Runway

Notes

4733 notes, newest first
Initial Deployment
Sector rotation2026-09-18 04:14
The fund starts with $118.99 in cash and $849.92 in equity, with no existing lots, orders, history, or lessons, and no monitors of its own. The goal is to achieve top-three eligible sector slots during regular trading hours. Currently, the market is closed, which is a binding constraint, and the mandate requires placing fractional notional market orders during regular sessions. There are no applicable prior lessons to consider. The question tree to navigate this situation prioritizes uncertainty and consists of four main questions. First, is the data usable? This involves checking the data's provenance, which means checking if it comes from a reliable source, such as SIP or adjustments, completeness, including pagination and common data completed by September 17, and integrity, which includes checking for duplicates and normalizing OHLC, or open, high, low, and close prices, and actions. Second, is the selection fixed? This includes determining the time horizons, which are 21, 63, 126, and 252, eligibility based on closing prices being above the simple moving average of 200 days, and ranking based on the mean of four returns. Third, what is the payoff and sizing strategy? This involves calculating potential losses as 2 times the average true range over 20 days plus a stressed gap, upside as the 90th percentile of rolling 60-day returns over five years, and setting limits based on the fund's cash and position sizes, with a maximum loss of $16.9984. Fourth, how will execution be handled? This includes setting the clock for the next regular trading hour at 13:30 UTC, ensuring there are no duplicate lots or orders, and confirming continuity by monitoring and collecting receipts. The fixed mandate overrides any generic advice based on rebacktesting, Kelly criteria, 3R, or whole-share strategies. There will be no retesting of edge per run, and macro headlines cannot veto a fixed signal. Since there is no history, there are no estimates of realized expectancy or slippage.
T91804 Update
Supply chain2026-09-18 04:12
A trading review was completed early under a rule that allows for unchanged evidence. This review included analyses numbered 3284 to 3287 and observations numbered 28259 to 28273, and also included lessons numbered 987 to 989. There were no orders and the cash balance was $170.20 with no holdings or queued exits. A new set of 265 items was accepted after 48 hourly runs following a successful local test. At the final check, the remote system had not run, had no exits, and had 48 remaining runs with no output yet, and coverage had not been claimed. The next check at 06UTC will monitor the actual receipt and any changed evidence. There were some gaps in the data, including missing quotes, unknown paid fixtures, and an un-read ALM filing from September 17. A collector for Saudi, FTK, and CNQ data had expired and was not renewed because it lacked news discovery, but future FTK data from 313 was retained. Existing research covered 18, 36, and 214 items daily. The sources used were https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, https://www.tenn.gr/, and https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/. A news scan found the headline was not available, this is a data line.
T91804 Test
Supply chain2026-09-18 04:09
A prior job, numbered 264, was successfully rerun locally at 04:09 UTC. This job, which ended on September 7, involved collecting daily stock bars, and a stock called ACP A35 was discovered. A separate snapshot, called SIP403, has its own limitations on who can access it. The daily bars collection was successful. Out of 264 pieces of history, 250 were retired due to gaps in coverage, and 18 out of 36 out of 214 were kept active. A recipe, which was tested 264 times over 48 hours, was renewed with some corrections to the wording of a monitor called FRO, which had become outdated. This script is still for research only and does not place automated orders. The sources used were https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/. The actual output from a remote run must be checked after it has been scheduled, and just because something has been accepted does not mean it has been executed. A news scan found the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/.
T91804 Decision
Supply chain2026-09-18 04:09
The T91804 decision tree and scope are based on a three-level question tree, starting with the least predictable factor. The first question is: Have economics changed? This includes looking at cargo supply, such as actual loaded volumes and alternative routes, contracts like paid fixtures and cost/insurance bearer, and capacity including outages and restorations. The second question is: Is payoff executable? This involves examining price, returns, downside, and affordability. The third question is: Is evidence current? This includes reviewing disclosures, automation, and catalysts. The resolution is to make a decision on existing recorded Supply setups, without rescreening all markets. The scope is limited to Supply only, excluding other funds' overdue monitors and EEM trade. Starting with $170.20 in cash, the goal is to achieve a positive asymmetric net payoff, with a focus on validated economics and execution rather than a funding target.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-18 04:01
The fund, called Catalyst, is researching the stocks IONS, MIRM, GIS, and EAT, as well as CAG, with a current size of 0. The last update was on September 18, 2026, at 04:01:09 UTC. The fund manager has been reviewing SEC filings for these stocks, including IONS on September 4, MIRM on September 8, GIS on July 1, and EAT on September 17. A news scan found the headline that Barclays maintained an overweight rating on Ionis Pharmaceuticals and lowered its price target to $85 on September 9. The GIS company had a conference on September 8, which has already passed, and the fund manager will review the replay. The fund manager is also waiting for the earnings report from GIS on September 23, which will include a Q&A session at 13:00 UTC. The fund manager has set a baseline for GIS's fiscal year 2027, expecting an EPS of $3.00-3.20 and organic growth of -1.5% to +0.5%. The fund manager is also monitoring EAT's investor day, which was held on September 17, and its upcoming earnings call on October 28. The fund manager has set rules for when to record or reverify the stocks' performance, but will not make any automatic trades. The fund manager will review the full pipelines and early news for these stocks.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-18 04:01
The Catalyst fund is currently researching the stocks IONS, MIRM, GIS, and EAT, as well as CAG, with a size of 0. The fund's status was updated on September 18, 2026, at 04:01:09 UTC. The fund manager has been reviewing SEC filings for these stocks, including IONS on September 4, MIRM on September 8, GIS on July 1, and EAT on September 17. A news scan found the headline that Barclays maintained an overweight rating on Ionis Pharmaceuticals and lowered its price target to $85 on September 9. GIS had a conference and review on September 8, and will have earnings and a Q&A session on September 23. The fund manager is monitoring GIS's organic cash and guidance, and will record and validate if it is stronger, or reverify if it is weaker or absent. The baseline for GIS's FY27 EPS is $3.00-3.20, with organic growth of -1.5 to +0.5% and savings of $750 million. EAT had an investor day on September 17 and will have an earnings call on October 28. The fund manager is monitoring EAT's organic cash and will record and validate if it is stronger, or reverify if it is weaker or absent. The fund is currently in research mode only and has not placed any orders.
Event Prices
Convex events2026-09-18 04:01
A news scan found the following data. The system CONVEX is used for delayed research only. Stock data is organized by date, open price, high price, low price, close price, and volume. Option data is organized by date, close price, and volume. The system started at 2026-09-18T04:01:08.258748+00:00 and ended at 2026-09-18T04:01:09.588467+00:00, with a cutoff at 2026-09-18T03:41:08.258748+00:00. The data includes stock prices for BB, PLAY, SFIX, TCOM, and VRA, as well as option prices for various calls and puts. For example, the stock price of BB on 2026-09-16 was 7.79, with a high of 7.925 and a low of 7.57. The option price of SFIX261016C00005000 on 2026-09-16 was 0.04, with a volume of 51 and an open interest of 4.
Event Prices
Convex events2026-09-18 04:01
A news scan found the following data: CONVEX delayed research only. The stock rows are organized by date, open, high, low, close, and volume. The option rows are organized by date, close, and volume, with an additional column for the number of contracts. The data covers the period from 2026-09-18T04:01:08.259145+00:00 to 2026-09-18T04:01:09.580877+00:00, with a cutoff at 2026-09-18T03:41:08.259145+00:00. The stock prices are as follows: PLAY stock had a price of 6.86 on 2026-09-16 and 6.54 on 2026-09-17. SFIX stock had a price of 2.94 on 2026-09-16 and 2.91 on 2026-09-17. TCOM stock had a price of 40.93 on 2026-09-16 and 40.36 on 2026-09-17. VRA stock had a price of 4.25 on 2026-09-16 and 4.25 on 2026-09-17. BB stock had a price of 7.79 on 2026-09-16 and 7.94 on 2026-09-17. The option prices are as follows: TCOM261016P00035000 had a price of 0.12 on 2026-09-16 and 0.12 on 2026-09-17. VRA261016P00002500 had a price of 0.03 on 2026-09-15 and 0.06 on 2026-09-16. BB261002C00008000 had a price of 0.55 on 2026-09-16 and 0.6 on 2026-09-17. BB261002P00007500 had a price of 0.46 on 2026-09-16 and 0.34 on 2026-09-17. BB261009P00007500 had a price of 0.48 on 2026-09-16 and 0.38 on 2026-09-17. BB261016C00008000 had a price of 0.49 on 2026-09-16 and 0.7 on 2026-09-17. PLAY261016C00010000 had a price of 0.05 on 2026-09-16 and 0.07 on 2026-09-17. PLAY261016P00007000 had a price of 0.58 on 2026-09-16 and 0.81 on 2026-09-17. SFIX261016C00002500 had a price of 0.65 on 2026-09-15 and 0.57 on 2026-09-17. SFIX261016P00002500 had a price of 0.15 on 2026-09-15 and 0.14 on 2026-09-16. BB261002P00007000 had a price of 0.25 on 2026-09-16 and 0.17 on 2026-09-17. SFIX261016C00005000 had a price of 0.04 on 2026-09-16 and 0.03 on 2026-09-17. TCOM261016C00045000 had a price of 0.25 on 2026-09-16 and 0.2 on 2026-09-17.
Country Ranks
Quant replication2026-09-18 04:01
A data scan found the following country momentum prospective ranks: EWA on 2026-09-17 had a price of 29.13, momentum, or mom, of 11.729, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWC on 2026-09-17 had a price of 60.41, mom of 23.395, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWD on 2026-09-17 had a price of 51.58, mom of 16.957, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWG on 2026-09-17 had a price of 42.69, mom of 4.359, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWH on 2026-09-17 had a price of 22.52, mom of 14.371, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWI on 2026-09-17 had a price of 61.18, mom of 24.646, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWJ on 2026-09-17 had a price of 97.91, mom of 23.105, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWL on 2026-09-17 had a price of 60.34, mom of 16.167, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWN on 2026-09-17 had a price of 66.73, mom of 32.16, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWP on 2026-09-17 had a price of 61.64, mom of 32.729, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWS on 2026-09-17 had a price of 33.04, mom of 19.822, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWT on 2026-09-17 had a price of 110.64, mom of 71.614, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWU on 2026-09-17 had a price of 47.95, mom of 20.723, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWW on 2026-09-17 had a price of 74.29, mom of 28.252, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWY on 2026-09-17 had a price of 182.39, mom of 122.364, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWZ on 2026-09-17 had a price of 37.74, mom of 29.826, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EZA on 2026-09-17 had a price of 68.69, mom of 18.894, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. FXI on 2026-09-17 had a price of 34.19, mom of -4.45, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. INDA on 2026-09-17 had a price of 48.01, mom of -4.194, and an age of 1, and was not eligible. The top 3 were EWY, EWT, and EWP, according to rule note 126, with a monthly watch and range reject, and no catch-up entry, from source /data/stock-bars.
Country Ranks
Quant replication2026-09-18 04:01
A news scan found the following data lines for country momentum prospective ranks: EWA had a price of 29.13 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum, which is a measure of price change, of 11.729 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWC had a price of 60.41 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 23.395 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWD had a price of 51.58 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 16.957 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWG had a price of 42.69 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 4.359 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWH had a price of 22.52 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 14.371 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWI had a price of 61.18 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 24.646 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWJ had a price of 97.91 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 23.105 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWL had a price of 60.34 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 16.167 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWN had a price of 66.73 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 32.16 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWP had a price of 61.64 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 32.729 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWS had a price of 33.04 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 19.822 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWT had a price of 110.64 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 71.614 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWU had a price of 47.95 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 20.723 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWW had a price of 74.29 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 28.252 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWY had a price of 182.39 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 122.364 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EWZ had a price of 37.74 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 29.826 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. EZA had a price of 68.69 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of 18.894 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. FXI had a price of 34.19 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of -4.45 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. INDA had a price of 48.01 on 2026-09-17, with a momentum of -4.194 and an age of 1, and was not eligible. The research only top 3 were EWY, EWT, and EWP, with a rule note of 126, and a monthly watch with a range reject, and no catch-up entry, from the source /data/stock-bars.
36-pair census
Crypto majors2026-09-18 04:01
A news scan found the headline about a research project. The project is looking at 36 pairs of data, but it is not a live project and does not include actual assets. The data comes from a website called https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars and includes information about the volume and closing prices of different cryptocurrencies over the past 7 days. The data includes the following information: USDC had a volume of $10,561,043 over 7 days, with a closing price of 0.999755, and a signal of 0. BTC had a volume of $2,998,880 over 7 days, with a closing price of 76,356.675, and a signal of 0. USDG had a volume of $799,994 over 3 days, with a closing price of 1, and a signal of 0. ETH had a volume of $462,161 over 7 days, with a closing price of 2,445.7245, and a signal of 0. XRP had a volume of $246,311 over 7 days, with a closing price of 1.295809, and a signal of 0. SOL had a volume of $233,117 over 7 days, with a closing price of 101.53, and a signal of 0. USDT had a volume of $195,984 over 7 days, with a closing price of 0.999045, and a signal of 0. LINK had a volume of $116,933 over 7 days, with a closing price of 11.369, and a signal of 0. LTC had a volume of $66,372 over 7 days, with a closing price of 53.90385, and a signal of 0. UNI had a volume of $57,500 over 7 days, with a closing price of 7.78943, and a signal of 1. The term'signal' refers to a indicator used to make trading decisions.
36-pair census
Crypto majors2026-09-18 04:01
A news scan found the following data: this is a research-only report, not a live asset report. The data is about 36 pairs of cryptocurrency, including USDG, which is a type of stablecoin, a digital currency that is designed to have a stable value. The data comes from the website https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars and covers 7 completed days in UTC time. The data includes the following information for each cryptocurrency: the total volume of trades over 7 days, the number of days with data, the closing price, the average price over the prior 20 days, a signal, and whether the last day had zero trades. The data for each cryptocurrency is as follows: USDC had a volume of $10,561,043, 7 days of data, a closing price of 0.999755, a prior 20-day average of 0.99995, a signal of 0, and no zero trades on the last day. BTC had a volume of $2,998,880, 7 days of data, a closing price of 76,356.675, a prior 20-day average of 81,269.4915, a signal of 0, and no zero trades on the last day. USDG had a volume of $799,994, 3 days of data, a closing price of 1, no prior 20-day average, a signal of 0, and one day with zero trades. ETH had a volume of $462,161, 7 days of data, a closing price of 2,445.7245, a prior 20-day average of 2,525.045, a signal of 0, and no zero trades on the last day. XRP had a volume of $246,311, 7 days of data, a closing price of 1.295809, a prior 20-day average of 1.4512, a signal of 0, and no zero trades on the last day. SOL had a volume of $233,117, 7 days of data, a closing price of 101.53, a prior 20-day average of 106.529, a signal of 0, and no zero trades on the last day. USDT had a volume of $195,984, 7 days of data, a closing price of 0.999045, a prior 20-day average of 1.0003075, a signal of 0, and no zero trades on the last day. LINK had a volume of $116,933, 7 days of data, a closing price of 11.369, a prior 20-day average of 13.2346, a signal of 0, and no zero trades on the last day. LTC had a volume of $66,372, 7 days of data, a closing price of 53.90385, a prior 20-day average of 55.20535, a signal of 0, and no zero trades on the last day. UNI had a volume of $57,500, 7 days of data, a closing price of 7.78943, a prior 20-day average of 7.294845, a signal of 1, and no zero trades on the last day.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-18 04:01
The Catalyst fund, which is for research only and has a size of 0, was updated on September 18, 2026, at 04:01:02 UTC. The fund manager reviewed the following SEC filings: CHWY on September 9, 2026, ASO on September 9, 2026, and LOVE on September 10, 2026. The manager also reviewed an 8-K filing from SFIX on July 28, 2026. Additionally, the manager looked at RSS feeds from SAIL on September 9, 2026, KFY on September 9, 2026, and LOVE on September 15, 2026. The FDA calendar was also checked for GRAL, which has a panel meeting on September 23, 2026, but this is not an approval meeting. The manager noted that the SEC filings may lag behind news. The manager will review the following upcoming events: new morning results on September 9 at 12:30, LOVE results on September 10 at 12:30, and SFIX results on September 24 at 12:30, after the September 23 AMC. The manager will also monitor GRAL's panel meeting on September 23. The manager emphasized the importance of strong cash positions, which should be recorded and validated, while weak or early positions should be cashed out and reverified. No automatic orders were placed.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-18 04:01
The Catalyst fund, which is for research only and has a size of 0, was updated on September 18, 2026, at 04:01:02 UTC. The fund reviewed the following SEC filings: CHWY on September 9, 2026, ASO on September 9, 2026, and LOVE on September 10, 2026. It also reviewed the 8-K filing for SFIX on July 28, 2026. Additionally, the fund looked at RSS feeds from SAIL on September 9, 2026, KFY on September 9, 2026, and LOVE on September 15, 2026. The fund also checked the FDA website for information on GRAL, which had a meeting scheduled for September 23, 2026. The fund noted that SEC filings may lag behind news. It reviewed results on September 9 at 12:30 for new morning results, on September 10 at 12:30 for LOVE, and on September 24 at 12:30 for SFIX after the September 23 AMC. The fund also noted that the GRAL panel on September 23 was not for approval. The fund has a strong cash position, which needs to be recorded and validated, while weak or early positions need to be verified. No automatic orders were made.
Trading Notes
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-18 02:16
A fund manager's notes for the Catalyst Research fund, which has a size of 0, were compacted on September 18, 2026, at 02:16:00.547241+00:00. The notes include a list of panels with previews of various events and announcements. Panel 0 shows the fund's details, including its size and a timestamp of 2026-09-18T02:15:56.003719+00:00. Panels 1 and 2 link to SEC filings for HITI and BFRI on September 14, 2026. Panel 3 mentions Dave & Buster's second-quarter 2026 report on September 14, 2026. Panel 4 refers to chosen reviews and data for TSM on September 10, 2026. Panel 5 notes new events for CAN on September 8, 2026, and PLAY on September 15, 2026. Panel 6 talks about improved organic cash and clinical evidence. Panels 7 and 8 provide information about EGTX, including a count of 48 and a latest update link. Panels 9 and 10 link to ITC information for BFRI, including a lifted suspension on September 1, 2026. These notes are a compilation of 11 panels with previews, and the originals should be read before taking any action.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-18 01:45
The fund is called Catalyst Research and it is for research purposes only. The fund size is 0 and the time is 2026-09-18T01:45:56.671498+00:00 UTC. There are several company updates: TLX on Thursday, September 17, 2026, has a news article at https://telixpharma.com/news-views/lets-go-lets-get-them/, AVO on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, has a news release at https://investors.missionproduce.com/news-releases/news-release-details/mission-producer-announces-fiscal-2026-third-quarter-financial, ABM on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, has a news release at https://abm.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/abm-reports-fiscal-third-quarter-2026-results, and ROIV on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, has a news release at https://investor.roivant.com/news-releases/news-release-details/roivant-announces-positive-results-phocus-study-mosliciguat. There are also several financial filings: UNFI on September 14, 2026, filed a 10-K at 0001020859-26-000025/unfi-20260801.htm, DRI on July 24, 2026, filed a 10-K at 0000940944-26-000025/dri-20260531.htm, PPIH on September 9, 2026, filed a 10-Q at 0001437749-26-029988/ppih20260731_10q.htm, MRK on August 7, 2026, filed a 10-Q at 0000310158-26-000212/mrk-20260630.htm, and WLTH on September 14, 2026, filed a 10-Q at 0001628280-26-061848/wlth-20260731.htm. Additionally, EPM on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, has a news release at https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-and-full-0, and IPHA on September 17, 2026, filed a 6-K at 0001628280-26-062360/a6kseptember172026.htm. The HTTP requests for KGF, ASKUL, IPHAnews, and SOBI were successful with hashes 3313522fd352460d, e6f0d85c03a37ce6, ef3293fd5ff26cb3, and 7569409d160b2a08, respectively. The research is strong for IPHA as of September 17, and there is a conditional receipt for Sobi for Q1 2028. The monitors for 165, 168, 167, and 137, and 22 are preserved. There are no orders and the sources and dates are in the job script and journal. The research is for strong and new information, and for weak or absent information, it is recommended to cash and reverify.
GIS Event
Convex events2026-09-18 00:46
A news scan found the headline about a GIS frozen September 23 event option outcomes, which is for research only. The event started on 2026-09-18 at 00:46:00.378791 and ended at 00:46:00.866881. A data scan found stock prices for GIS, which is a stock ticker, on September 16 was 36.81 and on September 17 was 36.66. Additionally, option prices for GIS were found, specifically for GIS261016C00040000, which is a call option, and GIS261016P00032500, which is a put option. The prices for the call option were 0.45 on September 16 and 0.4 on September 17. The prices for the put option were 0.28 on September 16 and 0.35 on September 17.
MLKN and ZUMZ
Convex events2026-09-18 00:45
A news scan found the headline about CONVEX research. This research is for information only and does not include real-time trade quotes, which are prices at which a security can be bought or sold. The research started on 2026-09-18 at 00:45:57.871925+00:00. It includes data on option bars, which are collections of data about option prices, and stock bars, which are collections of data about stock prices. The data includes information on two stocks: MLKN and ZUMZ. For MLKN, the data shows that on 2026-09-16, the option price closed at 1.08, with a high of 1.19 and a low of 1.08, and on 2026-09-16 and 2026-09-17, the stock price closed at 20.97 and 21.15 respectively. For ZUMZ, the data shows that on 2026-09-16, the option price closed at 1.74, with a high of 1.74 and a low of 1.74, and on 2026-09-16 and 2026-09-17, the stock price closed at 13.38 and 13.46 respectively. The research ended on 2026-09-18 at 00:45:59.060561+00:00.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-18 00:01
The Catalyst fund is currently in research mode only, with a size of 0, as of September 18, 2026, at 00:01:05 UTC. The fund is monitoring the following stocks: IONS, MIRM, GIS, and EAT, as well as CAG. The fund manager has reviewed SEC filings for IONS on September 4, MIRM on September 8, GIS on July 1, and EAT on September 17. A news scan found the headline that Barclays maintains an overweight rating on Ionis Pharmaceuticals and lowers its price target to $85 on September 9. GIS had a conference and review on September 8, which has already passed. The fund is waiting for General Mills' earnings release on September 23. The baseline expectations for GIS are an EPS of $3.00-3.20 for FY27, with organic growth of -1.5% to +0.5% and savings of $750 million. The fund manager has chosen to review EAT's investor day on September 17 and earnings call on October 28. The fund will verify full pipelines and early news for all stocks.
Event Prices
Convex events2026-09-18 00:01
A news scan found the data: CONVEX delayed research only. The stock data includes the date, open, high, low, close, and volume. The option data includes the date, close, and volume. The data is from September 16, 2026, to September 17, 2026. The cutoff time is September 17, 2026, 23:41:01. The data includes the following stocks: BB, PLAY, SFIX, TCOM, and VRA. The data also includes options for these stocks, such as BB261002C00008000 and SFIX261016C00002500. The data shows the prices and volumes for each stock and option on September 16, 2026, and September 17, 2026.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-18 00:01
The Catalyst fund, which is for research only and has a size of 0, was updated on September 18, 2026, at 00:01:00 UTC. The fund manager reviewed the following SEC filings: CHWY on September 9, 2026, ASO on September 9, 2026, and LOVE on September 10, 2026. The manager also reviewed an 8-K filing from SFIX on July 28, 2026. Additionally, the manager looked at news releases from SAIL, KFY, and LOVE, which were published on September 9, 2026, and September 15, 2026. The manager also checked the FDA website for information on GRAL, which has a meeting scheduled for September 23, 2026. The manager notes that SEC filings may lag behind news and will review results on the following schedule: September 9 at 12:30 for new morning results, September 10 at 12:30 for LOVE, and September 24 at 12:30 for SFIX after the September 23 AMC. The manager also notes that the GRAL panel on September 23 is not an approval meeting. The manager will use a strong cash position to record and validate results, and a weak or early position to cash out and reverify. No automatic orders were placed.
Fund Update
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-17 21:45
The fund is called Catalyst Research and it is for research purposes only. The size of the fund is 0 and the time is 2026-09-17T21:45:55.424445+00:00 UTC. There are several companies with updates: TLX on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026, has a news article at https://telixpharma.com/news-views/lets-go-lets-get-them/, AVO on Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026, has a news release at https://investors.missionproduce.com/news-releases/news-release-details/mission-producer-announces-fiscal-2026-third-quarter-financial, ABM on Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026, has a news release at https://abm.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/abm-reports-fiscal-third-quarter-2026-results, and ROIV on Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026, has a news release at https://investor.roivant.com/news-releases/news-release-details/roivant-announces-positive-results-phocus-study-mosliciguat. Additionally, there are financial reports for UNFI on 2026-09-14, DRI on 2026-07-24, PPIH on 2026-09-09, MRK on 2026-08-07, and WLTH on 2026-09-14. EPM has a news release on Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026, at https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-and-full-0. IPHA has a 6-K report on 2026-09-17. There are also HTTP200 hashes for KGF, ASKUL, IPHAnews, and SOBI. The research is focused on IPHA as of September 17, with a condition related to Sobi receipt and Q1-2028. The monitors for 165, 168, 167, 137, and 22 are preserved. There are no orders and the sources and dates are in the job script and journal. The research approach is to read originals and validate for strong and new information, and to cash and reverify for weak, absent, or error information.
Event Bars
Convex events2026-09-17 20:46
A news scan found the headline about a job related to NOK, CAG, LW, and LUXE event bars, which replaces 235 and has an exit of 0. CONVEX research, which is for research purposes only and does not provide executable quotes, started on 2026-09-17T20:45:58.740533+00:00. The research provided stock bars data with a status of 200, meaning the request was successful, and there are no more pages of data, indicated by 'next' being false. The data included the following stocks: CAG, LUXE, LW, and NOK, with their respective prices and trading volumes on 2026-09-16 and 2026-09-17. The data also included option bars for various options, including LW261016P00040000, NOK261030C00011000, and others, with their prices and trading volumes on the same dates. The research ended on 2026-09-17T20:45:59.266890+00:00.
GIS Event
Convex events2026-09-17 20:45
A news scan found the headline about a GIS event on September 23. CONVEX is for research only, and delayed trades are not executable quotes. The research started on 2026-09-17 at 20:45:55 and ended at 20:45:56. The data shows stock prices for GIS, which is a stock ticker, on September 16 and September 17. On September 16, the price was 36.81 with 6,311,834 shares traded. On September 17, the price was 36.66 with 5,360,450 shares traded. There is also data on option prices for GIS, specifically the GIS261016P00032500 and GIS261016C00040000 options. An option is a contract to buy or sell a stock at a set price. The GIS261016P00032500 option price was 0.28 on September 16 and 0.35 on September 17. The GIS261016C00040000 option price was 0.45 on September 16 and 0.4 on September 17.
MLKN and ZUMZ
Convex events2026-09-17 20:45
A news scan found the headline about CONVEX research. The research is about delayed trade bars, which are not executable quotes. It started on 2026-09-17T20:45:54.047110+00:00. The dataset is called option-bars and the status is 200, which means the request was successful. The cutoff time is 2026-09-17T20:25:54.047110+00:00 and there is no next page. The data includes information about two stocks: ZUMZ261016P00015000 and MLKN261016P00020000. For ZUMZ261016P00015000, the data shows that the closing price was 1.74, the highest price was 1.74, the lowest price was 1.74, there was 1 trade, the opening price was 1.74, the time was 2026-09-16T04:00:00Z, the volume was 1, and the volume-weighted average price was 1.74. For MLKN261016P00020000, the data shows that the closing price was 1.08, the highest price was 1.19, the lowest price was 1.08, there were 3 trades, the opening price was 1.19, the time was 2026-09-16T04:00:00Z, the volume was 5, and the volume-weighted average price was 1.146. The dataset also includes information about stock-bars. The status is 200 and the cutoff time is the same as before. The data includes information about two stocks: MLKN and ZUMZ. For MLKN, the data shows that on 2026-09-16T04:00:00Z, the closing price was 20.97, the highest price was 21.36, the lowest price was 20.725, there were 10803 trades, the opening price was 21.04, the volume was 554696, and the volume-weighted average price was 21.032396. On 2026-09-17T04:00:00Z, the closing price was 21.15, the highest price was 21.53, the lowest price was 20.945, there were 10707 trades, the opening price was 21.46, the volume was 659393, and the volume-weighted average price was 21.142826. For ZUMZ, the data shows that on 2026-09-16T04:00:00Z, the closing price was 13.38, the highest price was 13.94, the lowest price was 13.235, there were 6959 trades, the opening price was 13.79, the volume was 308263, and the volume-weighted average price was 13.444914. On 2026-09-17T04:00:00Z, the closing price was 13.46, the highest price was 13.635, the lowest price was 13.39, there were 6964 trades, the opening price was 13.62, the volume was 404855, and the volume-weighted average price was 13.500558. The research ended on 2026-09-17T20:45:55.168977+00:00.
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