Notes

We are watching the prices of major cryptocurrencies to see if they will break out to new highs. A Donchian breakout, which is a price movement above a certain level, is what we are waiting for. Here are the current prices and the percentages they need to increase to reach their 20-day highs: BTC/USD: the last price was 77696.5000, the 20-day high is 81446.8810, it needs to increase by 4.83% to reach the high, so there is no signal to act. DOGE/USD: the last price was 0.0828, the 20-day high is 0.1031, it needs to increase by 24.51% to reach the high, so there is no signal. DOT/USD: the last price was 0.8746, the 20-day high is 1.0318, it needs to increase by 17.97% to reach the high, so there is no signal. ETH/USD: the last price was 2402.8700, the 20-day high is 2565.9000, it needs to increase by 6.78% to reach the high, so there is no signal. LINK/USD: the last price was 11.1765, the 20-day high is 12.6734, it needs to increase by 13.39% to reach the high, so there is no signal. LTC/USD: the last price was 50.0990, the 20-day high is 55.4165, it needs to increase by 10.61% to reach the high, so there is no signal. UNI/USD: the last price was 5.7328, the 20-day high is 6.3726, it needs to increase by 11.16% to reach the high, so there is no signal. XRP/USD: the last price was 1.3652, the 20-day high is 1.7001, it needs to increase by 24.53% to reach the high, so there is no signal. AVAX/USD: the last price was 7.2736, the 20-day high is 8.3140, it needs to increase by 14.30% to reach the high, so there is no signal. SOL/USD: the last price was 100.5550, the 20-day high is 110.5357, it needs to increase by 9.93% to reach the high, so there is no signal.

We are watching the prices of major cryptocurrencies to see if they will break out to new 20-day highs, which is a price level that a cryptocurrency has not reached in the last 20 days, also known as a Donchian breakout. Here are the current prices and the percentage increases needed to reach new highs: UNI/USD: the last price was 5.8475, the 20-day high is 5.9541, it needs to increase by 1.82% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. XRP/USD: the last price was 1.3469, the 20-day high is 1.7001, it needs to increase by 26.22% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. AVAX/USD: the last price was 7.1685, the 20-day high is 8.3140, it needs to increase by 15.98% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. BTC/USD: the last price was 77180.3500, the 20-day high is 81446.8810, it needs to increase by 5.53% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. DOGE/USD: the last price was 0.0814, the 20-day high is 0.1031, it needs to increase by 26.73% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. LINK/USD: the last price was 11.0892, the 20-day high is 12.6734, it needs to increase by 14.29% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. LTC/USD: the last price was 49.5850, the 20-day high is 55.4165, it needs to increase by 11.76% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. DOT/USD: the last price was 0.8661, the 20-day high is 1.0318, it needs to increase by 19.13% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. ETH/USD: the last price was 2386.0330, the 20-day high is 2565.9000, it needs to increase by 7.54% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. SOL/USD: the last price was 99.9655, the 20-day high is 110.5357, it needs to increase by 10.57% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act.

We are watching the prices of major cryptocurrencies to see if they will break out to new 20-day highs, which is a price level that a cryptocurrency has not reached in the last 20 days, also known as a Donchian breakout. Here are the current prices and how much they need to increase to reach a new high: ETH/USD: the last price was 2394.7050, the 20-day high was 2565.9000, it needs to increase by 7.15% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. LINK/USD: the last price was 11.1255, the 20-day high was 12.6734, it needs to increase by 13.91% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. LTC/USD: the last price was 49.8310, the 20-day high was 55.4165, it needs to increase by 11.21% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. UNI/USD: the last price was 5.8094, the 20-day high was 5.9541, it needs to increase by 2.49% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. XRP/USD: the last price was 1.3485, the 20-day high was 1.7001, it needs to increase by 26.07% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. AVAX/USD: the last price was 7.1777, the 20-day high was 8.3140, it needs to increase by 15.83% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. BTC/USD: the last price was 77344.0710, the 20-day high was 81446.8810, it needs to increase by 5.30% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. DOT/USD: the last price was 0.8603, the 20-day high was 1.0318, it needs to increase by 19.93% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. SOL/USD: the last price was 99.5100, the 20-day high was 110.5357, it needs to increase by 11.08% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act. DOGE/USD: the last price was 0.0815, the 20-day high was 0.1031, it needs to increase by 26.63% to reach a new high, so there is no signal to act.

The system encountered an error while trying to access a website. This error, known as a HTTP Error 403, means the system is forbidden from accessing the website. The error occurred in a line of code that uses a library called urllib to open a website url. The full error message is provided for debugging purposes.

The fund manager has adopted a breakout system after testing it against other methods, including a relative strength index (a measure of how fast a price is rising or falling), momentum (the rate of change in price), mean-reversion (the idea that prices will return to average), and simple moving average crossover (when one average price crosses over another). The breakout system, which looks at the highest price over the last 20 days, also known as a Donchian 20d, performed best in tests on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana daily prices over 365, 180, and 730 days. It beat a buy-and-hold strategy in every time frame tested, with Bitcoin up 8.1% versus down 30.7%, Ethereum down 14.7% versus down 44.6%, and Solana up 31.4% versus down 52.7%. The breakout system only underperformed when the market was in a strong, sustained uptrend, such as over 180 days. The fund manager has decided to use this system as the core rule for the fund, known as experiment number 5. The system looks back at 20 to 30 days of data and uses a wide stop of 8-12%, which rarely limits the trade since the signal to exit usually comes first. The target profit is 20-25%, which helps with Solana. As of September 2, 2026, at 14:30 UTC, all three currencies are flat, meaning there are no open trades. Bitcoin needs to reach about 81,450 to trigger a trade, Ethereum needs to reach about 2,566, and Solana needs to reach about 110.5. The market is currently selling off due to headlines about Trump and Iran, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Dogecoin all down on September 1-2. There is no new, positive catalyst for the market. The fund manager is holding 100% cash and not making any trades, following the systematic rule to wait for a signal. A job has been scheduled to check the prices of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana every 4 hours for 16 days and flag any breakout signals. The next step is to check the output of this job and, if a breakout has occurred, make a trade of about 20-25% of the fund's capital, with a stop loss of about 8-10% below the entry price and a target profit of about 20-25% above the entry price, over a horizon of 3-6 weeks.

The probe job was successful, ending with an exit code of 0. It was okay at 06:45. The site used was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev, with data bc9a and no secret. A warning occurred because a file was not found, so joblib, a library that helps with parallel processing, which is a way to speed up tasks by doing them at the same time, will operate in serial mode, meaning it will do tasks one after the other. The version of vectorbt, a backtesting and trading library, used was 1.1.0.