Runway

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C91100 Breakout
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:03
A news scan found the specification for the C91100 breakout execution: it uses a fixed 20-day prior high breakout and a 10-day prior low close exit, with a 14-day simple true-range mean Average True Range (a measure of price volatility). The daily indicators are shifted by one day, and the hourly construction uses a rolling 480-hour high and 240-hour low, with a 14-day reconstructed UTC daily Average True Range that is only updated after the day is complete. The entry point is the next actual open, with a stop loss of 2 times the Average True Range and a target of 6 times the Average True Range, both measured from the entry open, and a maximum of 20 calendar days. The baseline is a frozen fixed-stop and fixed-target diagnostic without partial exits, which is not a live policy. The current winner-trailing policy would need separate validation if it is a candidate. The system evaluates the stop and target at each cadence from the prior close, executes at the next actual open, and records overshoots. It compares the supplied daily data against the reconstructed daily data before inferring robustness. The system includes fees of 25 basis points per side, slippage of 10 basis points, and a base stress of 20 basis points, and is trained on data from 2024 to 2025 and held out from January 1, 2026, to September 10, 2026, which is reused by broader research. There is no optimization, and the system only tests sensitivity to neighbors of 10 and 30 days, not selection. The system rejects any daily or hourly execution that is negative or unverified. It does not invent hourly history from daily data. The initial all-symbol hourly pagination exceeded the 40-page cap, so it now requests symbol-year bounded slices and audits counts and timestamps.
C91100 Question Tree
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:01
The fund manager has a three-level question tree to consider. The first question is whether evidence can overturn the use of cash. This has three sub-questions: can a new strategy using a 20-day Donchian breakout and 10-day low exit with a 2 daily ATR stop and 6 ATR target be effective, does stress testing erase returns, and can this strategy be generalized. A Donchian breakout is a way to identify trends. The second question is what changed tonight, with sub-questions about liquid recovery, leverage, and liquidity. The third question is what structures transmit events, with sub-questions about stablecoin liabilities and macro/protocol catalysts. A stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency. The fourth question is whether the fund can execute its plans, with sub-questions about quotes, continuity, and receipts. The fund starts with $235.86 in cash and aims to have a positive executable expectancy. The plan has a hard stop at 00:44:32 UTC.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-11 00:01
The fund is for crypto research only and was observed on 2026-09-11T00:01:12.889591+00:00. The data sources are https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund has the following quotes: BTC bid/ask = 76525.597/76551.7 with an age of 40 seconds and a depth in USD of 76.5/76.7 with a hurdle percentage of 0.536, ETH bid/ask = 2436.32/2437.01 with an age of 44 seconds and a depth in USD of 80.8/81.7 with a hurdle percentage of 0.530, SOL bid/ask = 98.54/98.62 with an age of 49 seconds and a depth in USD of 93.1/93.5 with a hurdle percentage of 0.583, USDC bid/ask = 0.9995/1 with an age of 9620 seconds and a depth in USD of 9995000.0/46000.0 with a hurdle percentage of 0.552, USDG bid/ask = 0.99999/1.00001 with an age of 72551 seconds and a depth in USD of 9999900.0/10000100.0 with a hurdle percentage of 0.504, XRP bid/ask = 1.331327/1.3364 with an age of 48 seconds and a depth in USD of 144.9/5513.1 with a hurdle percentage of 0.885, UNI bid/ask = 5.948/5.962 with an age of 49 seconds and a depth in USD of 12508.1/4207.2 with a hurdle percentage of 0.738, LTC bid/ask = 51.9815/52.28 with an age of 58 seconds and a depth in USD of 3508.5/3523.1 with a hurdle percentage of 1.079, HYPE bid/ask = 78.38/78.761 with an age of 43 seconds and a depth in USD of 61067.8/60803.5 with a hurdle percentage of 0.990, and LINK bid/ask = 11.43/11.4586 with an age of 55 seconds and a depth in USD of 13320.5/13328.6 with a hurdle percentage of 0.753. There are 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient BTC is 598.50048115 with a mempool net of 0.00011526 and a transaction number of 296. The reserve BTC is 3601.47203772 with a mempool net of 0.0 and a transaction number of 590. The recent page is 47 with 0 controlled and not full history. The tip is 4051933 with an age in seconds of 63 and a time of 1789084810. There was a ConnectTimeout error. The operator notes are 2 and the operator hash is 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b with a claim about the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds by Blockstream. The fund has 0 eligible panels attempted out of 7 with 0 eligible and balances are not sales or recovery.
Crypto Fund Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 23:46
A fund that only researches cryptocurrency made observations on September 10, 2026, at 23:46:06. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at the following cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, USDC, USDG, XRP, UNI, Litecoin, HYPE, and LINK. For each cryptocurrency, the fund noted the current buy and sell prices, the age of the data in seconds, whether the data was valid, the depth of the market in US dollars, and a hurdle percentage, which is a measure of the minimum price change required for a trade to be profitable. The results were as follows: BTC had a buy price of 76720.43 and a sell price of 76738.83, with an age of 42 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.526. ETH had a buy price of 2439.97 and a sell price of 2440.56, with an age of 43 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.526. SOL had a buy price of 99.0342 and a sell price of 99.1211, with an age of 114 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.590. USDC had a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1, with an age of 8713 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.552. USDG had a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 71644 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.504. XRP had a buy price of 1.336 and a sell price of 1.3404, with an age of 43 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.833. UNI had a buy price of 5.951 and a sell price of 5.96246, with an age of 60 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.695. LTC had a buy price of 52.0109 and a sell price of 52.3501, with an age of 42 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 1.157. HYPE had a buy price of 78.9702 and a sell price of 79.33, with an age of 77 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.960. LINK had a buy price of 11.48 and a sell price of 11.5008, with an age of 113 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.684. The fund received 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient's Bitcoin balance was 598.50048115, and the reserve's Bitcoin balance was 3601.47203772. The recent page was 46, and the tip was 4051918, with an age of 56 seconds. There was an error with a connection timeout. The operator noted that following a recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream made a statement. The fund made 7 out of 7 panel attempts, but none were eligible, and the balances were not sales or recovery.
Funding Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 23:45
The fund for crypto research was updated on 2026-09-10T23:45:20.828348+00:00. The data came from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time with an offset of 0.1627 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.1039 seconds. Additional data was taken from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The funding rates and open interest for three cryptocurrencies were observed: BTC had a funding rate of 0.9094 and an open interest of 29132.254, ETH had a funding rate of 0.2734 and an open interest of 592639.36, and SOL had a funding rate of -0.0542 and an open interest of 2704410.89. A news scan found the headline was not available, but data from https://www.circle.com/transparency showed the issuer date was September 07, 2026, with the following values: 74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, and 331.64. Another source, https://www.usdc.com/, had an unparsed raw_cms_value and an unparsed issuer_date due to locale/template ambiguity. The stablecoin data from https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 showed a circulating value of 74386006033.1783 and values for Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid L1. The fund is not buying, and the eligibility is 0.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-10 23:31
A fund for crypto research made observations on September 10, 2026, at 23:31:00.521061 UTC. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL, USDC, USDG, XRP, UNI, LTC, HYPE, and LINK. For each cryptocurrency, the fund noted the current buy and sell prices, the age of the data in seconds, whether the data was valid, the depth of the market in US dollars, and a hurdle percentage. The details are as follows: BTC had a buy price of 76739.132 and a sell price of 76768.424, with an age of 41 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.540. ETH had a buy price of 2442.8 and a sell price of 2443.428, with an age of 82 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.528. SOL had a buy price of 99.03 and a sell price of 99.1293, with an age of 53 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.603. USDC had a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1, with an age of 7807 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.552. USDG had a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 70738 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.504. XRP had a buy price of 1.334 and a sell price of 1.339, with an age of 54 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.879. UNI had a buy price of 5.9662 and a sell price of 5.977, with an age of 54 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.684. LTC had a buy price of 51.96 and a sell price of 52.2761, with an age of 54 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 1.113. HYPE had a buy price of 79.027 and a sell price of 79.399, with an age of 41 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.975. LINK had a buy price of 11.48 and a sell price of 11.5043, with an age of 41 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.715. The fund received 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient had 598.50048115 BTC, with a mempool net of 0.0001045 and 296 transactions. The reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC, with a mempool net of 0 and 590 transactions. The recent page was 44, controlled 0, and did not have a full history. The tip was 4051903, with an age of 51 seconds and a timestamp of 1789083010. There was a connection timeout error. The operator notes were 2, and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The operator mentioned that Blockstream was affected by a recent incident on the Liquid Network, which involved the movement of funds. The fund made 7 out of 7 panel attempts, but was not eligible, and did not make any sales or recovery.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-10 23:01
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-10T23:01:00.209017+00:00. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund had the following quotes and liquidation prices: BTC had a buy price of 76813.1 and a sell price of 76842.2, with an age of 43 seconds and a depth in USD of 76.4/76.9, and a hurdle percentage of 0.540. ETH had a buy price of 2443.907 and a sell price of 2444.914, with an age of 56 seconds and a depth in USD of 81.5/80.8, and a hurdle percentage of 0.543. SOL had a buy price of 99.2156 and a sell price of 99.33, with an age of 118 seconds and a depth in USD of 95.1/93.5, and a hurdle percentage of 0.618. USDC had a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1, with an age of 6007 seconds and a depth in USD of 9995000.0/46000.0, and a hurdle percentage of 0.552. USDG had a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 68938 seconds and a depth in USD of 9999900.0/10000100.0, and a hurdle percentage of 0.504. XRP had a buy price of 1.3439564 and a sell price of 1.345, with an age of 87 seconds and a depth in USD of 161.8/5599.2, and a hurdle percentage of 0.580. UNI had a buy price of 5.98511 and a sell price of 5.998, with an age of 51 seconds and a depth in USD of 4181.2/4268.0, and a hurdle percentage of 0.718. LTC had a buy price of 52.212 and a sell price of 52.522, with an age of 117 seconds and a depth in USD of 3569.2/3556.8, and a hurdle percentage of 1.099. HYPE had a buy price of 79.285 and a sell price of 79.6938, with an age of 59 seconds and a depth in USD of 61485.5/61603.3, and a hurdle percentage of 1.020. LINK had a buy price of 11.51 and a sell price of 11.53, with an age of 94 seconds and a depth in USD of 13375.1/13217.6, and a hurdle percentage of 0.677. There were 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient had 598.50048115 BTC, with a mempool net of 9.85e-05 and a transaction number of 296. The reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC, with a mempool net of 0.0 and a transaction number of 590. The recent page was 42, controlled 0, and not full history was 1. The tip was 4051873, with an age in seconds of 50 and a time of 1789081210. There was an error with a connect timeout. The operator notes were 2, and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The claim was following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, a company, made a statement. The fund had 7 out of 7 panels attempted, with 0 eligible, and the balances were not sales or recovery.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-10 22:31
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-10T22:31:00.972189+00:00. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund had the following quotes and liquidation data: BTC had a bid of 77044.17 and an ask of 77074.383, with an age of 54 seconds and a depth of 76.4 to 76.6 USD. ETH had a bid of 2453.14 and an ask of 2454.066, with an age of 107 seconds and a depth of 82.2 to 82.2 USD. SOL had a bid of 99.796 and an ask of 99.88, with an age of 108 seconds and a depth of 94.0 to 283.7 USD. USDC had a bid of 0.9995 and an ask of 1, with an age of 4208 seconds and a depth of 9995000.0 to 46000.0 USD. USDG had a bid of 0.99999 and an ask of 1.00001, with an age of 67139 seconds and a depth of 9999900.0 to 10000100.0 USD. XRP had a bid of 1.3498 and an ask of 1.355, with an age of 107 seconds and a depth of 5677.6 to 5597.9 USD. UNI had a bid of 6.02367 and an ask of 6.0333, with an age of 78 seconds and a depth of 4280.3 to 4236.0 USD. LTC had a bid of 52.379 and an ask of 52.693, with an age of 179 seconds and a depth of 3526.9 to 3601.6 USD. HYPE had a bid of 80.1 and an ask of 80.452, with an age of 78 seconds and a depth of 61964.6 to 61899.8 USD. LINK had a bid of 11.599 and an ask of 11.6229, with an age of 107 seconds and a depth of 13399.2 to 13479.1 USD. The hurdle percentage, which is the minimum percentage change required for a trade to be executed, was 0.541 for BTC, 0.540 for ETH, 0.586 for SOL, 0.552 for USDC, 0.504 for USDG, 0.889 for XRP, 0.663 for UNI, 1.104 for LTC, 0.944 for HYPE, and 0.709 for LINK. There were 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient had 598.50048115 BTC, with a mempool net of 7.012e-05 and a transaction number of 296. The reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC, with a mempool net of 0.0 and a transaction number of 590. The recent page was 35, controlled 0, and not full history was 1. The tip was 4051843, with an age of 51 seconds and a time of 1789079410. There was a ConnectTimeout error. The operator notes were 2, and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The claim was Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, a company, made a statement. The fund had 7 out of 7 panels attempted, with 0 eligible, and the balances were not sales or recovery.
Funding Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 22:30
The automated trading fund manager observed the following data on 2026-09-10T22:30:20.469462+00:00. The fund is for crypto research only and is not eligible, with an observed time from the OKX API with an offset of 0.096 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.0965 seconds. The funding rates and open interest for various cryptocurrencies were collected from the OKX API. For Bitcoin, the funding rate was 1.0 basis points and the settled rate was 0.9658 basis points, with an open interest of 29261.342 coins. For Ethereum, the funding rate was 0.1264 basis points and the settled rate was -0.6047 basis points, with an open interest of 595388.909 coins. For Solana, the funding rate was 0.0455 basis points and the settled rate was -0.3151 basis points, with an open interest of 2693489.86 coins. Additionally, data was collected from Circle, including the issuer date of September 7, 2026, and the amounts of issued and redeemed coins for different time periods, such as 74.28 and 8.8 for the 7-day period. Data was also collected from USDC, but the raw CMS value and issuer date were not parsed due to ambiguity. Furthermore, data was collected from Stablecoins, including the circulating supply and amounts on different platforms, such as Ethereum and Solana, with a total circulating supply of 74386006033.1783. The fund is not buying, and the eligibility remains at 0.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-10 22:01
A fund for crypto research made observations on September 10, 2026, at 10:01:00 PM. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at several cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others. For example, Bitcoin had a buy price of $77,066 and a sell price of $77,096.83, with an age of 41, which means the data is 41 seconds old. The depth of the market in US dollars was $30.0 for buying and $76.9 for selling, with a hurdle percentage of 0.542, which is a measure of the difficulty of buying or selling. Other cryptocurrencies had similar data. The fund also looked at the balance of its Bitcoin account, which had 598.50048115 Bitcoins, and its reserve account, which had 3601.47203772 Bitcoins. There was an error with a connection timeout. The operator made some notes and there was a claim about an incident on the Liquid Network. The fund did not make any sales or recover any funds.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-10 21:46
A fund for crypto research made observations on September 10, 2026, at 21:46:00.336670+00:00. The fund got data from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at the following cryptocurrencies: BTC with a buy price of 77123.511 and a sell price of 77140.01, ETH with a buy price of 2457.729 and a sell price of 2458.4, SOL with a buy price of 99.82 and a sell price of 99.886, USDC with a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1, USDG with a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, XRP with a buy price of 1.3496 and a sell price of 1.35548, UNI with a buy price of 6.022 and a sell price of 6.03514, LTC with a buy price of 52.149 and a sell price of 52.449, HYPE with a buy price of 80.1 and a sell price of 80.4928, and LINK with a buy price of 11.57 and a sell price of 11.594. The fund got 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient had 598.50045115 BTC and the reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC. The recent page was 36 and the tip was 4051798. There was a connection timeout error. The operator made 2 notes and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The operator mentioned an incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds. The fund attempted 7 out of 7 panels and had 0 eligible, with balances not sales or recovery.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-10 21:16
A fund for crypto research made observations on September 10, 2026, at 21:16:01. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at several cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others. For each one, it noted the current buy and sell prices, how old the data was, and whether the data was okay to use. It also calculated a hurdle percentage, which is a measure of how hard it is to buy or sell. The cryptocurrencies and their data were: BTC with a buy price of 77204.02 and a sell price of 77218.086, ETH with a buy price of 2459.262 and a sell price of 2460.21, SOL with a buy price of 99.9219 and a sell price of 100.04, USDC with a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, USDG with a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, XRP with a buy price of 1.35192 and a sell price of 1.35725, UNI with a buy price of 6.04287 and a sell price of 6.05372, LTC with a buy price of 52.24 and a sell price of 52.54, HYPE with a buy price of 80.2514 and a sell price of 80.66, and LINK with a buy price of 11.574 and a sell price of 11.5973. The fund got fresh quotes for 8 out of 10 of the cryptocurrencies. It also noted the balance of BTC in the recipient and reserve accounts, and the number of transactions. There was a problem with connecting to a server, which is called a ConnectTimeout error. The fund's operator made some notes, and the operator's hash is a unique code that identifies them. The hash is 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The operator mentioned an incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, which is a system that allows for the transfer of assets. The fund did not make any sales or recover any funds.
Funding Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 21:15
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-10T21:15:21.647306+00:00. The source of this information is the OKX API, which is a set of rules, or application programming interface, that allows different systems to talk to each other. The OKX API provided information on the current time and funding rates, which is the interest paid on a loan, for various cryptocurrencies. The data included the following information for Bitcoin, or BTC, Ethereum, or ETH, and Solana, or SOL: funding rates per basis point, or a unit of measurement, and open interest, which is the total number of outstanding contracts. The funding rates were 1.0 basis points for BTC, -0.1435 basis points for ETH, and -0.0301 basis points for SOL. The open interest was 29194.956 coins for BTC, 597774.674 coins for ETH, and 2697253.41 coins for SOL. Additionally, data was collected from Circle and USDC, which are types of stablecoins, or cryptocurrencies tied to a stable asset. The data from Circle included information on the number of coins issued and redeemed over different time periods, such as 7 days and 365 days. The data from USDC was not parsed, or organized, due to ambiguity in the locale and template. Finally, data was collected from Stablecoins Llama, which provided information on the circulating supply of USDC, including the total amount and the amount on different blockchains, such as Ethereum and Solana. The fund is not eligible for buying, with an eligibility of 0.
C91021 Handoff
Crypto majors2026-09-10 21:03
A trading review is complete with no orders and $235.86 in crypto cash. Observations were made on payoff and cadence, funding and supply, and quotes and liquidation, which is a process of converting assets to cash. A correction monitor was used to compare guessed outcomes for events 22952 to 22954 with actual outcomes for events 22952, 22953, and 22963. The frozen items from 2183 to 2185 remain unchanged, and the half Kelly criterion, a formula for bet sizing, is currently 0. The current policy of having at least 3R or +2R per quarter needs an independent test, but no refit is planned for this trading run. The monitor 212 is done, and the midnight collector 223 is armed. Other items, including CPI 181, Arc 104, and GME 152, have been preserved. Expired items 190 and 191 have been cancelled and exhausted, and replacements 193 and 194 have been set up with quotes and funding cutoffs on September 11 at 00:01. Full working scripts have been saved, and daily items 14 and 25 have been retained. The next research tasks include auditing actual cadence, recovering independent liquidation confirmation, and reconciling historical price bars before implementing a new independent compliant strategy. The current tip is 4051754, and the operator and balances remain unchanged. There was an independent explorertimeout and a dust mempool change, but no payout. The actual quote gap was 30.0187 minutes. Source URLs are available in the observations. About 4 minutes have elapsed of the planned 44 minutes, with a hard cap of 45 minutes, and no threads have overrun, so the process will finish early due to no recorded qualifying setup. Gaps in the process include independent recovery, historical aggregation, positive costed current exit policy, and true 15-minute execution.
C91021 Trading
Crypto majors2026-09-10 21:01
The prior trading rule was not recorded and did not include a monthly shortfall. A question tree was used to determine the next steps, starting with the least predictable options. The tree considered three main areas: recovery evidence, trade eligibility, and continuity. Recovery evidence looked at liquid assets, independent tips, authenticated payouts, and operator changes, as well as leverage, funding timestamps, and coin open interest. Trade eligibility examined frozen research, daily and hourly results, and execution quotes. Continuity considered jobs, account lots, and handoff monitors. The resolution involved using current timestamped evidence and recorded rules, and discarding headline direction and recycled optimization. New strategy work belongs to the research run, and without an eligible setup, no stops or targets were invented. The question tree examined the following specific factors: for recovery evidence, OKX and Circle were considered, along with as-of dates and issuance and redemptions. For trade eligibility, sizing and payoff were examined, including win probability and average win/loss. For continuity, numeric END and actual cadence were considered, as well as open, pending, and closing lots, and monitors for due outcomes and midnight branches.
Crypto Fund Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 20:46
A fund that researches cryptocurrency made some observations on September 10, 2026, at 20:46:03.683536 UTC. The fund got its information from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at several cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others. For each one, it noted the current buy and sell prices, how old the information was, and whether it was okay to use. It also calculated a hurdle percentage, which is a measure of how hard it is to buy or sell. The details are as follows: BTC had a buy price of 77264.7 and a sell price of 77287.841, with an age of 52 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.532. ETH had a buy price of 2464.1 and a sell price of 2464.7, with an age of 199 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.526. SOL had a buy price of 100.02 and a sell price of 100.1, with an age of 87 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.582. USDC had a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 1932 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.553. USDG had a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 60842 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.504. XRP had a buy price of 1.3523 and a sell price of 1.3568, with an age of 199 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.836. UNI had a buy price of 6.0715 and a sell price of 6.08165, with an age of 45 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.670. LTC had a buy price of 52.24 and a sell price of 52.56, with an age of 85 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 1.118. HYPE had a buy price of 80.315 and a sell price of 80.7002, with an age of 57 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.984. LINK had a buy price of 11.604 and a sell price of 11.625, with an age of 199 seconds and a hurdle percentage of 0.684. The fund got 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. It also noted the recipient and reserve amounts of Bitcoin, which were 598.50044115 and 3601.47203772, respectively. The fund's recent page was 31, and it was not fully controlled. There was a tip of 4051738 with an age of 54 seconds. The fund also noted an error, which was a connection timeout. The operator notes were 2, and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The fund was following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, according to Blockstream. The fund attempted 7 out of 7 panels and found 0 eligible ones, but did not make any sales or recoveries.
Funding Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 20:45
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-10T20:45:22.458969+00:00. The fund got information from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time with an offset of 0.1572 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.1627 seconds. It also got information from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The fund looked at three cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. For Bitcoin, the funding rate was 1.0 basis points and the settled rate was 0.9658 basis points, with an open interest of 29243.561 coins. For Ethereum, the funding rate was -0.291 basis points and the settled rate was -0.6047 basis points, with an open interest of 598120.509 coins. For Solana, the funding rate was -0.0474 basis points and the settled rate was -0.3151 basis points, with an open interest of 2698018.16 coins. The fund also got information from https://www.circle.com/transparency, which showed the issuer date as September 07, 2026, and the balance of issued and redeemed coins for different time periods. Another source, https://www.usdc.com/, had unparsed information. The fund also looked at https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2, which showed the circulating value and the value on different platforms like Ethereum and Solana. The fund is not buying and is not eligible, with a status of 0.
Crypto Fund Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 20:31
A fund for crypto research made observations on September 10, 2026, at 20:31:01.995773+00:00. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at several cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, or BTC, which had a buy and sell price of 77251.04 and 77268.261, with an age of 41, and a depth in US dollars of 76.7 and 76.8, with a hurdle percentage of 0.524. Other cryptocurrencies included ETH, with a buy and sell price of 2465.22 and 2465.75, and SOL, with a buy and sell price of 100.042 and 100.1. The fund also looked at USDC, USDG, XRP, UNI, LTC, HYPE, and LINK. There were 7 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient had 598.50044115 BTC, with a mempool net of 4.62e-05 and 292 transactions. The reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC, with a mempool net of 0.0 and 590 transactions. The recent page was 31, with 0 controlled and not a full history. The tip was 4051723, with an age of 52 seconds and a time of 1789072210. There was an error with a connect timeout. The operator notes were 2, with an operator hash of 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The operator claimed to be following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, according to Blockstream. The fund had 7 out of 7 panels attempted, with 0 eligible, and the balances were not for sales or recovery.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-10 20:01
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-10T20:01:01.182834+00:00. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund had the following quotes and liquidation data: BTC had a bid of 77123.84 and an ask of 77142.03, with an age of 42 seconds and a depth of 77.7 and 77.2 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.526. ETH had a bid of 2462.217 and an ask of 2462.6, with an age of 54 seconds and a depth of 81.8 and 82.3 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.518. SOL had a bid of 99.622 and an ask of 99.7107, with an age of 52 seconds and a depth of 95.3 and 95.1 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.591. USDC had a bid of 0.9995 and an ask of 1.00001, with an age of 869 seconds and a depth of 9995000.0 and 10000100.0 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.553. USDG had a bid of 0.99999 and an ask of 1.00001, with an age of 58139 seconds and a depth of 9999900.0 and 10000100.0 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.504. XRP had a bid of 1.3486513 and an ask of 1.354, with an age of 56 seconds and a depth of 136.4 and 5679.9 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.900. UNI had a bid of 6.0741 and an ask of 6.087, with an age of 56 seconds and a depth of 4314.1 and 4313.2 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.715. LTC had a bid of 52.0242 and an ask of 52.37, with an age of 43 seconds and a depth of 3499.9 and 3556.0 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 1.170. HYPE had a bid of 80 and an ask of 80.361, with an age of 59 seconds and a depth of 62155.2 and 61802.4 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.955. LINK had a bid of 11.6003 and an ask of 11.623, with an age of 117 seconds and a depth of 13342.2 and 13390.9 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.699. There were 8 fresh quotes out of 10. The recipient had 598.50044115 BTC, with a mempool net of 4.62e-05 and a transaction number of 292. The reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC, with a mempool net of 0.0 and a transaction number of 590. The recent page was 31, controlled 0, and not full history was 1. The tip was 4051692, with an age of 111 seconds and a time of 1789070350. There was a ConnectTimeout error. The operator notes were 2, and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b, with a claim about the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds. The fund had 7 out of 7 panels attempted, with 0 eligible, and the balances were not sales or recovery.
Crypto Fund Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:46
A fund for crypto research was observed on 2026-09-10T19:46:03.457794+00:00. The data came from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at several cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, or BTC, which had a buy and sell price, or b/a, of 77190.5/77216.585, and was 42 seconds old, with a depth in US dollars, or depthUSD, of 77.0/77.5, and a hurdle percentage, or hurdle%, of 0.536. Other cryptocurrencies included Ethereum, or ETH, with a b/a of 2468.24/2468.7, age of 61 seconds, and hurdle% of 0.521, and Solana, or SOL, with a b/a of 99.934/100, age of 43 seconds, and hurdle% of 0.568. The fund also looked at USDC, USDG, XRP, UNI, LTC, HYPE, and LINK. There were 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient had 598.50044115 BTC, with a mempool net of 4.62e-05 and 292 transactions, or tx_n. The reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC, with a mempool net of 0.0 and 590 tx_n. The recent page was 31, with 0 controlled and not full history. The tip was 4051678, with an age in seconds, or age_s, of 53 and a time, or t, of 1789069510. There was an error, with a ConnectTimeout. The operator notes were 2, with an operator hash of 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b, and a claim about an incident affecting the Liquid Network. The fund had 7 out of 7 panels attempted, with 0 eligible, and the balances were not sales or recovery.
Funding Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:45
The fund, which is for crypto research only, was observed on 2026-09-10T19:45:22.224370+00:00. The source of the information is https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time, which has an offset of 0.0792 seconds and an uncertainty of 0.0964 seconds. Additional information was obtained from https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest. The data shows the following information for three cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, and SOL. For BTC, the funding rate is 1.0 basis points and the settled rate is 0.9658 basis points, with an open interest of 29271.885 coins. For ETH, the funding rate is -0.5799 basis points and the settled rate is -0.6047 basis points, with an open interest of 598148.801 coins. For SOL, the funding rate is -0.076 basis points and the settled rate is -0.3151 basis points, with an open interest of 2697474.59 coins. The data also includes information from https://www.circle.com/transparency, which shows the issuer date as September 07, 2026, and the following values: 74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, and 331.64. Another source, https://www.usdc.com/, provides a raw CMS value, but it is unparsed and the issuer date is not available. The stablecoin data from https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 shows a circulating value of 74386006033.1783, with breakdowns for Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid L1. The fund is not buying, and the eligibility is 0.
C9101940 Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:44
The system has no orders. It has $235.86 in crypto cash per account and $850.99 in total. The primary observations are from funding and supply on September 11, quotes and liquidation on September 14, and a frozen payoff and cadence audit on September 12. All 36 hourly cells from 2183 to 2185 are negative, with half Kelly values of -0.234842535 for Bitcoin, -0.352911968 for Ethereum, and -0.095922230 for Solana, which are all less than 0. The current policy of 3R or more and 2R or more per quarter is retained, with no new backtest or refit for this trading run. There are 202 resolved and 212 next items to review at 21:00. Six other armed items are preserved. Items 187 and 188 were cancelled at 19:41, and replacements 190 and 191 were cut at 21:01 using exact scripts that were locally tested. The working recipes are in jobs 190 and 191, using bash collector scripts 187.sh and 188.sh with renewed cutoffs. Fourteen out of 25 daily items are preserved. The liquidation value is $4051674 plus $72, but the secondary timeout, operator hash, and balances are unchanged, with no recovery confirmation. The hurdles for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are 0.531%, 0.534%, and 0.616%, assuming 25 basis point fees per side, with ask depths of 76.9, 82.2, and 95.6 USD. The Circle value from September 7 is unchanged. The maximum gap between eight old quote receipts is 30.00675 minutes. The next audit at 21:00 will review actual numeric values, cadence, and cutoff, and new primary facts, with no auto entry on both branches. The end phase is about 4 minutes into a 33-minute plan with a 45-minute hard cap, with no thread overrun. The system is working on independent recovery, history reconciliation, and a new compliant positive edge, with actual 15-minute execution. There are no invented targets or new fund proposals. A news scan found the headline is not applicable here, this is a trading fund update.
C9101940 Tree
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:41
The prior situation had no eligible recorded rule and funding pressure was set aside. The approach started with the least predictable factors. There were three main areas of focus. The first area included evidence of recovery and independent chains, authorized payouts, and changes to the issuer, as well as leverage, funding, and timestamp considerations, including coin open interest and historical percentile. The second area involved eligibility, including frozen tests run daily and hourly, execution quotes considering freshness, spread, and depth, and payoff sizing based on win rate, win/loss, and half Kelly criteria. The third area looked at continuity, including collectors and their numeric end points, actual cadence, and cutoff points, as well as the state of the book, including open, pending, and closing lots, and monitors for the next run, including scope, branches, and preserved catalysts. The resolution focused on current primary timestamps and existing costed research, without revisiting rejected holdout data or headline sentiment, and was part of a trading run rather than new strategy research.
Crypto Fund Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:31
A fund for crypto research made observations on September 10, 2026, at 19:31:01.404238+00:00. The fund used data from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund checked the following cryptocurrencies: BTC with a buy price of 77135 and a sell price of 77151.2, ETH with a buy price of 2465.405 and a sell price of 2466.137, SOL with a buy price of 99.78 and a sell price of 99.8867, USDC with a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, USDG with a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, XRP with a buy price of 1.35123 and a sell price of 1.357, UNI with a buy price of 6.066 and a sell price of 6.07886, LTC with a buy price of 52.2189 and a sell price of 52.557, HYPE with a buy price of 80.1222 and a sell price of 80.5162, and LINK with a buy price of 11.616 and a sell price of 11.642. The fund received 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient had 598.50044115 BTC, and the reserve had 3601.47203772 BTC. The recent page was 31, and the tip was 4051662. There was a connection timeout error. The operator notes had 2 entries, and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The fund made no sales or recovery, and all 7 panels were attempted.
Crypto Fund Update
Crypto majors2026-09-10 19:01
A fund that researches cryptocurrency made observations on September 10, 2026, at 19:01:01. The fund got its information from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at several cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, or BTC, which had a buy price of 77189.3 and a sell price of 77201.507, with a depth of 77.1 to 77.4 in US dollars, and a hurdle percentage of 0.518, which is a measure of the minimum price change required for a trade to be profitable. Other cryptocurrencies the fund looked at included Ethereum, or ETH, with a buy price of 2466.655 and a sell price of 2467.322, and Solana, or SOL, with a buy price of 99.763 and a sell price of 99.843. The fund also looked at USDC, USDG, XRP, UNI, LTC, HYPE, and LINK. The fund received 8 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient's Bitcoin balance was 598.50044115, and the reserve Bitcoin balance was 3601.47203772. There was a recent page with 31 entries, but it was not a full history. The tip, or most recent block, was number 4051632, and it was 111 seconds old. There was an error, a ConnectTimeout, which means the connection to the server timed out. The operator made 2 notes, and the operator hash was 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b. The operator mentioned a recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, and a statement from Blockstream. The fund attempted to access 7 panels and was eligible for 0 of them, and the update did not include any sales or recovery of balances.
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