which is a research reference and does not include any orders. The fund completed 6 out of 6 tasks, but the number of errors is unknown.
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